Why You Need to Protect Your Assets | Tax Audit With Clint Coons

What’s up folks. Now this week, we’re gonna be talking to Clint Coons from Anderson advisors about legal and tax questions that a lot of you guys had submitted to me in the past. I know this stuff, but I’m always catching myself knowing that I’m not a CPA tax attorney. So we’re gonna hear it right from Clint.

A lot of your guys’ questions that you guys have given me in the past. I’m really excited. I’m gonna be seeing a lot of you guys this next week in Napa valley, as we do a little bit of a Huey mixer and then off to Huntsville, Alabama, to check out all our apartments out there. We try to do an apartment tour for you guys to come and check out the apartments that you guys own with us.

At least once a. This is about the time before Halloween and the holiday season. This is probably the last opportunity for the year, but if you guys want to interact with us, meet other investors again, that was a big turning point in my investment career was, really meeting other really passive investors and really understanding why I need to get out of rental properties because it’s a headache too much liability as we’re gonna be talking to Clint about that today.

And it’s just too much headache and really this whole brochure strategy. Buy rent, rehab, repair refinance. That’s a great strategy, but it’s just too much effort. And for a lot of our credit investors, most of the people who listen to this show and especially invest with us these days are credit investors and their time is more valuable than their money. And they certainly don’t wanna go to the risk of doing a remote BRRRR or a BRRRR even in their backyard.

So again, hopefully you guys can join us. January 13th, the 16th in Honolulu, Hawaii for our annual retreat. For more information about that, please join our club at simple passive cash flow.com/club. If you want to be considered to come to that you guys need to book those mandatory onboarding calls with me.

There, you’re gonna get a bunch of other content such as our free, even a banking eCourse, and a whole slew of other free resources. So again, join at simple passive cash flow.com/club and enjoy the show.

 

What’s up folks we have Clint Coons from Anderson advisors on the show. , we’re gonna be talking about tax and legal, a lot of the questions I’ve been hearing from a lot of you folks. What do we do by asking for protection? And I wanted Clint to answer some of the tax questions that I keep hearing from you guys. We will put this video up at simple passive cash flow.com/tax. And from there you guys can also sign up to have a pre-con with Clint’s folks. And all this other tax information we have on that page against passive cash flow.com/tax. Clint joined us again. It’s been like two or three years. I think it’s the beginning of the pandemic. I last saw you in person, I think in 2019 looking the same man looking good out there. Thank you, likewise.

So like the first thing, asset protection, why is it important? And maybe we start with some of the basics , it really comes down to ensuring that if anything were to go wrong with your investments or on your personal side, that the assets that you’re investing into are not gonna be put at risk.

Look, I’ve been investing now, like you have for 15 years, I’m older, so I’ve been going at it longer and I’ve, I built up a sizeable portfolio, over 300 properties and multiple different strategies, buy and hold, fix and flip self storage, apartment buildings.

And so through my investing. I’ve come across some issues before I’ve had two houses burned down in the last year. Luckily nobody was hurt. I’ve had a tree fall through a house and strike the master bedroom again, narrowly avoiding disaster. And through it all, if anything had gone wrong and somebody had actually died or been severely injured, that would’ve resulted in a lawsuit.

And I see people day after day not quite on that frequency, but I do see people every year that will send me a lawsuit, a letter from an attorney, explain to them how they’re being sued because of something that happened on their property. And, they live in Hawaii and the investments over in Florida and they have never even seen the investment, never physically been to the property.

And now they’re involved in a lawsuit. And so with asset protection I tell individuals time and time again. Hey, listen. The likelihood of being sued, it’s not huge, right? You’re probably pretty safe. But the thing is that if you do get sued. The first person you’re gonna call is Anderson or another attorney.

And you’re gonna say, what can you do to protect me? And unfortunately, there’s nothing I can do. I was just responding to an email before you and I got on here and this family’s going through a situation where the grandfather owned the property. He contaminated the property and now where four generations or four buyers down the line, and they’re asking me what they can do to protect themselves now because of that environmental contamination, cuz they know, they’re, they’ve already been threatened that they’re gonna be sued and they wanna start protecting their assets.

And the answer is nothing. I can’t help you now, you shouldn’t have told me that you were going to be sued and all the backstory, because it really ties my hand. So asset protection, you need to be proactive. You set it up just in case the worst harm occurs so that you’ve minimized your overall risk exposure very similarly. 

I just just heard this story from one of my investors and they, it was a story of, they got inherited a property from their dad and their dad does everything old school just doesn’t do anything with lawyers. And I guess somebody, there was an elevator that broke and then, now they’re suing all the three siblings equally, so just can expand the scope of the lawsuit. So a windfall for the person suing to go after everybody. A lot of that stuff, like to your point, you can’t do it after the fact.

So maybe talk again where I’m always like why the heck would you wanna own any rental properties in the first place, our group, I know you work with a wide spectrum of investors, but to me, once you go over, million or $2 million net worth, that’s where the syndications as the LP position comes into play. But I guess, from When you’re in an infancy, under half a million dollars net worth, what do you think is more appropriate and maybe walk us through as people grow their net worth, what is more appropriate from an asset protection standpoint?

I get that question a lot. And what I tell people just think about its properties. How many people say, how many properties should I put in one limited liability company? And they’ll be shocked. I’ll tell ’em one property per LLC. I’m like come on. My property is only worth $60,000 or a hundred thousand dollars each in equity and say, yeah that’s fine.

But how much income do those properties generate for you? Because really for most of us we wanna protect the income stream. And if something goes wrong with one property, you have five properties in one LLC. And they make $5,000 each on an annual basis, you just lost $25,000 a year in income.

Wouldn’t you rather be in a situation where you lose $5,000 and you save $20,000. And so this notion that your net worth determines the type of planning that you should use for your structuring, I think is misplaced because the person that has $500,000, if they were to lose a hundred thousand dollars, that’s 20% of their net worth.

Whereas somebody like yourself or myself, I could lose a hundred grand and it’s not gonna impact what I’m drinking. As you can see on my back shelf, they’re all empty by the way. It doesn’t impact me to the same degree because I have so many more properties and I make so much more income.

And so I think when you’re first starting out, you’re at more risk because you don’t know what you don’t know. And many times, and until you start having, you don’t even know what you need to know. And you get this backwards in your structures that you need more protection at the outset.

And then as you start to grow and you get to somewhere where I’m at, I don’t have 300 LLCs. There’s no way I would create that for myself. So what I’ll do is I’ll start grouping properties. I’ll put 10 properties in an LLC, and yeah, I could potentially lose an LLC if one of those houses that burned down was in an LLC.

If somebody was killed, I would’ve lost 10 properties. But the point is that I have 29 other LLCs or 290 other properties in that loss is not gonna change my lifestyle. Whereas the person that has $500,000 has one house. You get involved in a lawsuit because of that one property, or maybe you have two properties and you get involved in a lawsuit because of that, not only could you lose those two properties, but one impact is gonna have on your personal’s life as well.

If a judgment entered against you. And so I encourage people to always put plans together that is commensurate with the risk, but also ensures that if anything happens with the asset they’re protected, or if they’re involved in a lawsuit because they’ve entered into a bad lease or involved in a car accident, or a bank comes after ’em for a deficiency judgment that people can’t get after their assets, number one, their savings, their real estate, or what, a lot of times people don’t think about what you brought up syndications. If you’re investing in syndications, I think the biggest mistake people make time and time again is putting their own name down on the syndication. They should invest through an LLC so they can preserve that cash flow as it comes out. It wouldn’t be paid out to her creditor.

Maybe we can talk about that a little bit. There’s two types of liability. There’s the ones coming from so many chips and falls or the elevator breaks in your rental property, or I think what you’re referring to in that case is if the outside in. Liability. Is what your kind of primary concern is. Maybe expand on that.

And unlike, people that differentiate between the two, because I think that gets lost in the shuffle a lot of times. Yeah. So you, we have what are called dangerous assets that create liability for us real estate creates liability. Freedom. Just if you live in Hawaii and you have an investment property in Florida, if somebody injures themselves on that investment property, they’re gonna Sue the owner and you didn’t have to do anything wrong.

You had a property manager that was managing it, but it doesn’t matter. You’re still responsible cuz you own the property. And if you own it in your own name, they’re coming after you. But if you aren’t in an LLC, they’re going after the LLC. And hopefully that’s the only asset that’s available to them in that LLC.

So worst case scenario, what do you lose? You lose the equity in that property. Plus what I say is more important, the income, but you are preserved. I had a client. They’re a client and I met them a long time ago and they had this issue where they owned everything in their own name. And so now we’re gonna switch and talk about what happens with assets on our liability on the outside.

So they had multiple properties, 14 homes, and they sent their son off to college and he’s there less than a week. And he hits someone with a car and he makes this person a paraplegic. So the attorneys, of course. Sue the parents because they were paying for the kids’ education. They were still responsible for ’em and they found them liable for this person’s injuries and they bankrupt them.

And so here’s a couple, they had actually retired with living off the income from their assets. They’re in their early sixties. They BK themselves because of this lawsuit. And now they’re back at different jobs trying to rebuild. And the thing they said to me is they said, you know what? I wish we had this knowledge when we had the assets, we just didn’t appreciate the risk at that point in time.

And so this is what we refer to as outside liability, you’re gonna be sued personally. And then the question is, what can that creditor attach? What can they get from you? By using limited liability companies, certain types of trust, limited partnerships, what you’re able to do is limit a creditor’s recovery to what we call a charging order, which means that if it’s in an LLC, if you set it up the right way, we can’t take your LLC from you.

We can’t take the properties that are held inside of it. We can’t take your cash flow that is being generated from the properties or from a syndication that all stays protected inside of that box. You control it. I have a longtime client who lives in Oahu, and she was involved in a situation where.

She got into a deal with two Hawaii real estate developers. And she got the short end of that deal. And now she was going after ’em for $2 million and she got a judgment against them, a personal judgment against each of them for 2 million bucks. And she wrote me an email a couple years back, really frustrated.

She said, Clint, I’ve got this judgment and I’m not getting paid. They’re living in my own neighborhood and luxury condominiums, driving Teslas and Mercedes. And I know what they have. They have all these LLCs and there isn’t a single attorney that can get me paid. And she wanted me to look at it and see if I could offer any advice.

And unfortunately, my response was, there’s nothing we can do. She set ’em up. The developers set it up this way, so they’re protecting their income stream and their assets. And I knew every LLC that they had, and I knew how the money flowed through all the LLCs. And I explained to her, I said, I did the same thing for you.

And if the shoe was on the other foot, You wouldn’t have to pay out. And so I understand it’s frustrating, but that’s why people use entities. And that’s why I think people who have assets, people who are investing, they’re putting themselves out there need to take adequate steps to protect themselves.

So hypothetical question here, cuz it’s always hard for us to determine which one is the biggest liability outside in the inside out. If I had 10 rental properties, which I think are dirty assets, cuz things happen in them. And would you be more concerned for me personally, driving down to the grocery store, hitting grandma like that kind of outside in attack versus something happening with the 10 properties, I guess just that cuz you see these cases, you see the actual lawsuits and from the outside and inside all the time, which one?

Like which one would people do? People need to worry about more? It’s equal. People get sued for the most random things, cuz you can never predict when a lawsuit is gonna happen. You’re right. Driving down to the store two years ago, I was driving to a restaurant near Christmas time for dinner and it was raining.

It was dark. And some guys walking across the street in all black, in an unli street, I’m like you idiot. I almost clipped him. My wife freaked out. And because I couldn’t see very well cause it was pouring down rain and had I hit him that would’ve been a lawsuit and so things like that can occur.

But at the same time, I’ve got a whole bunch of emails and letters from clients that I use in my presentations, even where I show people, Hey, this person bought a piece of property and they’re being sued cuz this is what happened. And. It’s equal and that’s why you need to balance that out. And by putting together the structures, you’re protecting yourself from the asset. So if anything goes wrong there you’re protected. And you’re also protecting the asset from anything that you do. So you get two forms of protection by putting it into effect.

Yeah. I would also mention if you’re a doctor or high liability profession, even like a real estate broker, you’re gonna get sued all the time. That potential for that outside in attack is probably much larger than the average W2 employee out there. That’s what Clem’s saying. So if an investor is dumping all their rental properties, going into syndication deals as a passive investor, then they don’t have to worry too much about the liability from the investment, but they still have to worry about the outside.

They themselves are the worst enemy or the liability. At that point. Yeah. So actually a physician client one time called me up and this was classic. He’s a physician client. He wasn’t the time he wasn’t. And he said, Hey there’s a judgment against me. That’s coming down. And I’m about to have a liquidation event with this syndication that I’m invested into.

How can I word it to this deal sponsor, that’s running this syndication that I don’t wanna receive that money right now. And I want ’em to hold it until after this thing all plays out. And I said, really, you think they’re just going to make an exception for you and say, we’re gonna liquidate out our, every other investor in this deal.

But for you, we’re gonna hold on to your funds because you’re afraid that they’re gonna go to a creditor. I said, that’s not reality. And in fact, if you made that. What is it gonna show that you’re trying to influence or hide assets and you’re gonna put that person at risk. So they have no incentive to help you.

They, if I was their attorney, I tell ’em not to. So how do you protect against that? What you do is you take your syndication interest and you put ’em into a limited liability company. Typically we’re gonna set it up in Wyoming or Delaware, and you have it held by that LLC. So when the syndicators do pay out, it doesn’t go to you directly.

It goes to your LLC that you control. You’re the member of, and if you were staring down a lawsuit or a judgment, the creditors can’t step in front of you and swipe that distribution from you because the only time they’re gonna get paid, get this is if you decide to take money out of your limited liability company and pay it to.

And I haven’t met a person yet. That’s been in that situation where they say, yeah, I’ve got, 500,000 sit in this limited liability company. I’m just gonna start taking distributions to make sure my creditor gets paid more likely. They’re gonna say, I’m just gonna reinvest it, sit on this until that judgment expires.

And then I’ll start taking my money out. That’s how it works. But most time you’re never gonna get there. And the reason why is because attorneys understand how all this works and they’re gonna settle. One of my clients in Los Angeles $1.7 million judgment entered against him earlier this year.

And of course, he’s tripping all over himself, freaking out, he’s going into a debtor’s exam. He saying, what do I tell him? I said, you have to be completely honest. You disclose everything that they ask. And so he started going through and telling him how, set up LLCs. He was using myself as his attorney through Anderson and they pulled it up.

Our information on Anderson. And there was three attorneys that are grilling them and they started conversing amongst themselves. And then they turned the mic off, turned off the camera. They did a re they took a recess for, I don’t know, 15, 20 minutes. They came back and they said, listen, I understand you’re using this firm.

You’ve set up the structures. You’ve already disclosed. We don’t need to continue on if you’re willing to accept $400,000, we’ll settle today for 400 grand, 1.7 million to $400,000. Once they knew what they were up against calls me up, he goes, what do I do? I said what do you wanna do? He goes, I want to take it.

And I said, no, you don’t wanna take that. That’s just their opening offer. They’re gonna go lower. They just showed their hand because they knew they wouldn’t get paid otherwise. And so sure enough, we went lower or he did. And that’s the point why you have this stuff because it puts you in a stronger position.

And again, I think that’s where not a lot of people realize like this stuff it’s not black or white binary, it’s gonna protect you, not protect you in a way it’s like a magic card that yes, it shields you from a vast majority of the settlement. Everything’s pretty much settled. I don’t know what the stats are but like 90, 99% of things are settled.

Just goes to a math formula. If you have your LLC or some other legal entity set up that it’s basically like a shield. Correct. So what’s like the standard, like on the podcast form here, we can’t really go into too many details, but what’s some, like a typical like entity structure or maybe multiple structures, for the average, multimillionaire they’re just a passive investor. What kind of does that kind of look like for folks.

Typically, I tell people anonymity king, make sure they don’t know what you have, because if they can’t find it, they’re not gonna know they can go after and it’s not something they can recover against, make yourself appear as if you don’t own much of anything, because that increases the likelihood that a personal creditor will settle for policy limits and go away.

And that’s really what we’re driving towards. It’s those aggressive creditors where the attorney, is trying to make a buck more than the policy limits. That’s gonna push past that where you wanna make sure you have a firewall set up. And the best way to create a firewall is to use limited liability companies and LLC, that has what we refer to as charging order protections.

So I like to always set someone up with a Wyoming limited liability company, because it’s some of the best protection you can use to ensure that if you get sued personally, A creditor cannot break that LLC and get into whatever it holds. So we start with that as the base foundation, and then from there that LLC will own other limited liability companies because that’s the outside end shield.

So if somebody sues you that stops them from getting into your assets, your investments, you hit grandma going down the road, the outside in. Yeah, that’s right. Perfect example of that. So now your investments, your syndications your real estate that you own, your brokerage account equities, things like that.

You’re gonna set up separate not the syndications or the savings guy. You drop that right in your Wyoming, LLC. But if you own residential real estate, single families, maybe you have a duplex here, there you put those in separate LLCs. They all point to the Wyoming, LLC. So they’re all owned by that one, Wyoming, LLC.

So if you were involved in a lawsuit and somebody said to you, Hey how many LLCs do you own? I only own one. They need to ask the question. How many LLCs does the one LLC that you own? Oh, maybe it owns eight, but it’s your shield. So by setting this up in the manner which I described, if something were to happen with one of those other upper tier LLCs that happens to hold a duplex, then it’s gonna stay contained in that LLC.

And that’s going to absorb any losses associated with that, but your syndications protected your brokerage account. Your savings is gonna be exempt. You’re gonna be exempt from that lawsuit, your personal residence, not gonna be attached, it’s just gonna lock it down. And so for most people, that’s the type of structure we would recommend you set up now.

Where you’re investing is really important where you live is important as well, because there are nuances to the types of entities and strategies we use. It’s not a one size fits all people think I talk about LLC. So if they’re investing in Florida, we’re just gonna use a limited liability company. Or if you’re in California, it’s gonna be an LLC.

It’s really not. And so in different jurisdictions, we use different types of entities because you have to look at not just the asset protection you need to look at what are the tax implications. Do you wanna put together a structure that’s going to create a taxable event when you put the property into it?

Yeah. You get asset protection, but at what costs, it costs you $7,000 in transfer taxes or reassessment of the property. So you need to understand that other side of it as well, and look to different types of tools that will ultimately achieve the same desired result. But it’s not going to be with any type of negative consequences that can come from reassessments or transfer taxes.

And I think what Clint’s trying to say too, there is don’t go to legal zoom, cuz I think that’s where this stuff gets personal. And I think that’s why, let me tell you guys to, if you guys are new to our group book, a quick call with myself, we can dig into your guys.

Other, non-legal side that’s my area expertise, but it’s all personal finance and this is, it’s all legal structuring and it’s all personal to your situation where you live, how much money you make, what’s your values and what’s your legal liability is your profession, et cetera. But I guess Clint what’s what are some of these legal structures that you’re not a big fan of, or maybe don’t really apply to situations.

And I guess before you got you answer that I’m just gonna take a time to also say, tell everybody here, make sure you guys get your umbrella insurance, that’s essentially what is the giveaway for the lawyers when it comes settlement time? So get a umbrella insurance at least like a million bucks.

Most people on our family office group were getting that for three, 400 bucks a year. There’s nothing. Absolutely. What are some of the mistakes that people end up making. I see like these series LLCs, these land, there’s a bunch of like flat different options out there.

Maybe you can talk to why sometimes that doesn’t, those things don’t make sense, because where you’re using it, it has to be recognized or it has to provide. Some benefit. If you set up a series, LLC, for instance, and you create a bunch of cells associated with the series, LLC, and then you wanna own real estate in Hawaii through these independent cells of a Delaware series that ain’t happening.

You could do it, but at the end of the day, if you got sued, you’re not gonna have the protection that structure would provide you. If you’re making that same investment in Texas, that actually recognizes the series, LLC. So you see people try to use structures that aren’t appropriate for the state, where the assets located.

They think, oh, I’m gonna save a couple bucks by going with the series, LLC. Hate to tell you that it’s not gonna work there. Land trust, I use land trust for my investing, but I’m not one of those that I’m gonna tell you, you need to use a land trust in every situation because the problem you run into it complicates your life. So I like to keep things simple. I’ve seen multi-tiered structures before that the benefit doesn’t outweigh the cost. And when I say cost, I’m not talking about monetary costs. I’m talking about time, right? For you to have to get you wrap your mind around all this and operate it, that’s equally important, any type of structure you’re creating.

And then the other mistake that I see people make is not understanding the tax side. So there are things that we can do when the way we’re setting up our entities to ensure that we’re always going to look better to lenders so we can fund more deals or if we wanna sell the property. So I’ll give you two, two concrete examples here.

One individual comes to me, found me on the internet on YouTube, said, Hey, Clint I wanna book a strategy session with you. We get it all set up. His problem was he had a multi-family. Trying to sell it. Two buyers keep fell out of financing. He had it in a limited liability company set up by his CPA.

So the CPA got the structure, right? He just didn’t understand what tax election to make, which, he’s a CPA. You’d think he’d know this. He chose to treat that LLC as a disregarded entity. Now the benefit to the client is he didn’t have to file a tax return with the disregarded LLC, but the CP didn’t know the right questions to ask which would’ve been, Hey, what do you plan to do with this property?

Is this gonna be a rehab stabilization and sell? Because if that’s the case, this LLC needs to file a tax return and we’re gonna set it up as a partnership or maybe an escort that would kind of be my secondary option so that when we go to sell the property, the underwriters who are financing the deal for your buyers, they’re gonna get a tax return to verify the income and expenses and CapEx and all that with the property, cuz absent that.

It’s gonna be tough, cuz they’re always gonna ask for tax returns and he didn’t understand that. And so as a result, they kept falling out under financing. And so there wasn’t a clean cut solution for him. He had a third buyer and the same process, they kept asking for tax returns for the LLC. people say, just give him your 10 40.

It doesn’t work that way because underwriters, they got these little checkbox. They have to go through in order to underwrite a loan. Otherwise it isn’t gonna comport with the lenders requirements. And so they wanna make sure that they’re hitting all these boxes and the same thing with the private investor that owns multi or owns, residential real estate.

I’ll explain to them, Hey, you can set it up where you own it personally, or you own it through a disregarded LLC. So you don’t have to file a tax return federal return. But what is that doing to you rather than what is it doing for you? And if you don’t know what that is, then you’re missing out on a big part of real estate investing.

So what I’ll tell my clientele, what I like the way I like to structure it, that Wyoming holding LLC, all of it treated as a partnership for federal tax purposes. And the reason why I do that is because it hits your income will hit your 10 40 on a different line. Then if you own the real estate in your own name and so where it hits your 10 40 makes you actually look better to lender.

So you can get more deals done because your debt to income ratio, doesn’t go outta whack, cuz this is what can happen. If you own it in your own name, it screws up your debt to income ratio. Cuz they hold back income. You can make a hundred grand on your real estate and rental income. They’ll say, no, we’re only gonna give you credit for 70,000 of that.

You’re like, what the hell? There’s a hundred grand. You can see it. Yeah, but we’re forced to hold back. Whereas if you structured it slightly different, same income, same taxes to you, but where it hits your tax return, they give you a hundred percent of that. And then you take that and you look at the audit risk and now you just reduce your risk of audit as well.

So if you’re gonna engage in cost segregation to massively depreciate your property to throw off huge tax breaks to yourself, I prefer to do that through a partnership K one, then on a 10 40 schedule E page one, so that I’m taken out of the audit risk pool. And so there’s different layers. And I call that the business planning side of investing, where a lot of attorneys, if they’re not investors, then they’re not gonna see that, that side of it because they haven’t been down there and making the mistakes that, I made these mistakes.

And so it took me a few years to learn this stuff just from my own investing. And thankfully, because we work with so many clients all across the country, I would find myself talking to experienced investors like yourself and, You’re asking me for asset protection and I’m asking you questions yeah.

To help you plan, but also to figure it out, Hey, what is he doing? That’s helping him to achieve his goals so much faster than I am and started putting all this stuff together. And it’s really helped out our clients a lot in their investing.

And I think, like for our group, this is the simple passive of cash flow ways. When your network grows, you eventually get out of these little rental properties and not only for the legal headaches as we talked before, like why do even maybe I should take myself out because I still sign on the debt personally. But for most of our clients, why do you even need to show income to qualify for a loan?

Unless you’re gonna buy a primary residence, but then that’s another problem. I haven’t figured out personally, when you start to buy 2, 3, 4, $5 million properties, you can’t get a loan for bigger than a million dollars, but if you’re buying a regular house like for mostly you guys out there, you’re not gonna be doing deals, you’re not doing buying a duplex. TriFlex you’re just getting out of that world. And that’s where, you don’t really need to think about, these things as you start to gravitate more as a professional investor, as opposed to deal maker or, the bigger pockets world, group, B guy, those kinds of types of folks.

Let’s say that I’m in four year deals, that’s four K ones then that come down to my tax return. So if I held it through one entity treated as a partnership, not only have one K one that comes down to my tax return rather than four. So how does that benefit me? The benefit comes in the complexity of your return and that should you go to qualify for new personal residents and you want to use, qualified mortgages.

You’re not working in the non QM world. Then when they look at your 10 40, whoever you have to turn, your 10 40 over to less is gonna be better. The more you have, the more scrutiny it draws and you take yourself out of potential situations that you could have ordinarily qualified for. If you just didn’t have your tax return structured in a certain manner.

So when I look at planning, how your 10 40 looks is just important to me is how your asset protection side’s gonna play out. I think all you guys just should go work with Anderson and then go to the tax pitch, cuz I’ve just as the syndicate and sponsor, I’m just tired of working with some of your guys’ CPAs that ask, like they need to file this.

Or the mortgage brokers they ask for all these little K one S and it’s dude, it doesn’t even matter. It’s not like they. Debt recourse to this loan. They’re just a passive investor along with a hundred other investors. They give you guys, if the bureaucratic guy actually knew what a K one was part of a partnership, they wouldn’t be asked in these questions, but they’re just following a checklist.

And I don’t know, that’s my little rant against all these little doc or these requests that these mortgage brokers or underwriters ask for at the end of the day. Yeah. It’s frustrating because it just, can screw up your deal for sure. Oh, and it’s time consuming for you to have to deal with all those little request that come in.

Before we move off of the legal side and talk a little bit about some of these questions, these typical questions that I get on the K one and taxes side, you mentioned like the kid going out and getting drunk and you. Incurring liability for the family. We, this specific question has come up many times in our family office group.

The kids are becoming teenagers. Do you buy the car in their name? Do you put the, the loan in their name? What’s the best practice for that? Especially when, mom and dad worked for $5 million net worth and, mobile juniors out there doing OLS one.

That always comes down to what is the cost of insurance and how much you’re willing to pay? Ideally if a child, when you say child, what over 18 or under 18. So 16 year or even going up to the college, I guess I get, I don’t know if it matters, it really doesn’t matter so much.

If they’re going off to college, like the example I gave you, that vehicle is still in the parent’s name. So that brought the liability back home, but they can also say that you’re still supporting that child and therefore you’re responsible for them. They could try to rope you in that way because you have the deepest pockets.

So what I would recommend, if you have someone who’s over the 18 or over under 18, I don’t think you can get out of it, but over 18, make sure that the registered owner of the car okay. That legal owners aren’t necessarily liable. It is the registered owner. And you know this because when you finance a car, the legal owner is always the bank and you can’t Sue the bank because you go out and pull a DWE and you hit somebody else’s car and destroy it.

You Sue the driver and the registered owner. So that’s one way to, to minimize your risk exposure to the kids that are going off at college. Second thing is to show that they support themselves. Structure in such a way that maybe they’re earning income, where they have their own investment stream coming in.

So you bring them into one of your LLCs and you give them, five or 10% interest in that. And that gives them enough money to cover their expenses. And some people say heck if I give them a 10% interest and they’re making 80 grand a year, how do I know they’re not gonna blow it on, parties and girls and things like that?

Because if they are you’re in control, you just turn it off is what you would do. And so that’s what I tell people, you always wanna make sure you’re in control of of what you’re doing. Yeah. So have them put the loan in their name too or that doesn’t matter? The loan in their name, you could do that.

The benefit of doing the loan in their name is that now they’re gonna build business credit or not business credit. They’re gonna help build their credit. You may have to co-sign on the loan, but if they’re on the loan as well, now they’re starting to create that credit profile. So that’s advantageous for sure.

To do that. What about insurance policy does or does that does not matter, I guess it doesn’t matter so much, but what’s gonna happen, it’s gonna be more expensive for them than if they’re insured under your policy. I guess at what net worth would you say, would it make sense to bring it?

Irrevocable trust to take care some of these issues where they don’t, nobody owns the car. It doesn’t matter about the owner. It’s a registered owner that comes down to it. So you could have the legal owner is the trust, but the registered owner, what gonna be your child, or maybe you make the trust also the legal and the registered owner, but the child’s driving it.

Then the liability flows back to that trust. And whatever assets it would hold and the child gets sued. I could see you doing that. And that’s the only asset that holds is the car. The problem with that strategy is that someone’s gonna look at it and say, what is the purpose of the trust?

And you’re gonna say to hold a car and for asset protection, and then you could run into problems where they don’t respect the trust, because it was set up strictly for asset protection purposes. They might look through it. You could try it. I’m not opposed to doing it because I think more roadblocks you put in place the better off you are.

You could just tie an attorney up. Oh, that car out’s owned by an irrevocable trust. Oh, that’s owned by limited liability company over there. Oh, there’s a corporation over there and we don’t have the insurance that’s in the kid’s name and all of a sudden they’re just chasing down all these different paths.

To me that damn car is really the biggest point of contention. If you’re thinking about how to not lose your money, as far as here’s what you do, you give your kid a bicycle. Okay. And you solve the problem. Or number two, you make sure that all your assets are protected.

So even if they do Sue you, what are they gonna get? Or get an Uber one and give ’em a whole bunch of Uber credits and stuff like that. Yeah. So they never have to leave their house. Correct.

So let’s switch over to some tax stuff. And I had some questions here that I get asked a lot and I always feel bad. Taking your guys tax Tuesday videos and regurgitating it back to them. Appreciate Clint, answering these for me because they are the same old questions over and over again. The first one I normally get is this grouping election, right? Investor invests in syndication deal where they’re a passive investor and they get their gains and losses on this K one form.

And especially if there’s a cost segregation involved, there’s a huge amount of losses created often, like at least half of what they invest . And then, so the investor goes back to their CPA who looks up from their glasses and says you can’t use those losses to offset the gains on other rental properties or other syndication deals.

Maybe talk a little bit what’s the logical leap there. And. Should people handle that one. I’m not sure. As long as there’re passive losses and you have passive income, those net out. And so that’s the way that should be playing out. And there’s always gonna be nuances if people are going back to their CPA with passive losses, and they’re trying to take those passive losses against ordinary income or non passive income, then you’re gonna struggle unless you’re a real estate professional.

You’re not gonna be able to do that. So the losses that you pull out of a syndication, those can be grouped against similar types of income, but they can’t be used to set up unsimilar types of income, right? Similar types, meaning passive income gotta be passive. So from other rental properties or other syndicated deals, all passive that’s correct.

Let’s talk about then that kind of leads into the next question. You can’t use the passive losses to offset order income such as from your 10 99 to your day job. Unless maybe go into rep status, what that allows them to. Yeah. So unless you become a real estate professional, which means that, you’re spending 50% of your time, so you don’t hold a full time job in a non real estate related activity and you spend 750 hours on real estate related activities.

And so with reps to meet that test, it doesn’t have to be with your own rentals. You just have to be doing stuff in real estate. So you could be a broker, you could be a contractor, you could be someone that’s involved in that, an appraiser, and you’re gonna meet the first prong of the reps if that’s what you do for your living.

But then the second prong of that test. Is you have to materially participate in your rental real estate business activity. Or you folio there folio the properties you won’t correct. And so that’s either there’s seven tests, but the two that we look at the most is gonna be the 500 hour test. You spend 500 hours on your real estate.

Plus you met the seven 15 half of your time on other real estate activit. You’re good. Or you have to spend a hundred hours and that a hundred hours is more than anyone else that works on your properties. And so where I find that people struggle with the reps test is that they have out of state PMs. So they’re not involved with their own real estate.

And they try to use education looking at balance sheets and qualify. And there hasn’t been a case yet that I’m aware. That’s ever happened now that could probably qualify for that first 750 hours. That’s not involved in their portfolio. One might use that, cuz that seven, that 750 hours outside of their active portfolio is a little looser.

It’s gonna be tough because you got 50% of the time. So if you’re a physician, you ain’t making it. You’re already you miss out on that prong. So what I typically tell people is that if you wanna make sure you’re gonna qualify, self-manage your real estate. Now you don’t have to. Self-manage all of it just self-manage enough where you get the hours and you’re good to go.

Or if you’re not, if you don’t have the time and you can’t meet 750, 50% of your time, just do short term rentals for a bit, buy a property, turn it into a short term rental, spend a hundred hours on that property. You don’t have to worry about 750 hours, 50% of your time. You just do that.

And your average rental period is seven days or less costs like that thing, harvest a ton of tax deductions, turn it into a long term rental next year. And your goal, you can take that money now and you can offset those losses against all your income that are generated from that short term rental activity.

And so what I find is with many of our physician clients that are not yet just putting all they’re diversifying, they have their syndication interests, they have their equities, and they’re doing some single families on the side. We’re taking those. And we’re saying those need to be short term rentals for the first year.

Focus on that. So we can harvest the losses. We had one guy who sold a his interest in a clinic. He had a big windfall and. Poured all that investment into a property in Texas and turned that into a short term rental. His wife was the one that qualified. He still was busy wife qualified with the a hundred hours.

And it freed up for him must say he was $670,000 in deductions. So it can be huge. If you look at it from that perspective. So if they turn on the, short term rentals, they do that for the first year. What about the next year? Are they real professional next year?

When nothing goes to be a transition to a long term rental? No, you’re not because you couldn’t meet the test to begin with. Yeah. So only that it’s that, that one year. Everything comes here. You’re eating all the cookies the first year. There’s nothing left for the second year. So you don’t care in the second year you took it all now.

Yeah. So this is that strategy where you’re investing in a whole bunch of syndication deals. Maybe you invested half a million and you got 300,000 of pass the suspended, passive losses on your 80, was it 82, 85 form or something like that, but you have that ready to use. So you pulse it in next year.

You, you do a short term rental. Now it’s your game to use those passive losses as you wish. But after that, you lose that kind of that Starman ability that, that rep status for after that year. Or if you look, if you had excess passive losses, look for excess passive income opportunities you have where you have appreciated positions that are passive in nature, sell ’em harvest the law the gains this year to take your losses and offset it, or buy another short term rental next year, a couple years later, buy short term rental. Yeah. One of the things I, you and I were talking about, I had a client that approached me, said, I have this property, I’ve owned it since 2014. I told I couldn’t do a cost se on it. What should I do? And I, I don’t qualify as a real estate professional.

I need some tax deductions this year. I said, sell it. His complaint was well it’s tripled in value. If I sold it, then I have to fail this additional gain said sell it on a 10 31 exchange. Let’s exchange up into even a larger property with that. Now, since you bought the property between two, September of 2017 and the year 2022, it qualifies for 100% bonus depreciation.

So we exchange into a larger property for you. We then perform a cost segment on that larger property, generate a huge tax reduction this year that you can then use to offset that gain that you have. There’s ways to use the code to to fix your tax problems if you’re willing to do it. And in that case, he had to sell the property under a 10 31 exchange, find the replacement property, which he was willing to do because he wanted to get the tax losses harvest it.

And this is the best year to do it because a hundred percent goes away next year goes to 80%. Yeah. Still not as bad, the year after, I think 20, 24 be 60%, but , that’s another strategy that I’ve been personally thinking about is, buying a big house that I eventually like to live in, but to buy it and then cost it out stuff, those passive losses in my pocket, then maybe living it at some point.

That’s a strategy too. It’s exactly right. I’m running out of time in the year 2022 to do that. You are but the thing is, if you buy it this year, you don’t have to spend a second this year. To get a hundred percent bonus you could cost second, two years from now, as long as it was still an investment property.

And it relates back to the year of acquisition. So if you bought it in 2022 and you held onto it, put it in the service and then didn’t perform a cost second until 2024. Your bonus depreciation would be 100% because it relates back to the year of acquisition, not when you do the cost sec. So that’s why this year, as long as you buy something now, 4 20, 20 twos out a hundred percent.

Ah, that’s a good one. That’s a new one. I probably should know that. That’s why our other CPAs on our cost fixed indications. They say, yeah, you don’t need to do it just yet. But that’s a great point. And I really, I don’t know if people missed it, but Clint’s idea. I’m not a huge fan of the 10 31, but if you’re gonna do the 10 31 to get a larger property to, make the bigger bang for your buck on the cost, say before the end of the year or acquire it before the end of the year, then the 10 31 allows you to get something bigger, to get a larger cost say, and stick those losses in your pocket, or at least kick the can down the road. A little bit that way.

So the other questions that kind of come to mind as far as passive investor taxes like I, I think the big thing that, a lot of CPA firms are scrambling, or at least on our side, we’re seeing, K one S get taking so long and most times in private equity world, to have them get it completed in January, February is just ridiculous in the private equity world.

We tell ’em to do it in October when it’s normally due. But still, investors are their CPAs asking for these K one S and what, if a K one is missed, right? Can they just refile it next year? Or what’s the, they could amend the return, just make sure, approximately if there’s positive income there, what that’s gonna be and just report the income.

So you didn’t under-report your total income, but here’s the thing with, like you said, the CPAs, we have a large tax group inside of Anderson, and the problem you’re running into is industry. Why can’t you find enough people to work? And so it’s just really slowing down the process for everyone and getting their returns completed because there just aren’t enough preparers right now in the workforce.

That is willing to do the job. And so you see it across the board, doesn’t matter, you guys it’s taken them a long time to get their K one S out. Unfortunately it’s because they don’t have the manpower. And everyone we talk to cuz we are, we’ve been trying to grow and expand our tax department beyond the 140 people that we have to buy up other companies and thinking, all right, we’re gonna get more people, economies of scale and they’re behind, they’re struggling to get through their work because of that.

And here’s my personal tax question. So I get 80, a hundred K ones every year, then I make it into a little spreadsheet. So I can spot check you guys at the end to make sure approximately how much passive losses I should have.

Yeah. But like the K ones they’re never right. Like the names always felt wrong or the damn boxes on the bottom they’re checked, they’re all messed up anyway. Does the IRS even look at that stuff or does anybody even care that it’s not gonna get an issue audited?

They’re just looking to see if you’ve got the income reported on your return. They’re matching up, not with the name, but with the E that’s really what it’s pulling down to. So it matches back to the parent return. If they were to audit, they would partner, they would audit on the partnership level and just make sure all the numbers add up to what the partner divided up in the beginning.

And here’s why you’re not getting an audit. You have 80 K one S in your return. You’re an audit. You look at that, you’re like the hell , I’m going up for this 10 40 guy. That’s the biggest joke about it. That they keep talking about what they just passed. But with that inflation reduction act scam.

They say they’re hiring all these auditors. Who do you think they’re gonna target? They’re not going after the people that have the K one S and the more sophisticated returns they’re gonna target the middle income taxpayer that doesn’t have the investments that just files the 10 40.

because that’s the easiest person. Plus you don’t have the knowledge. We’ve got some X IRS attorneys that work for us that used to work in the audit department. And they said, it’s crazy. You gave me a room of a thousand auditors. There’s only 10 in that room that handle corporations and partnerships. And those types of returns, 10 forties that have K one S on ’em.

He said the rest of ’em can’t touch ’em. Yeah. So he said, that’s the best way to hold assets. So what should I tell a lot of our investors were new. They might have three or four K ones, and then they’re asking you, they’re saying, oh, we spelled their name wrong on this K one.

Or, this checkbox needs to be checked. It’s just not a big deal. I think you can send them a corrected K one, but as long as they’re gonna be reporting their income then it’s not in and of itself gonna trigger on and on. Yeah, I get it. People are always everyone’s concerned about being audited, but that’s not the thing that’s gonna co you know, trigger the audit.

What’s gonna trigger the audit is that you, the 10 65 reports that you earned $250,000, and you report that you only made $250. That could be a problem. If they catch it and you’re part of the 0.04% or whatever that number is that actually gets audited or point, 1%. But I think if I’ve followed your guys tax Tuesdays enough, your guys have a big strategy as you guys put as many things on as the schedule C right.

As opposed to what normally people will put things in a 10 40 or the schedule E and that’s a lot more audited. Schedule C is more audited. So you have page one of schedule E that gets audited. We prefer to put things on page two, which is gonna be via K one. So all those K ones that you get that have to do with real estate, those show up on page two of your schedule, E not on page one is reserved for real estate that you own in your own name or through a disregarded entity.

That’s the audit because again, 990 auditors handle those types of returns. When you put that income over on page two via the K one. Now you have 10. So another reason why not to own little rental properties. Got it. Yeah. That is the closest plan. I know you’re always looking at these inflation reduction acts and the B B.

Any, like looking into the crystal ball, anything coming up for investors to be on the lookout for for like new tax breaks, like maybe a new opportunity zone ish type of thing or something exciting you coming up or or should be really be worried about the 80,000 IRS agents who they’re teaching with the fake code.

I wouldn’t be worried about the 80,000 IRS agents because they’re not gonna find them. We can’t find tax preparers. What, who are they gonna find to do this? And you can’t find employees right now. They’re not gonna find employees. Just finding people that show basic level skills that they actually wanna work.

Good luck. But beyond that, I think that the biggest thing on my horizon for people who own entities is gonna be the corporate transparency act where they’re gonna issue the finals. Regs, and they’re gonna have the auditing procedure that’s going to be released in. They said December is when they have to release that.

And so I think that’s the one thing that I’m curious to find out what’s gonna be required and what the reporting requirements are for anybody who has a business that have set up a, Ivo business trust, or LLC, or corporation, how that information is gonna get disclosed to the federal government does that one have to do with I remember a couple years ago, I told everybody, that were, putting their syndications and LLCs.

They all got pissed off at me because I said we need your social security number, man. Like when they got all upset with me and I’m just like I’m just the messenger, I know. Is that what the corporate transparency act is that part of it or. Yeah, you’re gonna have to, you have to report on all the members of the limited liability companies, the managers, the officers, all that corporation, same thing that’s gonna have to get submitted to, to the federal government.

And I forget if on a syndication, if there’s a, if there’s a de minimis rule where you don’t have to provide that information, but it’s gonna be an annual reporting requirement. Government wants to know what you’re doing, because they think that you’re committing tax fraud or your money laundering is really what they’re concerned about.

Yeah. I know people don’t like to give that stuff up, especially when they’re purposely using entities to invest through like you mentioned earlier. But, from a standpoint of Iris doesn’t have enough agents and to collect revenue from people who are doing bad things like, on purpose, I think that night may be a good idea for them so they can go catch those guys because that’s what people were doing, right?

They were, creating all these LLCs and creating all these deductions or hiding all the gains. And it’s impossible to track unless you can tie it to one E or one social security number. And we’re not doing fraud here. They should go catch those guys. That’s not gonna change anything.

Tell me a law that stopped some type of crime from occurring, right? Yeah. It’s gonna happen. You wanna commit fraud? You’re gonna do it. so side note here years ago, this makes it harder for all of us. It does. The IRS came in to audit our company because they wanted transparency cuz we set up entities in Wyoming.

Or at that time we did a lot in Nevada and they said, we want a list of all your clients, which they can force you to provide. They do it all the time to companies. And we said why do you need this list? We said, we wanna know who’s behind all these companies. He said, you already know that.

He said, no, we don’t. We said, every time we set up a company, we obtain an EIN and we provide you the member, the owner of that company and their social security number. Who’s behind every single company that’s set up. That’s how we acquire the EIN. We don’t acquire ’em under our own names and this is what they told us.

You may do that, but we have no way in our system of matching that information up. I said, are you kidding me? That’s a basic computer system. You can’t run that. I said, now our system can’t handle that. And so that’s why we need to ask you for the information . So it just shows you how antiquated they are and the way they approach things.

And so even if they collect this information, it’s not gonna do ’em any good. It’s basically whether we didn’t keep our records straight or we didn’t, it’s too much money to revamp for a computer. Let’s just bother everybody again. That’s exactly right. Thanks for coming on Clint. Again, folks, we’ll put this in the tax section at the webpage at simplepassivecashflow.com/tax.

We’ve hit Clint on there and passed the webinar. So those are all up and there too. But remember, a lot of this stuff is personal. This is just a podcast made for entertainment, but hopefully we’ve created some questions in your guys head to ask more probing questions and again, join the investment club simplepassivecashflow.com/club. We’ll get on the phone there or get on a zoom call and we’ll see you guys next time. Thanks Lane.

Investing in YouTube Channels

On today’s podcast, we’re gonna be talking about investing in crazy digital assets or digital companies that happen to invest in YouTube channels. YouTube channels are a form of the big three in terms of the digital world, eCommerce, SAAS, businesses, and content websites, simple passive cash flow is a content website, except I’m not looking to put out some crazy NTF thing to lets you all invest in simplepassivecashflow.com.

It is a passion project of mine. It’s been a great way to meet a lot of you folks and build a list of cool people. That came out to Hawaii. Once a year, we are going to be doing that little mini wine tour in Napa valley. Actually, it’s not gonna be mini. It’s probably gonna take us the whole day of visiting several wineries.

We get on the bus, everybody gets to meet each other and make sure you go apply there because these days we vet everybody who comes. You’re a weirdo. You don’t get to come. And how do we figure out you’re a weirdo? We get to know each other. And we are also a big enough community that a lot of people coming in these days are referrals from friends.

So we’ve got a tight knit circle at this point. So no random strangers. And I think our group is the only group out there. Is not just like a fake to you, make it be a general partner one day because you’re broke and you’ve got nothing else going on. You know, Most of our investors, although they are in there, they are younger, maybe in their thirties, forties at the youngest.

And I say that with a lot of respect, a lot of you guys make so much more money than I could ever personally have done in the professional world. And you guys are high performers. Individuals in all your own respects that often we put on these events, I’m very flattered by the people who come.

But the thing that ties us all together is, we are pretty financially minded and we appreciate financial freedom, but we also understand that we need to invest with people we know, like or trust and have a small. Community of other purely passive accredited investors. Not a bunch of people who are looking to get to know us on a loose basis and want us to invest in their first deal because there’s a lot of fake team make groups like that.

Trust me, been there, done that and also got the t-shirt and lost some money doing it. There are a lot of those types of organizations out there, but we are not one of ’em. We are an exclusive passive investor group. So if you’re looking to grow your net worth from one to 10 million, number one, check out our family office, Oana mastermind, but just, check us out.

We usually let people come to an event at least one time. Check out our community. And then see what it’s all about because personally, I didn’t really start to get outta my shell until 2015 and 16 when I started to realize, wow, there’s a lot that could be gained from, master mining informally with other investors.

And then when I started to join different other higher level groups, of course you have to pay a lot of money for that. And that’s what I did, but there’s really nothing out there for the purely passive accredited investor. Which is what I sought to create with simplepassivecashflow.com. Hopefully you guys can join us on October 1st in Napa valley. Simplepassivecashflow.com/napa is the info page for that.

And here we are talking about YouTube channels, but Hey, let’s make one thing clear folks, just because we have somebody on the podcast doesn’t mean that I’m saying to invest with. Actually I am saying the opposite. If we have somebody on the podcast or you see anybody on any podcast do not invest with them.

Podcasts are a great way to create that sort of fake type of influencer, all that content type of stuff to conjure up, fake amount of followers. That’s just how the Al coin. World is created in all these discord channels out there. To me, the only way you can really figure out if something is legit is to know another purely passive accredited investor, get to know them organically and build a true deep connection and see where they put their money and have had a good experience with it. And I’ll tell you guys, anybody can do a podcast. It just takes a certain character, these days to do it. Thanks for listening again, guys and enjoy the show.

Hey simple passive cashflow listeners today. We’re going to be talking about a different kind of investment that I’ve been looking at in this realm of buying, not hard assets, real estate, but working businesses, no family offices, they don’t invest in all this equity stocks, mutual funds types of stuff.

That’s a very small minority portion of their portfolio when reality. No it’s businesses or a huge part is real estate. Someone even says at least 50% of their high net worth portfolios. Now not saying that you guys should do this, or just show us any sort of investment advice. You’ve got to be silly to think that you can listen to a bunch of podcasts and get a bunch of financial advice and even further.

You’ve got to be even more silly. Or if you think that you can just go on a podcast, land, figure out who a bunch of operators are and start investing with them. Do not do that guys, unless you would like to win the financial Darwinism award of the year. All we’re going to do today is talk about a little bit of a different opportunity.

I’m not investing in it personally. But again, I just want to expand people’s thinking, right? Because when you expand people’s thoughts to other things that you didn’t think were investible or in the arts world, you start to do private money lending, or, you go into a multi family deal or you buy a rental property, by expanding yourself, going a little bit past your comfort zone. You get past that block where you were originally. And a lot of you guys, just quite frankly, by some rentals or get into. Or move from 90% into equity stocks, mutual funds and get maybe 10, 20% into being outside.

I want to introduce Michael call-up who works for an eCommerce content website? That produces YouTube videos. And you guys watch a lot of YouTube videos out there, but it’s pretty profitable for those folks out there that get a lot of views and you can turn it into a business with Michael and his partner.

But we’ll start off at the top, right? Because I think most people here are pretty familiar with investing in alternatives, such as real estate. And that, that one line they’re just crazy real estate as alternative investments, wherever they go wrong or get to the macular. But let’s get into something I’ve been interested in personally over the last few years, as someone who runs simple passive cash flow in a content website, where I create a bunch of content.

And it creates relationships with people and then I’m able to do the masterminds. We do the events, we do, all kinds of things under this umbrella of simple passive cashflow. But Michael, why don’t you just give us a quick outline of different businesses within the internet space.

It’s funny you say it’s good going back 20 years ago, I owned a cleaning company, and so I bought it. I had worked on wall street for 10 years. Got burnt out, and had my first kid quit. Didn’t know what I was going to do. Ended up buying a franchise. It was a cleaning franchise and I got really bored with it.

And 2007. So I got into the online space and started my first, what is now today called drop shipping. It wasn’t really a thing back then. But I would cold call. Like companies like Hoover vacuums and stuff like that. And the microphone I’m speaking into, I used to sell this online and we would drop ship it directly from the manufacturer.

And the online space, as we all know has shifts, escalated tremendously and particularly with COVID. You mentioned YouTube before we saw a huge spike and people now that they’re homework sitting there online watching YouTube. And I was pretty active with my e-commerce company, which I sold in 2013.

And then also started investing in software company SAS at that time. So I had a Twitter automation tool that we had 10,000 users with. And that was great because it was recurring income. And so somebody just signs up for a piece of software. If you build. That software can run itself.

And then we had individuals in the Philippines and Morocco that handled the customer service for the customer. So that was a tremendous investment for us because that was just consistent money coming in $50 a month. But each of those customers until Twitter suspended our API which is always a risk in any type of a software business.

And I went from 10,001 at night to zero the next morning, zero. Which was like an, oh no moment, but, throughout that time, one thing I’ve always done is use content to brand myself because that’s great. And I’ve always been fascinated with YouTube, met this individual. His name is Saad and he was working for you, familiar with what family offices are.

It’s a little bit. We run the family office, Ohana mastermind. A hundred million dollar families and above are defined as family offices. But what do you do when you’re going from one to a hundred? That’s the kind of group that we have. It’s more of a coaching format. People want to get more involved with that. Join our inner circle, simple passive cashflow.com/journey.

So you’re very familiar with it. So what side was doing is for that family office, he was actually doing this on YouTube. So creating content, it was all what’s called faceless videos. So maybe, like somebody famous, Evan Carmichael Evan Carmichael, a lot of his videos online to all faces. So I, the motivational ones. 10 quotes from Steve jobs, right? And people love specialties. I can engage the entrepreneurial world with that type of content, and it can get a million to three, 10 million views.

And so what’s great is obviously, as we both know on YouTube, once you have been approved by YouTube to be monetized, which means you have a thousand subscribers and 4,000 watch hours. Every time somebody watches that video, it’s like owning a piece of real estate where you’re getting passive income from rent, or you’re getting paid passive income every time somebody watches that video.

The definition of faceless videos for the folks, it’s one of those really dry, boring videos where you get the, sometimes it’s a bit of an animated narrator, but it can be very boring. The copywriter, whose text is typically good, it’s not like a YouTube influencer, if you guys like YouTube, go to my rich uncle’s channel. We try to make it more for the kids out there where it’s more personable and it’s easier to listen.

Whereas if somebody just reads something to me, I just drown out personally. But the cool thing is you can turn and burn these things and you can, Shern this stuff out with very bold, cheap labor. Cheaper content writers to turn the stuff and you can turn it into a machine it’s repeatable. You don’t need to get lucky, like with an internet influence.

Not at all. You just have to be very good with SEO and understanding what people are searching for online, what they’re interested in, and then very good with, from the SEO standpoint ranking the video. So it gets seen because there is a ton of content out there. And so some folks might always say, Yeah, I know content creators and their stuff never gets seen. It could be that they don’t understand SEO. So before we dive into content, we’ll back up, we talked about SAAS. So SAAS, as you build a little web app or application. I don’t know what are some things that are common that people think of.

So if you, on social media you most likely use some type of social sharing tool, right? Like a Weber. These are, they’re not entrepreneurs, so they’re not using sweets or things. Like a lot of the web apps that entrepreneurs will use, but. MailChimp looked at MailChimp today. MailChimp is a SAAS company. MailChimp was just purchased this morning by Intuit for over, I think it’s $12 billion and that’s a privately owned company, but that’s a piece of software right at the end of the day. All right, man is a more consumer one. Correct me if I’m wrong, but like the way I look at SAAS businesses, the cool thing is recurring revenue, but.

You create a product, but then now you’ve got to go sell it. So it’s more of a sales and biz-dev type of yeah. Yeah. And so that’s SAS. Then the other third one is e-commerce. Which you mentioned you started with now, this is something every guy under the age of 35 years old thinks that they can run an ecommerce business, but you guys are 20 years too late.

Maybe if you can list off the brews in this space and we say, it’s probably not good to spend $2,000- 5,000 for stuff like that and I would tell everybody to be very careful when looking at that online, like a lot of folks are Bellflower, I believe is the name. We’ll say, oh, we can start you through Shopify and online drop shipping business.

Nothing to do, just, invest $5,000 in this program or what have you. The reality is everybody else is selling that same product that is listed on a site across. And so it’s a race to the bottom, right? There’s no branding. You’re not going to be able to compete and there’s so many people, I waste so much money on those. And the only people where he makes the money are the ones who are selling courses. On how to do this and a lot of them have never even done it themselves. They watched a program and then they just came on. Like I’ve literally got into that drop shipping was not a word like back then.

I didn’t even know that I was drop-shipping. I used to go to conferences and literally go from booth to booth, just introduce myself, say, Hey, do you sell online? And they would be like, now, we haven’t cracked that yet. We sell online and would love the opportunity to have a conversation and just, I would assign on it eventually three years later, I was selling 200,000 products and then all of a sudden drop shipping became a thing.

So it’s crazy. I forgot the name of the Dan Martell site. He’s a big guy in software but I’m listed on it. And I had done a lot of poaching on drop shipping back in like 2015, 2018 frame. I still get so many calls from it, from people that have bought these courses. And aren’t anywhere from it because they thought it was so easy and everybody just said, Hey, it’s a passive investment.

It’s not, it takes a lot of work. You have to be good at Facebook ads. You’ve got to be good at SEO. It’s more than people think. And you’re competing with people that are like the general masses and it’s high competition and people that live in their mother’s basement. That’s all hours of the day. You think you can work a six-figure job.

Do this on your side type. You’re incredibly mistaken. That’s, you’re not a professional by the true technical sense of the word. You’re not a full-time person doing this type of stuff. And maybe what are some of the other things they tell you to do in this industry? Like they tell you to send them those cards with your product, say, Hey, we’ll send you another one.

If you just give us a good review, or we’ll bake, we’ll pay you guys 50 bucks. Or they’ll find influencers on spark, Toro, whatever, and they’ll pay them to shoulder their ad or they’ll just straight pay them for review. They’re just, although they tell people they can become an influencer today, and what’s funny is like so many of them have been called out online because they go out and they buy fake subscribers and then, they’re charging people to be an influencer again, another passive investor. But it’s very not because they’ve called out eventually they burned their account and then they got to start another one.

Yeah. It’s like when you have a really ugly kid and that they’re ugly. And then they, the modeling company comes and says, oh, we can make them famous. You just have to pay $300 for this total package. Yeah, I got a, I got to say my daughter’s gorgeous. But I fell for one of those. I didn’t fall for it. They got her on Instagram and said, oh, come on. And the next thing you know, we went in, there was a modeling runway, and then dad’s in the back saying, did you love watching your daughter on this one way?

And I was like, yeah, this was awesome. They’re like, listen. She’s got potential. And for this, you can I think it was $3,500 for a two month program Dyke. We can get her amazing gigs. And if you want to do this, which was a $5,000 program and it was just bam, LACO, yadda, and fall for it. But I know friends of mine who have actually paid for it.

And then they say like at the end of the two months, they’re trying to upsell them another program. It’s just it’s me, again, as a parent, I can’t stand Pam, people like that. So that’s like the e-commerce world, right? You’re buying and selling. The people who are doing it right there, they’re flying their butts over China or wherever at the manufacturer, building those relationships.

And 100% you have to I’ve had stopped. And so I did a lot with I was doing this thing that was called an H2O mop and, I bought a half a container sold out of it. I thought it was amazing. I bought a full container. It was a six figure investment while it was being shipped here to the yes to the U S in Edison, New Jersey.

I got served a cease and desist from an individual by his name of Kevin. What’s what’s his name? Harrington. Remember, but not herring, but he is a, this guy is a shark tank guy. What is his name during the blank, but anyway, he’s from as seen on TV. And so the mops that I was buying. At night in this plant in China, apparently they would swap and use the same molding, but then use different boxing.

And so he basically reverse engineered find everybody that found everybody that was purchasing them and dropping drop shipping them, serve them with a cease and desist. So I was stuck with this whole container and almost lost a hundred thousand. Luckily I came up with a clever way to get rid of all them all, but I was like, I am never doing this again.

And that’s, if I fly my butt, like you said, over to China to work with somebody. So that’s the e-commerce, we’re all it’s like one of those things where it’s if it’s too good to be true, it probably is you don’t have to have any inventory. The people that do this right. To fly their butts over the China, and they have the big warehouse here at the states, the house, all these multiple schools, like thousands of schools or products.

Yeah. But so we’ll talk, we’ll stop talking about e-commerce cause that’s something and it’s. We’ve we mentioned SAS, we’ll get off SAS, which is that subscription type of web app. And we’ll now diving more into the third, which I’m both familiar with the content, and the content can be a kind of a a faceless video.

Some of you guys are aware of like, whenever you Google something, there’s some like more like HubSpot and like different kind of aggregator kind of website. Visit Hawaii, or, where people will they’ll create that buzz, that domain authority, and then other websites, or, or people who want to buy ad space will pay under.

And this is how the internet works. But it’s more, what I like about it is being an investor. I like to throw thing I’m more low, always. Long-term I like to do things. A minimal to semi hard work, but they offer the returns far in the future and it’s guaranteed. You just have to wait.

It’s real estate deals or planting vegetables in the garden. You do enough content and you, as you stay consistent and you’re halfway decent, you might get somewhere in the future. Do you guys talk a lot about the author of rich dad? Poor dad. Which I not see. Cause he’s just a, he just an influencer, right?

That’s all he said. That’s why I, you bring up like, he, he is big with content. He’s a content, that’s where he makes a lot of his money is the content side. And when you mentioned YouTube before he’s got a ton of faceless channels. Not only is he, an investor in real estate, but he’s a very big investor into content.

And in fact, I don’t know if people realize, but like he does a pretty good job. He’s a chameleon, right? He’ll use that book, which is jamming. That’s a good book, right? Like I wish I had that book, but he’ll use it and he’ll do it to different things. I think we all see from the real estate end, he’s also pushing it to a bunch of young kids doing SEO.

E-commerce stuff that you have to own your own business. I see it as the lead magnet for essential oils companies. There are all these little vomit paws, but that’s the thing. Yeah. Tony Robbins, he’s a big one too, right? Like he has so many different like ways he monetizes this influence.

He’s got like the fight. He affiliates with financial planners. He just dumped his last guy. I forget the new guy. He works with, at JVs with, but he’s got all these like health type of products. This, it’s brilliant, When you, as the consumer kind of understand this little game that’s being played.

You start to realize that Santa Claus is not real and Easter. Bunny’s not real. Yeah, I’ll stop now. It’s it is a game, but I, I can say again, I’m 49. I’ve owned a lot of different businesses and have just been involved in a lot of things. And you think the grass is always different until you’ve already get in and you learn the way that it’s being operated and that it is a game and that it does take work at the end of the day.

And it, it takes. What is the same, like luck and opportunity is just, you need luck, but you also need to put yourself in the right position to be in that red spot. But you also needs, you also need luck. So I think a lot of people listening are very familiar with financial blogs, the financial, the PF blogosphere.

So I’ve been always into this space as a consumer reading content. I don’t really these days because they’re just a bunch of broke guys who don’t buy any caught $4, $5, lots of. And they don’t like to go into debt, but I went to fin con one year, which is the, just, I think it was in Florida several years back.

Yeah. There’s like 10,000. He’s a MC a certain level of bank at 10,000 financial blogs slash podcasts.

They did. And so it’s going on in this month and Austin. So in September I believe, and so I’m not going this year. I go more to network and just meet that top 10% because it’s all about partnerships and collaboration. But to your point, a majority of them are just, BS and they’re just copying each other’s content and they have no idea what they’re talking about, which is scary.

Like taking financial advice from. Not that 21 year old can’t understand it, but that they have no battle wounds. And they’re just preaching what they’ve read in a book. I don’t agree with that, especially when it comes to money. Yeah. Some of them are really good and the, to me, I got to have lunch with a lot of them and a lot of them have like really, they write really good stuff.

Very interesting pieces, whether I agree with her. But nobody reads it other than themselves. And you can tell. And that’s what I, I look at it as luck, right? As an entrepreneur or a blogger, a YouTuber podcasts, like you can put all this stuff out, you can do a hundred, 200, 300 podcasts, which to me is like the level of commitment you have to put through.

But if it’s not good, you’re not going to have anybody listen to it. But even if it is good, you may not hit success, which is okay. And that’s where your guys’ model comes in. You guys have picked the video platform, which is a good place to start because everybody watches more videos these days.

That’s the uptrend, but you guys aren’t relying on a shining face, a star, right? Because a star is another rare commodity. Now, these are all non-branded for that exact reason. So we’re sticking more to researching a niche before buy. And so is this niche get a lot of interests more from a viral standpoint?

Yeah, I was speaking to somebody earlier that want to do cryptocurrency And but that comes with a lot of risk. Why while there’s roles on YouTube. And so if you make an investment recommendation that video can not be monetized. And so there’ll be monetize possibly that video with, and also that would mark your channel.

If you were to try to get. Yeah, money from YouTube to show an ad on that. And then all of a sudden, somebody marks it as, Hey, they were making a recommendation. Next thing you know, your channels demonetized, and now you’ve lost out. And we’re very strict with what we will. So we like channels we just we’re looking for an investor in a golf.

That’s a lot of fun. There’s so much you could talk about with dolphin. There’s all kinds of people that are searching that each and every day. So we could review the top golf players in the world. show inside their houses and mansions. We have a sports channel and know we have a video on it that just took off.

It was Floyd. Mayweather’s insane. Car collection. Don’t know why people want to see his car. But they think it’s the coolest thing in the world. It got caught up in the algorithm. And within a few days I had a hundred thousand views. And so that kind of thing will die. But if you really get caught off and you’re putting financial capital, meaning like advertising it on YouTube with some money or with Facebook ads, you can get a video that takes off and is getting a million views a month, which is going to bring you in, several thousand dollars a month in income, just from one video.

And so it’s about stacking good quality videos over and over again, not all of them will take off, but for the ones that do it, it becomes a, an ATM in a sense. , let’s take a. Sports. YouTube channel. But you create, what does it cost to start, on your guys’ part? And, is it just, you have a creative director and like a video editor? Is that kind of how it works? We look at, how many videos is somebody want to upload to a channel and I’m on three basis. Once we determine what that is.

And the niche that they’re in, we then have internal tools that we use called an algorithm. That’s looking not only on YouTube, but outside of YouTube, what are people doing online? What are they interested in? In the masses? We don’t want something. That’s just like a thousand views or 10,000 views. We want to see what our a hundred thousand, a million, 10 million people searching for when that shows up on our radar.

And we see that’s doing good on another channel on YouTube. That then is passed off to our content creation team and what our content creation team consists of is it’s going to be somebody that will actually go out and copyright, write out all of, write a script for somebody who’s our voiceover specialist who will then once that video is created by graphic designers and video folks will then final step go through and do the voiceover of that five to 10 minutes.

And then what we do is once that video is uploaded to YouTube, we have an entire secondary team that’s going to go in and then optimize that video from an SEO standpoint to get it to rank. So when you upload a video, most videos, when you upload them to YouTube, They don’t do much. And so what you have to do is you have to go out and start doing one, putting financial capital behind it and advertising it on Facebook and on YouTube and on Google.

Number one, number two, we reach out to people who have emailed that list to see if you can get them to email out that video. Because again, once more people are watching, it does an algorithm and YouTube, and it starts seeing that more people aren’t engaging with the video. It will start showing that video to more people.

Potentially, the last thing that we’d like to do is when you upload a video to YouTube, you tag videos. And so a tag is basically passive income, real estate investing. So you can put a certain number of tags up for every video. It’s very much a character limit. And you want to watch those when you go into the analytics, which is part of our process every morning for every channel.

It is one of these keywords meaning real estate investor. Maybe our video is ranked on the 12th page of YouTube when somebody typed in real estate investing. But all of a sudden it’s on the second page of YouTube. Why is that? Maybe it’s a different keyword. And so now what we do is start optimizing those keywords.

Changing those tags and that can get a video to really take off on YouTube, which is great. And so a lot of YouTubers don’t do that because they just fully don’t understand it. And that’s why you see a lot of channels that start and then stop because they don’t realize they don’t think there’s a lot of work to it.

They just think, oh, create a video. And then my video’s gonna take off, but that’s not the case. It’s already that secondary step that I was explaining that he causes all that and then the thumbnail, then that was a huge thing. And so we’re constantly changing thumbnails to test it out.

You have to. Yeah. So that’s the process of a nutshell. One question I had is, you start with a new channel, right? Do you start with like maybe a bunch of videos just to get it going? Maybe it does a couple of dozen. Piecewise content just to have something there or do you start right off, start off the bat, you start to really sniper and what are the keywords?

Am I going up through a Floyd Mayweather video that kind of went viral? This is if people haven’t caught on yet, like this is what businesses do. They have a business plan and they add value to in this case, it’s not worth anything in the beginning. It’s just an empty YouTube channel.

We need to fill the content. Yeah. But like on the apartments, we try to do the interior upgrades for us because that’s what people will pay extra a hundred, 200 bucks a month for and exterior stuff kind of gets put to the wayside or whenever it’s convenient or especially at the end, it doesn’t really bring dollars in the bank.

So in this virtual value add kind of business, what do you, what’s the first or is it yeah. So we’re going to, the really initial thing that we’re doing with a channel is when people come in and get started with us again, we’re doing all of the work for them. It’s determining how many videos that they’re going to be wanting us to upload on a monthly basis.

Once that’s decided. That’s the number that we’re uploading, but what we’re really doing differently in the beginning is trying to monetize your channel as fast as possible, meaning that we need to get that thousand subscribers and 4,000 watch hours. So we always allocate a certain amount of dollars.

Every time we upload a video to market that video online, but in the initial six months, what we’ll do to get it monetized faster is we’ll put additional cap. Behind a video that we start to see get some action. So is that, that can help us bam, trigger that channel. So if you can trigger a channel in the third month to get it monetized, that’s just, faster income for an investor.

So that’s really what we’re doing in the earlier stages. A little bit of both, right? You’re making maybe a handful of videos and out of one of those that are the better, best out of the box. Yep. They’re terrible at charging it with paid ads. 100% Google, Facebook, YouTube, and we’re watching it much more closely.

Because sometimes we upload videos for four months. They just, they do nothing, maybe 1,005 thousand views, but then all of a sudden within a three-day time period, we just had this happen with another video. It had over a hundred thousand plus. They didn’t do anything to it. It just got caught in the algorithm. And so the more financial capital we as a company put behind those videos that we do start to see move the faster. It is as a return. So that’s what we’re really doing in the first 3, 4, 5, 6 months of a channel. So you got, I got five videos you uploaded, right?

Most of them suck. Just like most videos where they only get maybe a few hundred views or less. And one of them has. A hundred thousand views, which is a lot of views for a new channel. And okay. How much would you throw down on ads like that? Yeah, like two examples. One of those Floyd Mayweather examples we put in.

Zero money behind it because the channel isn’t owned by an investor, Foley B, so we didn’t put any money behind it, which is fine. It got caught in the algorithm because we were changing words, those tags that we were speaking about a little bit earlier now on the flip side, when we do put financial capital behind it, it’s not a lot like our max that we’ll recommend sometimes it’s a couple of thousand bucks.

And then just bam, once that happens. Do we turn on a per video basis is insane. What is, a hundred thousand views is a lot of views. I think more in practical sense that maybe it goes up to. 10,000. Yeah. We have a fashion channel with that gets, 40 million views a month, 40 million views a month.

But why, like you’re familiar with the compound effect. So the compound effect is you gotta remember, like all those videos were uploading and. We do what’s called evergreen videos. So they’ll still be watched in years 2, 3, 4, because people are still interested in that. We don’t want to put something up like space acts.

Space X is taking off today. Like we want to do a video like that for somebody because it’s relevant to today, nobody’s going to be searching. And three years from now, but you know how space X got started, somebody would be searching for that. You want evergreen stuff. So investors out there, this is like some people like unsophisticated investors, they always invest up like the shiny offic thing.

Like when a hurricane comes in hurricane Harvey, they want to go in there and invest in the area or they always invest in gimmicks, right? Like short-term rentals or something like that. And the certain area during certain times, This is no different what’s going on here. So like the near investor is going after oh, space X, the rockets flying up, or the Tesla model, whatever that is leasing this month, or, like with a Ford F-150 the lightning thing, it just came out. You’d make videos about that, but then nobody watches it. And so that’s where a lot of channels go wrong. It’s 100%. We just said they are missing out on the compound effect. They are because like in three years a channel, if you have strategically thought everything out and created evergreen content consistently followed a formula, done good SEO.

Those videos from one month, one, three years ago are still being watched three years later. And now all those other videos month in and month out. So now you’re stacking. So let’s say you have. 300 videos and you’ve done good work over a two year period and going into that third year. A good percentage of this is still being watched, plus your new videos that are being uploaded, right?

So that’s why from an income standpoint, income appreciates and compounds exponentially as a channel stays older and older. But if it’s not evergreen, It’s not going to work. Yeah. And in this business is a doggy dog world. It is not working at a job where everybody gets paid between a hundred and a few hundred thousand dollars for being really good and halfway decent.

One out of a hundred thousand million youTube channels are good. The rest are just horrible and they don’t do anything. And maybe even if they do have the systems, the staff to do every one little step along each side of this workflow, it’s hard.

I love my son. He’s 19 years old. Yeah he just graduated high school and he’s got a YouTube channel about walking. And he’s always coming in and talking to me in my office about why his subscribers fluctuate or his income fluctuates with it. I’m like, let’s look over your last five videos.

So you have great content. People engage with you all the time about the walking dead, but one out of every five videos you’re uploading you start talking about a new game that’s coming. On whatever he plays. I don’t even know, like I’m not a gamer, buy XBox or something like, so when he’s doing that, it’s I’m like all those subscribers, which look your subscribers decreased when you came out with that video, because they’re not interested in that.

So they unsubscribed, whereas I think a lot of YouTubers, they just, they don’t have a philosophy. And if you want it like a business, you run it like a piece of property, right? Like you, you would do with an apartment building and you have processes in place and you follow. But somewhere down the line, like you, your kid just wants to make fun videos that he likes, which is not the point.

If it’s a. At 100%. And I told him that I was like, if you were going to do this, it’s, you’re not going to college. And his goal is in four years to be making a couple of hundred thousand from his personal channel that he wants to do, then here’s what you gotta do. Cause then he says to me, he’s oh it feels like a business.

What do you want to do then? Yeah, we want a business, you run it like a business. And yeah, now it’s a, and I think that’s where ego comes into play with just a lot of people of any type on the blogs. You see it, and they just never monetize. But I have a good friend that does this in the blogging world.

And so he makes good money for folks. He’s got several different blogs that are managed now that’s harder in my opinion. Because it’s actual content and you’ve got all this AI that’s coming out and writing content that I think you could tell that a robot’s been writing it.

There’s a difference from that standpoint, but yeah, if you understand the content game, it’s a great option. And some insights for the folks, like all the blog articles these days, guys, not the pop, your bubble, but they’re all written by AI. I know what I don’t, I use some of them for the headers and it grabs my research for me, but I can take, I could take it another level, but it just would waste my time or waste the staff’s time in my opinion.

But like you can write, have them write the whole thing out, T3 it’s new technology and it just keeps getting better and better. And it’s all like it’s written by. And this is why you don’t want to do a blog. That’s why, because the robots can do it now. And it’s just minding the waters for the most part.

So let’s go back. Maybe if you can give people some sense, because I want to have some people get excited about this stuff a little bit. So that’s like Mayweather, right? Outlier of course. You got a hundred thousand views without juicing it. That would make what, like 20 bucks a day or.

How much. So every channel is always different. So for instance, YouTube, right now, we’ll pay more for gaming channels. Then they would for celebrity channels. So we have a lot of celebrity channels, celebrity gossip, very popular. But gaming, although, you would think gaming’s huge.

They don’t have enough content yet for the search volume. That’s coming in on YouTube to watch a game. So they’ll pay the same viewership, four X, the amount per view. In gaming now that will change at one point. And it is just so most of the folks, like from an investment standpoint, when they invest, they also want to enjoy the channel.

And so some of them like to share it with their friends and family and what have you, and say that they own this and that’s super cold too. And when you have a video that takes off and an algorithm and it gets a million views, you’ll make $10,000 off. Yeah. So a hundred thousand dollar view video would be like, a hundred bucks, two bucks a day.

Okay. And that will start escalating and then it will also decrease and that in every video. So it just depends. How long has it stayed in the algorithm? When do you take your foot off the gas of putting more fuel behind it? And when do you have to start accelerating? Cause you want it to stay as high.

Also it’s. Can you link for words, like by itself, again, for you with a Mayweather, can you link for just that? So Floyd Mayweather’s house, Floyd Mayweather’s income. Okay. But if you could rank for just the word Floyd Mayweather, how many people are going in and typing injustice. The masses type in that versus what’s called long, long tail.

So we start off trying to rank for the long tail keyword, ultimately trying to come in to a big thing, like passive investing, if we could rank for that, like you yourself, like that’s really big versus in the beginning you got to go long tail. Yeah. So it’s not like for those guys or, trying to find similarities and art assets.

Real estate goes off forever. In fact, the return has go infinite after a certain point, but like the videos here, Floyd Mayweather, he’s not going to be alive for. You could think about an oil rig, people invest in oil and gas or ATM machine. It’s just a decaying asset after a while.

It’s not going to be worth Jack and it’s not going to perform at cashflow after a while. So that’s how you think of it. I need to see as you’re trying to correct. That’s why you have to be putting content up all the time. I see it with people all the time. Somebody bought one of our investor channels for a lot of money and they stopped uploading videos because I had all these say stop for three.

And then I was wondering why like the income was dropping so fast and it was dropping because YouTube rewards people who keep producing content. And that’s one thing too, if you keep producing content, but the quality of the content drops, that’s another thing where the channel will just start dropping very fast.

So it does a lot of work that happens behind the scenes. That folks just don’t understand. But if you understand what happens and you fight. It’s very consistent. It’s predictable. So here’s a hard question to answer, but if you can give just a broad answer. So my flight may weather video.

It’s not mine, but if I, if somebody had it right, that makes a hundred bucks a day, which isn’t much, but it’s showing signs of light. If I turbocharged that thing with, when you say a couple grand of ads, what would the views go up to? Yeah. So 10 million views, they will go exponential a hundred X or is it a thousand?

You could go 10 X you don’t like it. It’s unpredictable from that. So we know we won’t make an investment of one last. We know we’ll make the money back minimum, but obviously the goal is we’re shooting for, can we invest the least amount? To get the most amount of views. Can this video take off and get a different topic?

Basketball. We had a basketball channel and this isn’t very often back. Let’s go back to Floyd Mayweather. So if I put in Joplin a couple grand instead of a hundred dollars a day, what does that go up to? Like a thousand dollars a day could go to 10,000 hours? Yeah. I’m recouping my investment. In that one ad once I found that a winner 100% target that ad you could be.

So how do you get people? What is the $2,000 going towards exactly like what’s the creative that gets people to click on your flatbed weather ad? Or is it just some algorithm that you pay to get in the algorithm to get to the next video or something like that? How would we invest the money internally?

You say for that owner, what does $2,000 to push light men? Weather’s video? What is, but how do you do that? What are we doing? So we’re reaching out to the number. One thing we’re doing is reaching out to other channel owners and cross collaborating with them. Yeah, because CFL promotes our video on their channel and gets a shout out for it.

With a call to action that’s number one, two email lists are huge. So before we’re doing Facebook ads or YouTube ads themselves, definitely outreach is the number one thing. Yeah. So this is, I put this in the category and pay the butts with equity. You can make a lot of money by buying rent, rehab, and repair.

There’s also a lot of risks, but in this case, it’s not really a risk other than just losing gear, your buddy and paying an influencer a hundred bucks and they don’t share, or they share your video, but nobody watches it. It’s a numbers game. It’s reaching out to as many. And that’s why, we’ve had YouTubers themselves.

Come to us to manage the channels because they just, they don’t want, they know what the work is. And so we have a system in place. We follow it. It’s not for everybody. There’s a lot of work. That’s why we’re not afraid. Like we have, it’s an investor manual. I don’t even know 300 pages I think, or 200 and change.

We share everything that we do. I don’t care if somebody can go and take it and try to do it themselves, they’ll realize after a while, it’s hard. You have to be very good, partly right. YouTube changes all the time. And so if you’re not staying up with YouTube rules and what you’re allowed to, one of our biggest investments in.

Is copyright issues. W we’re very careful with that because if you get strikes against your channel the music that you play in the background of a video if you’re using something that’s copyrighted, or if you’re using the actual editing so if I’m using Floyd Mayweather, but I’m showing 12 seconds versus nine seconds of that actual clip, that channel could be flagged for awhile.

And you don’t want that. Cause if you have too many. You eventually lose out from the opportunity of making a return on your investment and we don’t want that. So that’s where we invest internally. A lot is staying up to date with what are those rules? What do we have to do when we’re uploading content?

Because we want to protect. And that’s also why we don’t share a lot of the channels that other investors have, because then you can have competitors going out there and trying to do something to mess with the channel. And we don’t want to do that either. So we leave that up to the investor. If they want to share their channel.

Like I have a family, I think I shared it before. Yeah, I love golf. And they think it’s very cool. They want to share that with their friends, their family. Great. Other than that’s up to them. Yeah. I think what this really comes down to is magnified as if you’re, let’s say you are an e-commerce person, right?

You sell weighted blankets or you sell kitchen chairs. You buy a channel that’s in there, you push your product through it, or it’s funny, you said I just spoke to a big angel investor before I was joining you. And that’s what he’s looking for is he wants to start an entrepreneurial channel.

That’s just going to be like, 10 fun facts about Steve jobs, 10 things that you didn’t know about Elon Musk and his goal is that, to get it to one of those channels that are getting 10 million views on. And then halfway through the video, we’re going to interject an ad. So it will look like it’s coming from YouTube, but we’ll stop our 10 things about has.

And interject and add about, Hey, are you a startup? And if you are, and you’re looking for, financial capital, what have you click down below and come and watch this free 30 minute webinar. And then it will come back into our video that we’re creating. So our content team will always be, just inserting that ad of his, in the middle of our content.

Now that will affect the channel when we go to salvage channel, if you ever wanted to sell it in the future, It’s somebody else’s business advertised in the middle of the video and we can’t change that ever. So that’s the flip side. He doesn’t care about that, but we always make people aware of that.

So that’s what family offices play around, where they buy good businesses that supplement each other that are in the same industry when you are there, they magnify the businesses, others most people here, if you’re. $10 million and above. You’re not listening to many podcasts. Your most people listed are somewhere between one and 10.

Maybe, probably not to that stage, but I think it’s interesting to get insights of how wealthy families do this type of stuff. And it, to me, makes so much sense, but you need a lot of money to pull off fullest, pull this star strategy off. Definitely. Sod, who’s my business partner.

He’s been, that’s how he started. I was doing this for a family office back in 2006. And they were investing over seven figures into this, but they saw the opportunity. They understood. It’s like owning a billboard. Yeah. I don’t know if you’ve ever had anybody on your show about billboards.

But there’s a lot of money in that. And that’s what this story is. This is an advertisement in the middle of interesting content. A billboard is just, a popular road you’re driving down and you see this billboard that billboard owner is making. And, if you look at how family offices have made their money, initially, how they got wealthy as they concentrated one thing, they were an operator of some business and then they diversified into half real estate.

I think that’s the safer way of going to build your wealth over a long period of time. But yeah. You also look at the people. I think Forbes did a study of the fortune 40 or 400, right? The people that were there, that they did a study of the people that left it.

And the reason why they left is because they were too much concentrated area. So what got them there, what was also knocked them off the horse. So it’s a prudent advice is to concentrate in the beginning, whether for a lot of people listening, the way you guys are going to get rich as investing in value.

But, this is 10%. What we do is only 10% of somebody. It shouldn’t be more than 10% in my opinion. I’m a big fan of Charlie Munger. If you haven’t read the book, read old Charlie’s Almanac, it’s like this big it’s phenomenal. But it’s a great book and that’s Charlie Munger. Who’s Warren Buffet’s partner.

That’s the investment philosophy, right? It’s boring. But it’s what makes money consistently over time. And then you can take 10% and try different. But trouble is on YouTube and podcast land. And some of the guys listening are broke, they’re under a million dollars net worth at some of the advice that they say does not apply.

And then you got guys like Kiyosaki spoon off a bunch of random stuff to different chat, different things at different channels, different audiences. And it’s even making it more confusing. Is he saying. Diversification is radiates or something like that. Like it’s just so much noise out there.

It makes it a little difficult. Yeah. And I don’t understand that also. Yeah. I get one folks are like bashing also, you hear with, real estate or whatever, like it’s that? I don’t think so. It’s not going anywhere. I’ve got an investment property. I would never sell it. I’m not going to so yeah, no I’m with it.

That one always gets clicks. The real estate market is it’s going to crash, right? Yeah, what it is. That’s how a company like Buzzfeed has become who they are. It’s this, a very good copywriter makes a ton of money because that’s what they’re doing. I don’t know if you’ve ever heard of our girl financially.

They’re very big in the finance space for newsletters that you can subscribe to for 2000 to $5,000 a newsletter. And that’s all, when you lead through all of that The headlines for the newsletters. It’s all clickbait. That’s very much what it is. Some of the writers are very good.

Don’t get me wrong, and that’s what you’re paying for. They got to get attention in a noisy world learning brew. A great example of a SAS business. That’s just mentioned morning, BU and who’s that that just sold the hustle they do sold to HubSpot and that was brilliant.

This morning, again, MailChimp was purchased. You’ve got the hustle that was bought by HubSpot for 30 million hours. They wanted the audience and it just made sense to TopSpot and it’s a content company. That’s what the hustle was.

And that’s it for the show again, the disclaimer is, do your own due diligence. And people always ask me, Hey, have you heard of this guy? Have you invested with this guy?” Guys? I don’t do that anymore. I’m not giving out any financial advice. If you guys want to get in the inner circle, join the family office ohana mastermind, we’ve got over 70, 80 people in there.

You have to pay to play, sometimes we’ll do events where you guys can interact with some of the live accredited investors within our community, but due to some people finding out about us, if people have found a great place to pull off very trusting investors in our group.

So we’ve had to close the walls, helped Japan in the 19 hundreds. You guys want to join that, go to simple passive cashflow.com/journey. Or if you don’t just throw down your money everywhere and hopefully you don’t blow your leg off, stepping on a landmine. All right. So you guys bye.

September 2022 Monthly Market Update

What’s up folks. This is the September, 2022 monthly market update where I go through a bunch of news headlines that I feel really impacts how investors should be thinking. Welcome everybody. This is the monthly market update. Here we go. Now I’ve gotta warn you guys that this is going to be a pretty beefy presentation today.

I went a little bit crazy with the amount of articles. I think a lot of people have been really attuned to what’s been going on with all this talk about recession, Ukraine and supply chain in China. But I would say if you don’t know what to do with your money and it’s sitting in some kind of 401k with some financial planner or Vanguard or fidelity or some kind of retail investment option, I would say pick up my book.

The journey, the simple passive cash flow. I think we’re up to almost a hundred reviews now. But here we go. And if not, if you guys like podcasts, check out our podcast, simple passive cash flow, passive real estate investing. We also put this up on the podcast too. And for those of you guys who are listening on the podcast right now we also have all the slides that we’re gonna be going over today on simple passive cash flow.com/investor letter, where if those of you guys joining us live, thank you for doing so.

If you have any questions or comments, as it comes up, feel free to drop into a comment below. It somehow magically fed me. And I do give you guys a shout out as we do this live, but here we go. Indicators for a recession. There’s some flowing data. This is a pretty cool article or it’s actually not really an article, it’s just pictures, but they graph eight different types of supposedly indicators for recession.

And in case you’re wondering the 2020 recession, which it technically was since the country was shut down that was a recession, but they’re showing like what’s been going on this last six months before and downturn six months after, and you can take a look at some of these, percent change in non-farm employees, employment level.

Unemployment is at an all time low right now. Industrial production is very high. GDP increases higher personal consumption, GDP product, personal income except manufacturing. But the other three, I mentioned they are. Comparing pretty well, that really begs the question or really in a recession.

Are we just gleaning what the headlines are saying? As I said earlier, unemployment is at about 3.5%, which is very low. And to some people who believe in healthy economics, they believe that unemployment should go up and down a little bit within the ranges of five to 10%. Maybe not 10%, but maybe five to 8%.

But certainly right now at 3.5%, we are very low and this is pretty evident in, people are getting paid, are able to go around and negotiate higher salaries. And this is humbled with the inflation data, which is inflation really higher than what it really is.

Right now it’s put out there at 9.1%, but when it’s been said that they remove the energy costs and some of the food costs and some of these other things, is inflation really higher than it really is, which I would probably argue that it is, it’s probably more like 10 to 15%.

And why does that really matter? If you have your money sitting in some kind of investment account or worse in cash holding onto the sidelines, I would say that’s the worst option you could be doing? GDP growth from b.gov, real GDP decreased at an annual rate of 0.6% in the second quarter of 2022.

Following a 1.6% increase in the first quarter, the second quarter decrease was revised up 0.3% point from the advance estimate released in July, the smaller decrease in the second quarter, compared to the first quarter primary reflected an upper turn in exports and a smaller decrease in federal spending. So Novo grad, a website that I follow for different tax information.

They’ll release semi commentary on, like solar and, taxes in general, but they had an article on there talking about Biden science, inflation reduction act into the law, including renewable energy provisions. It was a 750 billion budget. And a lot of people, especially Republicans were laughing saying like what the heck type of inflation reduction act.

That actually is spending money, it’s counterintuitive, it was a cut down bill from almost like two or three times what it was. So $750 billion of government spending is a fraction of what it was. So from that point of view, it actually is a little bit of inflation helps a little bit, or it helps inflation a little bit.

But the things that were stuffed into this bill were renewal energy production tax credits, and investment tax credit. But who knows how that will work its way through the system, but the government continues to spend more.

But then, I always talk about the fundamentals, there’s all this stuff coming around and news headlines, but what are the fundamentals? And that’s really what I think what attracts a lot of folks to our community is, value investing, whether that’s investing in companies where they produce some kind of economy that people need in good times or bad times, or this is one of the main reasons we invest in residential real estate.

Multi-housing news reports that 4.3 million new apartments are needed by the year 2035. And this new demand research shows that despite economic uncertainty and growth during the pandemic in single family sales and new products such as built to rent, the fundamentals for multi-family remain strong underbuilding largely resulting from the 2008 financial crisis and decline of 4.7 million dollar affordable units. So basically, it’s the lower middle class that are the underserved more immigration. And those immigrants who are on the lower end of the economic spectrum who live in apartments are the ones driving up this demand.

And some 40% of the future demand for apartments will come just from these three states. You guessed it, Texas, Florida, and California, which alone will require 1.5 million units in the next 13 years. Things are happening now. Things can get really good. Things might take a turn for the worst. We don’t know, but in the long term, people need a place to live. Now, the visual capitalists report that these are the salaries needed to buy a home in 50 US cities. And The top 10 are San Jose, San Francisco, San Diego, Los Angeles, Seattle, Boston, New York city, Denver, Austin, Washington, DC.

So these are all the places where the median home prices range from half a million to $1.8 million. And in San Jose, you need a salary of $330,000 to be able to afford an immediate home there all the way down to Washington DC at 110,000. So pretty ridiculous.

As I get more involved in hotel investments, large brands like Hiltons, the Marriots make a lot of money. They make the most money off their timeshares because it’s just a branding in play. So when somebody is making a lot of money off one product line, you as the consumer, in this case, people buying timeshares, those are the worst products to buy. So don’t do that.

If you guys like this video and you wanna make up for that person, please like it or share it with your friends. But continuing on, so flip flop it, the salary needs to buy a home in the bottom 50 US states. Those would be. Pittsburgh, Oklahoma city, Cleveland, Louisville, St. Louis, Detroit, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Memphis, Indianapolis, those salaries range from 42,000 to 53,000.

And those median home prices range from 185,000 to 271,000. Now I think this is where like most of our clients who live in high price areas like California, Hawaii, tech, we have a lot of investors in Texas, but their home prices are pretty low. But some of these other places have a lot of sticker shock.

When you start to see some of these, where one place we invest in like Cleveland, 190, $2,000 for a median home price. Actually we don’t, we invest in too many at these places, but I used to want a home in Indianapolis. 271,000. That this is how a lot of America, in fact, probably the majority of the people in America not invest, but live in these types of homes.

I’ve always said, when you’re buying your little rental property as most non credit investors do, a lot of us are accredited investors these days. When you’re trying to buy that first rental, you’re looking for anywhere from like 80% of the median home price.

So what does that mean? So if you’re looking at $192,000 median home prices in Cleveland, maybe starting around $160,000 is a bad place to stay, to start looking. But I think, a lot of unsophisticated investors when they start off and I was there at one time, you’re starting off to what one of these.

Areas like, your Indianapolis is good and the median home price is $271,000 are there. And I see a lot of people buying houses that are 300,000 and above, and now you’re starting to get more into the B plus a minus type of tenant profile there. And you’re just not gonna get the returns you are.

Although there is a, probably a lot less headache investing that way. So CBR braces for impact of interest rates hike. So there’s no secret that the interest rates pushed up again and it probably will push up maybe another two or three more times. So what this is doing, it’s creating an aftershock into the capital markets, which is, basically the capital Marx is the term.

Where people get their loans from the banks. The Fed increased rates in March with a 25 basis point hike and a 50 basis point hike in may. And the three quarter 0.75 for you, people who understand numbers more than English terms that got raised in July. Now the largest since 1994. And it’ll probably get pushed up a couple more times.

Like I said, now, the goal, the Fed, what they’re doing is they’re raising the Fed’s fund rates to fight inflation. So it’s one of those things where you increase the interest rate to Dow inflation, because what probably happens is that the cost of capital you can’t expand. Businesses can’t buy more factories or infrastructure or, on our end, like our cost of borrowing money to buy assets such as apartments, our ability to go down.

So our ability to pay more goes down. Sure. This also affects the Joe blow random small homeowner, right? Their affordability obviously goes down too, the world doesn’t revolve around the little homeowner, it, the way I see it, if you look at what the businesses are doing. And in this case, the business will not be expanding.

Now at some point, they’re probably gonna change their forecasts. Whether that’s next quarter or next year or years down the line, they may say maybe we shouldn’t make as many widgets or units, whatever their business may be. And also let’s also, now let’s start to maybe not hire as much, not replace attrition or maybe even cut back on hiring.

And that is what the Fed is trying to do. They’re trying to create that behavior to push that or unemployment to creep up right now, like we said, it was 3.5%. It probably needs to be almost double that for, to get to a point where we can get back to a little bit more equilibrium. I follow a guy, Richard Duncan, if you guys are interested in this stuff and really wanna understand it as opposed to just get, screwed around left and right with all these news headlines.

I would go to simplepassivecashflow.com/duncan, and read a, watch a couple of those podcasts there, how everything’s connected now, the problem is like this stuff, isn’t exactly in a vacuum and with the war Ukraine and the China, still a kind of in lockdown, basically pushing up our cheap labor sources.

Now that’s also gumming up how this is all working. And also it’s not like you, you push up the 0.75 points on the rate and the inflation pops up. It’s just not that there’s gonna be slack in the system. And the one good thing going into, the past year, there was a lot of money liquidity in the system.

So it’s gonna take a while for that to drink, which results in a longer slack period. Now obviously the fit is watching this and they’ve probably got the best insiders in the game, or they should make sure that they don’t tip the scales and push us into a hard landing recession. But, I think this is all very natural and it’s one personally, I don’t really wanna see rents go up 10, 20, 30% or 10 or 20%, like how we’ve been seeing it. I think that’s the most sustainable. What I would rather see is just the normal, two to 3% rent increases, which is just normal average, basic inflation.

Because when you’re a business owner, you just wanna do business in normal times as opposed to things going up and down. And that’s what the Fed proposes in my opinion. And I gotta, I have faith that’s what their angle is just to keep the highs, not as high, but the lows not as low and compensate things out to make things a little bit less bipolar.

Pretty much give it a L give the economy a little bit of I don’t know, a drug that is, little more chilled out I guess. Multi-housing news reports, senior housing’s next wave of investment opportunity, like how we were saying, there’s a huge demand and supply shortage for low income housing in apartments. But there’s also a bunch of baby boomers going to be retiring right now, but it’s gonna be a while till they need that senior housing facility.

And nobody knows exactly when that will hit. We’re not there yet, but there’s an obvious need for this in the future. a 45% uptick in construction loans for the first to third quarters of 2021 on the investment sign transactions quickly started to rebound in 2021 and Tate, a 55 year over year increase. Now, I think there’s obviously a silver wave, what they call it, that the baby boomers need these facilities. But I personally really haven’t found reliable operators who could capitalize on this wave. So basically good surf conditions, but coming, but nobody can surf too well, basically.

And, as an investor, unless you’re the one who’s gonna get your hands dirty, take out all the debt and the risk and be the young person who makes the on the general partner side, you’re looking for people who are standout operators that are honest, that do what they say they’re gonna do to help you capitalize on these macroeconomic and microeconomic events.

So Fred Mac expects, the pace of growth is slow in the second half of this year. I think that’s what everybody has known. And I, what I wanted to compare here really is look in 2021, look at that kind of just slack back year from 20. It’s just worked, do it.

And I, and a lot of the industry reports that I read. And if you guys are interested in that send an email to team@simplepassivecashflow.com. We can send you everything that we read or what I read, but, I guess what they’re saying is 2022 will continue to be, as slower growth year 20, 23 is a slower growth year, but 20, 24 is when things are off to the races.

So I think a lot of people may make the mistake of it. All right. I’ll just chill out and do nothing for 2024 and just sit on my butt and have my money lose 9.1% every year with inflation. I guess that is a semi logical idea, but unfortunately I think the way it works is like, once things get moving, you can’t get into these assets for the prices that right now they’re fetching for right now, As the same goes the best time that buy was yesterday and in support to buy under fundamentals, despite what is going on in headlines.

Now, this is a top and bottom 10 metros by gross income growth. The top ones were Jacksonville, Albuquerque, Tampa, West Palm Beach, Orlando, Phoenix, Tucson, Memphis Raleigh, and Fort Lauder. Their annualized growth in income was 12.7% to about 10%. Vacancy rates range from 2.7% up to four, up to five and a half. That’s a normal vacancy rate. I would say some of the bottom metros were Memphis. I don’t wanna talk about Memphis Minneapolis. Washington DC. Lexton Knoxville, Kansas city St. Louis, New Orleans, Columbus, Buffalo, San Jose. Those annualized growth range from 3.1% to 4.8% and their vacancy ranges from 2.7% in Buffalo, all the way up to 8.9% in Washington DC.

The one outlier I see on this list is I thought Knoxville was a little bit better than that, but, maybe that was like Knoxville’s kind of Boise, Idaho, where it had a huge 2001. Maybe it just got a little too overheated and slack back. Not to say it’s bad, anything bad with that market.

But sometimes when you have a breakout year like that, you’re bound to come backwards and it gets lost in these types of arbitrary ranking articles. Joint center for housing studies of the smart people at Harvard university, who makes these really insightful articles. They’re talking about rental deserts perpetuate social economic and racial segregation. Rental deserts are disproportionately located in the suburbs where there are restrictive land use regulations and not in my backyard. I N Y politics can be common. So to highlight that a few of these rental opportunities for households in these neighborhoods, less than 20% of housing units are either occupied by a renter or are vacant for rent. In contrast, I rental errors are at least 80% rentals where a mixture of neighborhoods fall in between the two.

The lack of multi family homes in these neighborhoods is like a significant factor in limiting opportunities for rental households and for lower income renters in particular, single family homes are much more common in rental deserts, which is Unsurprisingly given that single family homes have higher ownership rates than in units in multifamily buildings, kind of obvious stuff.

But it’s kinda interesting. Maybe, if you guys check out the video on this, check out some of these slides at Harvard university put together but moving on Arbor reports at small multifamily investment trends report of 2022 Q2, the they’ve got like a little chart of the action, the volume year over.

The record total represented both a wave of pent up investment in bands that sat on the sign lines during this pandemic. I’m searching for 2020 in anticipation of the monetary Titan. The 2020 ones, the original nation’s total, represented an increase of 5 35 0.6 billion, up 63% from the prior year.

Yeah, I would say, yeah, 2020. We lost half of the year because nobody was really doing business, ourselves included. But as the second half of 2020 went on and 2022 was a big year acquisition wise for ourselves. Key factor that led to an unprecedented search in ordination value volume last year was a wave of refinancing activity ahead of the federal reserve initiating its interest rate hikes. But I think a lot of the mainstream medias, it’s whoa is me, the interest rates, have gone up the last several months to a lot higher levels, everybody in the know, knew it was happening, in 2021 or at least this time of 2021, it really isn’t that surprise to any of us.

Now, how long is it gonna go? That’s the other question? But yeah, refinances and loan originations really took a tail off Q1 of this year.

but, I think the important thing for people who own real estate is rents continue to go up. And in this case, small multi-family asset valuations continue to grow at a robust rate. Best time the buy was yesterday, especially if you cash flow through it cap rates and spreads. Now this is comparing all multifamily with smaller multifamily.

I don’t know exactly what they mean by smaller multifamily. I gotta believe it’s like your 20 units that a hundred units. And then all multifamily is skewing in like larger complexes. Two to 400 units would be the way I would be reading the differential. Usually the smaller multi-families have a little bit of higher cap rate because they’re in less desirable areas which have higher caps and they’re just not as an institutional, they’re a little bit more effort required for those small multi families, but you can see there’s always gonna be a spread between the two, but what’s interesting here is in the year 2020.

Well actually tell end in 19 early 2020, there was like a little pinch where the way I read that is people started to really buy a little more of the smaller multi families. And then there was a little bit of pinch mid 20, 20, but then I think we’re getting back to the normal Delta between N two, how that impacts your regular past investor, who knows, but I don’t know.

I guess I’m interested in this stuff and looking for stuff to do with just sitting on our hands a little bit, waiting for the interest rates or the capital markets. To get on frozen. We actually were gonna sell some of these assets, which the bread was ready to take out the oven, but, unfortunately the buyer market dried up because nobody can really qualify for good lending options.

So it just froze everything and, just, it is what it is. I guess it’s good for people who are in deals and probably frustrating for people who are waiting on the sideline to deploy capital, especially now that they know they’re getting 9.1% of their money every year expense ratios basically like what are you running the assets at?

Normally normal rule of thumb that they always teach you is like 50% expense ratio with apartments. You can run that little bit leaner because it’s more economies a scale, this is showing how assets were performing. 2020 was a lower year than 2021, obviously, because I think like what we did a lot in 2020 is we didn’t have the staff running around.

It was just per appointment. If something broke we wouldn’t get in there and fix it. If it, unless it was absolutely needed because you just wanted to limitate the contact between your staff and your tenants. And it shows how drastically things have changed in two years. Whereas 2021 people are like, all right, fix my stuff.

I don’t care. Wear your mask. I don’t care if you wear your mask, get in there, fix my stuff. So things are went back to normal in 2021. And then, back to where we are in 2022 2020, I see it as a year was everybody was hibernating, like big fat sleeping bears.

And, that’s why the expense ratios were maybe 20% lower what it was in 2021, but all this is in hindsight. And it’s kind, as I looked through this, these big macro industry data, I can give you guys a little bit more insight on what actually drove things.

This is the discussion on loan to value ratios. So in 2020 2019, you had a high amount of debt given out, and this is typical, right? Like things get hot, which happened in, in a 2019. And then there was a, that natural thing called that pandemic happened and it cooled off the market.

And right now we’re in a bad part for capital lending too, where, it’s normally the banks will like to lend at a certain level, but they’ll give exceptions or this is how the commercial markets work. Thinking back on the whole single family home, you, I think what they’ll do is they’ll slowly, people will apply for loans and there may be some exceptions that change.

Something that I can think of is a member several years back, they required like a certain amount of cash reserves, like three months, six months. And at some point they, they loosened up restrictions and, these are the things that kind of play out over the years. For a lot of new investors, this is nowhere near where things were in 2008 where you just needed a heartbeat to get a loan.

Those ninja loans. And I think that’s a big, fundamental difference that it’s just not the same thing in 2008, as it is now. It’s actually hard for like responsible Americans who have a good job. So you even qualify for debt on even little rental properties top 10 metros for multifamily starts.

So this is where they’re building more stuff and you can look at it one or two ways first. So while there’s more supply coming online or which is, could be bad, if you’re there cuz more competition, but it can also be like why are they building more? Why are these smart institutions building more stuff there?

Because the freaking demand is there. So that can be good for you. But that’s Al there’s always kind of two sides. Multiple ways to look at data. Reading up from the top to the bottom New York city, Dallas, Washington, DC, Miami, Austin, Texas, Phoenix, Atlanta, Seattle, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, and you can see the percent changes and the overall total value from number one was New York city area up 20%, total value, 15.3 billion.

And number two, Dallas was 8.1 billion. So half that in New York city it just shows how expensive that real estate is up there. But Dallas went up 72% where New York only went up 20%. Phoenix is another one that people follow a lot of 53% and then total value 4.2 billion. So half that of Dallas and less than a third of New York.

Multi-housing news top 50 multi-family property management firms at 2022. So I just wanted to put this up here because we’ve jumped property management companies and, we started with a midsize small to midsize regional company. And lately we’ve jumped up to that next level of bigger property management companies, the match, better partner not equity partner, but partnership, like they need units and they wanna work with more of an institutional ownership group.

And so we wanna work with a company that is bigger, has more assets under management. One of ’em that we work with is Lincoln down there in Texas, which is number two, they’ve got 210,000 units, little property management companies, mom and paw in the residential world. I think they’re usually between a hundred or few hundred properties, but we’re talking 210,000 units is what Lincoln holds. From what I’ve seen, I’m impressed by a lot of their back office support. And, I think for a lot of us that work for big companies you can see the waste, especially if you work for the government.

There are a lot of things that I’ve seen that a larger property management company they’ll offer the back support. It’s not the they’ll do things and they’ll negotiate better contracts for like materials, or if you’ve gotta like procure, lawn share equipment, they just already have it in their own in-house CA catalog.

Where they’ll support the in the onsite management staff, cuz normally the manage, you would think the management staff is the one buying all this stuff and procuring and searching for the best prices from vendors. The nice thing when you have a larger company is the home office, does it.

And then the people who are boots on the ground at the property can focus on what they’re really there for, which is to help out tenants, customers, support and market.

All right, ya already matrix multi-family market outlook for July, 2022 rent growth, moderates as economy and demand soften remains lofty by historical standards. And I think that’s that kind of summarizes things. Things are slowing down a little bit, but they’re still growing folks. As they say remains lofty by historical a historical standards.

The average us asking rent rose 10, $10 to 1717 in July making the fifth consecutive month of deceleration and the loss increase since January year over year of growth. It’s so growth. Nevertheless Florida markets remain in the lead in rent gains, Orlando, Miami Tampa, San Francisco, Baltimore twin cities posted the lowest rent increases.

The overall trend is attributed to an return to the mean combined with the slowing economy. In addition to the slowing economy, consumer confidence in waning as the federal reserve has kept rising policy rates attempting to slow inflation. Now, again, that’s what I was saying earlier in this this video, but I always like to read it in multiple places.

And I’m sure you guys too, from, other, disruptable sources. Their next takeaways, occupancy remains at 96% for the third consecutive quarter. Now occupancy is, indicators, supply versus demand, and it is the second big thing you look at when you’re looking at the health and wellbeing of your asset.

San Jose, 1.7%, New York, Chicago, and San Francisco, all 1%. Those are your strongest occupancies.

Next, finding supply demand, imbalance sustains growth in the US currently has a shortage of 600,000 units. Another 3.7 million units are needed through 2035 to meet demand. I don’t know if that’s exactly what they said in the article we started out with in the beginning of the video, but still the same narrative, right?

That’s the important thing. The study took into consideration social factors, impacting demands, such as delayed marriage and childbearing, as well as the increased age of first time home buyers. And then the last finding here, single family rentals make the best of interest rate hikes. The asking rent for single family sector growth, 11.2% year over year 21 posted rent growth at 10% with Orlando national Miami in the occupancy degrees by 30 basis.

Point year over year in June, as the rate fell in 24 of the top 35 metros. The one thing I don’t like about when they report on this single family rental. I always question the validity of the data, because it’s so hard to get the data from like little mom and Paul homeowners, which is, who owns most of the little single family home rentals.

And it’s so much more spread in, in the, like in like rents went up. We all know that went up maybe 10% the last couple years across. If you pick any random Metro out there, but depending how sophisticated or how much C you had as a landlord, really determined if you really bump, rents up, Some people were just right on the ball and was able to get a hundred dollars, $150 under a thousand dollars a month.

Some landlords, a lot of these guys who, you know, they’re in, like our Facebook group and they’re just amateur landlords. They’re frozen, solid, they’re freaked out. And they’re like, they’re the ones calling their tenants asking, Hey, can we like pardon you on rent? Like completely doing the opposite, what they should be doing, which is raising rents.

But, I think that’s why single family home rentals are just all over the place due to the amateur status of the operators in that world. So whenever I see data like this, I’m always like questioning a lot. Wealth management.com reports at garden apartments remain favorite among multifamily buyers and garden apartments are, so there’s Highrise apartments, which I think mostly will think of, apartments, big skyscrapers or bigger, more than four or five stories. Those are typically your nicer buildings. But the garden apartments, a lot of these are more geared towards lower middle class families. And that’s what we like to focus in on. They’re typically more in a sub urban type of market and they’re a little bit more reasonable and, it’s, they’re great for pandemic, minded people who, it’s a little more spread out, you’re not on top of, all your tenants sharing, all the limited resources for like common areas and stuff like that.

Arbor reports, rental housing markets, exhibit cyclical, stability complaint contain structural questions. Yeah. So this is showing the implied possibilities of effective federal fund range. Target range by date Arbor is like a lender. So a lot of their articles are more geared towards more sophisticated operators, but I always put these on here. The passive investors we have are pretty smart.

At least you could, it challenges you guys intellectually. I think it least, maybe it challenges myself. So one, one thing that’s happening is declining spending power is having a tangible effect on the ability of consumers to afford data expenses. This is evident by taking fuel. Gasoline costs have gone up for your middle class, lower middle class people out there. Now that is a lot more impactful than the kind of wealthy people who probably don’t really care.

They may complain about it, but it sure isn’t changing people’s behavior. Very much. This is a graph of the relationship between rental vacancy, which is the dark green and the home ownership rate, which is the light green. And you can kinda see home ownership peak in 2020, not 20 2002 to 2006, which is part of the reason why that whole 2008 fiasco cause too many damn people who couldn’t afford houses were buying houses because I don’t, I think that was kind of George Bush’s thing was that they felt like everybody.

Owned their own house. So the home ownership rate went up to 70, 69%. Then in 2014, it fell to, in recent years, the low of 63 2020 was a time where interested were really low and people were able to save some money. So it jumped up to 68% temporarily, but it came back down to baseline, which is tied under 66%, which is about midrange right here, actually.

It’s funny, that spike in 2020, that’s probably, summer of 2020, that was when, a lot of our B plus a minus type of assets. A lot of those tenants who are, a little bit better off tenants, they, they used the opportunity to go buy a house and they moved out.

So we had some temporary vacancy hits during the summer of 2020 when this was actually happening. There I go with my little stories from the apartment world to bring some of this dry charts to life. So here’s another thing RA business online. Their prediction is institutions will own 40% of all single family rentals by the year 2030. I remember it happening in 2008 or 2010. And then what they figured out was it’s really hard for them to operate these single family homes, scattered all around the neighborhood, which is one of the main reasons I focus on apartments, cuz all your stuff is right there and your staff can really focus on a small geographic area.

That’s spending burning up most of their hours, traveling from one place to another. And looking for lost parts without all their stuff being there. But again, recently seeing a lot of institutions coming in, buying big chunks of single family homes and get into these built to rent projects. And it’s the, it’s pro yeah, probably are right.

I probably will agree that more institutions are gonna be gobbling up a bigger percentage of the single family home rental stock. Mom and pot owners still make up most of the single family rentals, but institutions are increasing market share with a heavy concentrate in the Sunbelt. So I don’t think it’s too late if you’re still buying rental properties, just know that the trend is coming.

Sad because maybe in a 50 years, a hundred year in the future, maybe, the doors are always closing and real estate is a nice way for the last, for the average person to become semi wealthy. Get above a few million dollars doing it. This opportunity called you know, being a landlord or a passive investor might be closing up as institutions are able to get more hands on using technology to operate these, semi cumbersome assets, but now use their institutional financing power to, just buy more and more of these things, pushing the small guy out.

We have a bunch of people on our investor group that, geek out on little mainframe computers, these days Amazon is just killing everybody, doing that stuff. You can’t really make it on as your little small mainframe operator.

Across the nation rising rent prices, increase interest rates, limit access to home ownership. I think that’s probably what you’re seeing. Some of the prices stagnant across the country, or maybe decrease a little bit. Certainly I don’t believe in any type of like housing crisis. Goodness gracious. But I guess that does do sell a lot of YouTube views.

Yahoo reports. Blackstone is preparing a record 50 billion vehicle to soup up real estate bargains during the downturn. Here’s how to lock it up in higher yields than the big money. So yeah, like we said, on the last slide, the big institutions are trying to get more and more into the game and this is the them taking up market share from the small mom and Paul, I.

But, I think take a page from these big smart companies like Blackstone. They’re not just sitting on the sideline, they’re in there actively buying stuff. And now they’re doing it a L and N reports and updated run down rent growth, rent growth kind of went up quite a bit. But it’s slowing a little bit stilling. The main factor impacting rank world since the start of last year has been a supply demand imbalance.

It is showing the the monthly Nett absorption and average rent change nationwide still, like big data nationwide, but it does tell the story a little bit. Of course, you always gotta dig into individual markets and more importantly, submarket. I think this is, these are the general trends.

Again, I’d suggest you guys check out the video on the slide, but don’t lose fact of in the last 17 months from March, 2021 to July, 2022 national average effective rent rose by 22%. Normally again, folks it’s supposed to go up like two to 3% every year. So I would say that’s almost like three or four times the average.

Re business online reports to Intel Brookfield to jointly invest 30 billion for the expenses of semiconductor manufacturing plants in Chandler, Arizona. These are the things as an investor you wanna invest in good stories like this, a new supply of good jobs in this case, semiconductors, which is a big deal.

I would check out some of the articles and YouTube videos on semiconductors and Arizona, but it’s exciting. And as an Intel is making a run to reclaim the semiconductor crown from TSMC and get us our independence from Taiwan and China. I. After you asked the question, wonder if the con continuation of interest rate rising will push out ineffective, inexperienced syndicators and operators.

So to answer that question, in my opinion, interest rates don’t really matter, right? Because if you’re already in deals, you’re you’re good, right? You don’t really have to worry about things cuz it’s not like your rate’s gonna really jump up. And if you’re doing any type of value, add strategy, surely in two years or three years, when your note comes due, you’ve created a whole bunch of value.

So it’s really an afterthought. What the interest rates are doing are impacting new in inexperience operators who don’t have much capital behind them because now they have to cough up more funds to close a deal. But I think what’s testing a lot of people, which really didn’t really talk about today in any of these news headlines, is that right now a lot of people are facing the backlash of a lot of the the rent moratoriums on folks.

Where previously in 2020 they froze all the evictions, right? Couldn’t evict people. Basic basically. There were still ways to evict people, but 20, 21, I believe, I might be butchering the timeline, but that was when they said, all right, you guys can, there’s no more moratoriums.

Somehow the CDC got involved with that. People can get evicted now, but it wasn’t, there’s always a slack in this stuff. How is the courts gonna interpret this? And so we really didn’t start to see it come out for six months to a year after. So talking 20, 22, maybe late 20, 20, 21, when you actually started to see these evictions go through the system, and now you’re starting to deal with the.

The bad debt where people just don’t pay and now you can enforce it. But in that meantime, you’ve got a couple months where you have a non-pay unit, then you have another two to two weeks, maybe even a month or more of rehabbing the unit, getting it back online and maybe another week or two to get it released up in the, and get somebody paying in there.

And of course, you’ve got another couple weeks or month of concessions you’ve made, varying levels of concessions, such as a hundred dollars off the first month or half months off the first month, the rest you have to count for. So that’s really what I think a lot of people ourselves included are challenged through now.

And it’s something that the, I think something like that will never get published in a regular type of publication, because it’s just complicated to, to keep track of. It’s it’s more complicated than your Monte Netflix special. For those people who are interested in a interesting story and wondering what was his girlfriend real?

I would suggest watching that video or it’s two hours long, but, getting back to the whole eviction moratorium thing, it is a little bit confusing. And, a lot of people just don’t understand how long it takes its way to actually to, for the problems that bring it’s ugly face and it’s right now.

I think a lot of that should be worked out maybe in the, in, throughout this year early into next. But I think that’s where a lot of the struggles with the industry which you get over, right? If you have enough capital reserves to get through it and your occupancy doesn’t drop too much should be no problem to get through.

Thanks Matt, for that. Wallet hub reports, 2022 is best real estate markets. So one through Tenco, Texas Allen, Texas McKinney, Texas, Austin, Texas Nashville, Tennessee, Carrie, North Carolina, Gilbert, Arizona, Denton, Texas Peria Arizona Richardson, Texas. I’m surprised Gilbert made it on the list. Cause Gilbert, I always said that Gilbert’s kind of on that that east side of Phoenix and it’s funny.

We fought like assets from like the north west corner all the way down to the north or south east corner. And it’s like a slash from upper left hand Northwest to the bottom. And we never picked up any assets. Gilbert. Yeah, but maybe the time might be coming up apparently, but this is just wallet hubs, another whimsical, top 10 less best places to buy a house.

Another one is this is their markets of seriously underwater mortgages. So they’re lowest ones are San Mateo, California daily city, California, Santa Clara, California, San Jose, California, Sunnyville, California, and their highest one. I guess these are the places where people are herding in terms of their mortgages per Illinois, S Shreveport, Los Louisiana, Columbus, Georgia, Bannon Rouge, and St.

Louis, Missouri median days on the market. So the lowest one, and that this is an indicator of how hot the market is. Once Mr. Colorado, Arva Colorado Renton, Washington, Gilbert, Arizona, Everett, Washington. So you have properties in those markets. It’ll go and it’s priced, right? It’ll probably go in like a day or a week.

The worst places where your property’s gonna sit there on the market is Patterson, New Jersey, New York, New Jersey, Miami beach, Florida, Yonkers, New York. So people just aren’t really buying properties out there or is not as much the best city to the worst city differences of differential, five X from Westminster, Colorado to New York.

But how occupancy percent is an indicator for kind of demand and filling vacancies for apartments or rentals. In the real estate transaction world, the retail world, where you’re buying and selling this days on market is the same barometer record setting rent growth in markets in the south and the west eight of the 10 markets with the highest rent growth.

In New York rents rose 20% year of year in the first quarter of 2022, a dramatic turnaround from the first quarter 2021, when rents fell 15% year of year. And in San Francisco, Boston, Los Angeles, Washington, Seattle, where rents fell at least 5% year over year in early 2021 rents were up 10% or more in 2022, which to me is a sign that things are bouncing back it wasn’t.

And this is like where the UTV is, are saying everybody’s moving outta California. Oh my God. Which they generally are, but you, I think it was definitely played up a little bit more and here’s a great chart. By Harvard university of the domestic migration. So the red states are the ones where people are moving out of the only three are New York, Illinois, and California, and the dark blue, the darker blue ones are the ones that people are moving into, which lot in the Southwest, Texas and Arizona.

This is more where international migration is coming in. And, I’m just not gonna really, I don’t know if I should really report on it because there, the numbers that are domestic migration versus international migration is I’m flip flopping between these two slides. It’s 10 X, the amount of domestic migration.

So as I read these states where there’s a. Net international migration, which they’re coming into. I think that’s New York. I think that’s New Jersey. I think that’s Massachusetts. And I think that’s New Jersey Virginia, or probably DC is what they’re talking about there. And then California are the places where you have a lot of international migration.

And then of course, Texas and Florida and New York are the big ones. But one thing that’s interesting that he says many more rural country counties gain migrants in 2021 compared to 2019. So normally you would say the gateway cities like your San Franciscos new Yorks would get a lot of the the bigger. International migrants, but it appears that the trend is moving more towards rural areas.

If you guys are interested in joining our group, first step is always signing up for our club at simple passive cash flow.com/club. We are primarily an accredited investor group these days. So if you guys would like to meet up in person, meet some of the investors, you have to get vetted first, again, going to simple passive casual.com/club.

And from there you can possibly apply to joining our inner circle mastermind at simple passive cash flow.com/journey. But I would say always educate yourself first, check out my book. The free audio version is on simple passive cash flow.com/book. Or I read it out aloud to you guys. And thanks for joining us and we will see you guys next time. Bye.

Coaching Call: High Income + 500k Net Worth

What’s up folks. Now, you guys are in for another treat here. It’s another one of those coaching calls, in which you guys get to spy on somebody and secretly critique them on your way to work. Or maybe you pull this up on your iPad as you’re driving and looking at their personal financial sheet. You can do that on YouTube.

We’ve also put this on YouTube, so you can see the spreadsheet and the numbers, how much they’re making this particular person. We’re talking about a net worth of half a million. They make a pretty good salary, $20,000 of income. And all the other specifics you can see on the YouTube channel.

If you guys like. And you guys don’t want to join our exclusive family office ohana mastermind group, which I don’t know why you wouldn’t. If you’re investing more than a quarter million, half a million dollars. I think it’s a no brainer. I think it’s freaking insurance for going out there and walking off the beaten path of getting out of traditional investments into alternative investments with.

Okay some of you guys invest with random strangers out there crazy that just have a good website. But if you guys like these types of coaching calls you guys can volunteer, send us an email at team@simplepassivecashflow.com. We’ll get you guys set up with them. We can change your name.

We can even create a. But a face on you, apparently zoom can put faces on people and hide your identity pretty well. We also put all these coaching calls in the members portal, which you guys can get access to by signing up at simplepassivecasual.com/club. If you sign up there, you get access to the member’s portal and we have a page where we arrange home.

It must be like over a few dozen of these coaching calls, all nicely arranged by net worth. You can go by your net worth and find. Start listening to this stuff and see your financial life unfold, because as I’ve learned, people think they’re special snowflakes, but in terms of money, it’s the two big ones, what’s your net worth and where’s your monthly income coming in and what’s your net, everybody’s on the same path and journey to financial freedom and it’s nothing special getting there. To me, I’ve figured out the quickest and the safest way to get there. It’s a way of smartly using it that some people are a little spooked out about using. Check out my article at Forbes, I wrote about debt, I think simplepassivecashflow.com/forbes.

I have all my articles in there too. Enjoy the show folks. Check out all these other coaching calls at simplepassivecashflow.com/club, and then you’ll get access to that. Reach out if you guys want to do one of these on your own.

Hey, simple passive cashflow listeners. Today, we are going to do a free coaching call for our buddy Nate here, who is also a pipeline club member. And probably in the next 30 minutes, we’re going to go through his personal financial sheet and get them on a good action plan. And maybe this might be a good model for you to follow.

Maybe it won’t, but hopefully it helps one person along the way. So thanks for jumping on Nate. No problem. Give us a little overview . So I’m a dev ops engineer, which is essentially a system engineer and I work on website Make, with my bonus and make 150,000, my wife has a good job as well. So two of us make pretty decent money for the bay area, and then we have, we had two houses in California. One was our primary residence. So we sold that last year and the other one was our old primary residence, which we are about to sell. I don’t know what else you need to know. Some people are watching this on the YouTube channel, which I would recommend, but for the podcast folks, we just tell them how generally, how old you are.

That’s it. So where you’re at in life. And, let’s see, I’ve been married. I have a three-year-old son. We live in Berkeley, California. Basically I’ve been doing what I do for computers for about 10 years. I worked in biotech after that, before that for about seven years. Pretty simple.

And actually people don’t know what parts of this are fake. They were trying to protect the identity of the real person, if your real name is Nate, but if we just made that up, this is a very typical sample of a bay area investor. So I think this will help out a lot of people.

Moving forward. So right now I have displayed on the screen, the personal financial sheet summary, a good overview, a lot of the other tabs feed into this one, a good overview of what’s happening. Where are you at right now? Because different strategies work for different folks. No part of the simple passive cash flow is, it’s very simple.

If you’re hiring high net worth high paid professionals start with some turnkeys and go on to syndications, but there’s all a lot of little different nuances along the way, a lot of different wealth hacks. And hopefully, you can, we can get a good conversation going, but let’s just figure out where you’re at right now.

So the upper left corner here is the. So you’ve got some, you’ve got some, a little bit of cash savings, hundred, a little over a hundred grand. And you got some real estate holding $600,000 properties that the primary residence or we rent. So that’s our current rental that we have. Okay. Good for you.

I definitely recommend people rent and primary markets. Yeah, we took that advice from you. Yeah. You guys want to read that article that I paid someone 500 bucks to write from its simplepassivecashflow.com/home. Cause I really need to get that message out. We like it. We actually have a, it’s a nicer house that we live in now and yeah.

I don’t know if I told you to do that, usually. And here’s the issue with buying a big primary residence. You’re taking that in the a hundred and maybe in $200,000, a down payment, you could have bought five to 10 rental properties, each cash flow and a couple hundred bucks at least. A lot of spouses don’t care about that.

They’re like they wanna own their home, but then when you show them our market would have been 3000. Let me up the ante and let me, let’s go around and place that’s four or $5,000. Because financially, that makes more sense when you look at the numbers. So that, that usually gets them. My wife’s completely on board.

She’s pretty savvy with this. Or at least more subtle than I have to, you will be successful in life. I, so here, liabilities, and it stacks up with that. The 600,000 rental with it’s always paired mostly. This a $312,000 mortgage, I’m assuming that’s connected. So you’re about 50% loan to value on that.

Then you have a HELOC on that thing. Are you tapping at equity or? I know, so that’s some low hanging fruit and we can talk about that. Sources of cash. Here’s like your cash flow what’s happening on a monthly basis. So you got about 20 grand coming in every month. Which a lot of people would save is very high, but for the area that’s pretty much average.

It’s crazy. Yeah. It’s crazy. And I’m just curious. How much you’re paying for rent? Rent is 4,000. Okay. Okay. Not the nine. How are you getting the 9,000 in there? That is also schooling for my son okay. Okay. So between those two, it’s about 65 or about 6,000. Okay. So this, the private school is what like 30 grand a year, 40 grand a year.

Let’s see. It’s about 2 18 52. We changed it. So it’s a little less than 2000 a month. So that’s 25,000. Yeah. Yeah. I know. That’s a lot of people in Hawaii. You have to do that because public schools are not the greatest. Here in Hawaii, but, yeah, but yeah, you add it right on there.

I was like, whoa, man, you really live in, imagine there, but it looks like that, but that makes total sense. And that’s a decision you guys make and it’s not a bad one. Yeah. So you’re running what I asked a lot of people a lot of time. I don’t want to care how much you make. It’s more, this, the cell. Q 53, that Delta between how much money you’re making and how much money you’re spending. And this is a very healthy number here. You say that you’re able to save about 50 grand a year from average people. You’re like the top  1%. But I would say that from most of my investors.

That’s probably what most people have to say, but I’d say like the 50% of people who got their stuff going the right way. They’re upwards to that. It’s very good, and I would say when you’re above the $50,000 level, depending how much net worth you already have. And if you’ve already been doing this a little bit, you’re likely to be financially free in three to five years. So that’s a great win right there. That’s what we’re shooting for.

But you got, you had some vacations here. Is that kind of taken out of that? And big expenses, I think that’s it. That’s what gets me personally. I don’t have a budget. We don’t go on vacation, so we, yeah. Yeah. We actually like our house. That’s one of this, why we spend money on houses because we like to be home, yeah. Yeah. Okay. Okay. What about other big ticket stuff that might sneak in and knock that five 50 grand down to 35? That’s pretty conservative. I think that’s like we’re not really doing much. I just came home. Cook, eat, enjoy, have friends over.

So it’s nothing really cars paid for. I walk everywhere kind of big ticket items. Are you thinking that maybe I’m missing something so well, sometimes, a lot of times for this is, I’m just speaking for myself. My own personal thing is I have a big net cash flow, like how you do, but sometimes, big expenses can come in.

Especially if I go pay for something like a mastermind or something like that. And at the end of the year, I’m like I should have had a lot more than this. Like the animals are cash flowing and everything, but I didn’t even end up with how much I thought I would. There’s holes in my pocket, but I just, I don’t budget.

I don’t like that stuff. Okay. I think we kind of budget, but it’s just I think the biggest savings we have right now is we went from a nanny to putting our son in school. Probably 15,000 right there. Cool. So let’s dig in here a little bit. You’ve got a hundred thousand dollars in cash, so that would probably be the low-hanging fruit there, but I know you probably want to keep some of that in liquid cash, maybe about 20 to 40 grand.

Yeah. Yeah. We’re thinking of 40, but yeah. Yeah, but there’s definitely 50 and here that should be going out to something right away. Wholly, see, here’s your, here’s a rental property. And here is also some low-hanging for, you’ve got about 50% LTV. Have you looked into doing a HELOC on this thing and tapping the equity and the, so we could certainly do a HELOC on this, but we were thinking of selling it. That’s actually a conversation.

You’re interested in that because I don’t know. I feel like selling it at this point is probably the best idea, but yeah, this is like a war zone property. The $600,000 property in Oakland. It’s in the foothills of Oakland. So it actually has a nice property. You could see the San Francisco golden gate bridge. That’s pretty nice. It’s just a, it’s in a transitional area. It’s not a dangerous area. And how much rental income is it bringing in every asset? That’s the point because we rent it out to somebody we know, so we just have them cover the mortgage originally. And that was a big mistake on my part.

And I don’t want to use it right now because I like the guy, but. We’ve talked to him about it a bit. And at first he was like I’ll just, I’ll pay more in rent because the rent prices are ridiculous and he’s getting a good deal. But then we thought about selling it and he’s interested in buying it.

So we’re having that conversation right now. So yeah, they always say that. Okay. Let’s see, I’ll go. But here’s what I. Right now it’s like April or May you probably want to be selling this on the market in the summertime. That’s when you’re going to get a peak price. California, it’s like Hawaii.

There’s not really a season, but you definitely don’t want to, summertime when everyone’s transit kids are transitioning. I would, especially when you want to be political about this and get your friend out in a cordial way. The conversations just started yesterday. We started this conversation a little already about a month ago.

So yeah, I would just, I know, just from a manners perspective, third party, I would say Hey man, go look for it. Just start looking for a place I’m going to check in two weeks, what you’ve been seeing and we need to make a transition plan. I need you out in 45 days or whatever.

Okay. Yeah. Cause it. You can tap this. And I know the Oakland, the California market is getting a little soft right last year. The mistake I think most people would make is you mentioned it. This is you’re probably buying on the line where you’re in a transitional area and people say it’s going to go up.

We can do the numbers later. And I don’t think we’re going to do it today. But if you were to take that $300,000. And go put it on something else. You’re going to five X that whatever. And even if they build something cool, right next door. Yeah. I’m not planning on appreciating this anymore.

I think it has gone up a lot since we got it. So we’re comfortable and happy with where it’s at. Yeah. So you guys always had this as a rental. I guess you don’t have to say. Like deducting the depreciation, all that stuff. So this is actually our original primary residence. And then we lived there, so I made a mistake when I sold it.

I didn’t realize this. I made a mistake when I sold them. I should’ve sold them in a different order and waited about a year. Cause I think we could have done Mr. Capital gains tax, but when did you move out? We moved out about 2016. He bought it in 2012. You lived there for four years? Yeah. I think the rule is, as long as you live in it for the last three to five years.

You can qualify, but talk to a CPA. I think the problem is that you can’t take capital gains tax two years in a row. And I took you on last year when we sold the other house. I don’t know if you can take another capital gains tax and you have to wait. I think you have to wait every other year, but it could be wrong.

Not following. Maybe I’ll know what I’m talking about, but we paid, we instead of paying capital gains on the last house we did or that we, I don’t know what the term is, but we didn’t have to pay capital gains last year when we start our primary residence, the old house, we just moved out. And then if we were selling this house now, Even if we, because we lived there, I don’t know if we could do that twice in a row, pick up the weight every other year.

Oh, I don’t think it matters. Okay. That’s good. That’s great to know, but I’m actually unsure about this cause I own the property and I rent it out for a couple of years. Okay. And I think I made a mistake there. I should have moved in for a year and they wouldn’t have to pay taxes on the gain or I don’t know if you would have appropriated it.

If that were the case. Okay. Yeah. I was trying to read about this too. Was one of the questions I was going to ask you about, but yeah, just talk to, just talk to a CPA who does this all the time. Okay. You don’t talk to a 1031 guy, they’re just necessarily on a tender one. That’s what they did to me. I’m not interested in that either, so yeah. Yeah. It might be. I’m not suggesting that I don’t call this tax evasion, but if you’re renting out to a family friend, in a way you’re living there. I don’t know. This might be a little borderline. Maybe we shouldn’t talk about this.

You know what I mean? Technically you’re living there, especially if you’re doing this as a charity and it’s a friend, maybe just you guys move in for a year. If they hit this three out of five, Your role? What did you buy this thing for? See the original purchase price. I probably should have. I probably should have started there. See, I took 10. Yeah. See, there’s a lot of capital gains there. You have $400,000 of capital gains. Have you guys been depreciating it every year on taxes? I don’t know for sure. To be honest with you, her mom does Texas, oh it sounds like if you had a new CPA, that’s the difference?

I think that if you’re depreciating it you’re definitely doing it the, on the up and up way. And I don’t think you can play these games where you have a family friend there and you’re technically still living there. But I would like to be on the up and up for sure. Yeah. Yeah.

And this is a, but this is a big gain, right? 400 grand, 50%. I don’t think 1031 is your answer. I don’t like those at all. Okay. But it’s not big enough to do like a delayed sale trust thing on it that you just might have to take it on the chin and just pay the taxes, but spend the hour talking to the right person about this strategy and Hey, can I move in one to hit this one year to get this three out of five year rule?

Could you’re really close to being. When did you say you moved out? 2016. Yeah. Yeah. There might be something there. So look into that. Maybe shoot me an email later. I can connect you with my guy and he can ask him straight up. So I’m saying you have 50 grand from your liquidity and then potentially another after commission. You’re going to have maybe another 200 there comfortably. So two 50 at very least you have to deploy.

And then this is the same one, right? Yeah. See, it’s just an auto fallback. So that’s your war chest. But. I think where you’re at Eden, do you have any experience with any kind of out-of-state rentals or anything like that? No. That’s one of the reasons why I was originally looking for one-on-one coaching and the mastermind group. Yes. So I think you’re looking at your net worth and yeah, I think actually, David looks at your net worth, but now that it makes sense.

You’re in this limbo land. I don’t know if, eventually your guys’ salary is high enough and your, private places are going to be yours, and you’re obviously very busy, but I would, I think your next pass would be to pick up a turnkey rental and just get some experience under your belt. Okay. That’s what I was thinking. Yeah. I was gonna talk to you about that. Yeah. Yeah. So let’s talk about that. We’ve got some bullets and now we need to figure out how we’re going to go fire these things and go acquire some properties. So what is, what have some things you’ve done so far, and then what’s your tentative action.

What about us so far has joined the mastermind group. I’ve been reading different things with your website? Yeah, there’s a, I’m at a point where I need some guidance. I don’t, I’m not exactly sure where to start, so that’s why I’m here. That’s why I’m talking to you right now. Okay. Okay. No, that makes total sense.

Because most times people they’ll come into the mastermind after. They’ll listen to the podcast for sure. But then they’ll, there’ll be con there’ll be doing some books and podcasts for about a few months to six months. And they’ve already got a formulated plan in their head.

They’re gonna learn about turnkey rentals. They are, they, and they already have that realization. I am sure you have already done this where you live in the bay area. You’re not going to find anything in the state. That’s going to cash flow. That’s not a D class. For sure. Yeah.

So the next logical step is all right, where do we buy? Are there any markets in your head that you’re eyeing? So I know the markets that people say to they’re interesting, or you should look at, but I don’t know how those decisions are made. That’s one of the ones, one of the main questions I was trying to figure out right off the bat was like, how are people finding markets?

And. What markets do. And why are they finding the why? Why is that a particular market? Like Kansas city, Indianapolis? I know I’ve read some of the stuff that people say, but I wouldn’t know. If you give me a map, like where do I begin looking at it? And then finding a good parking spot? Yeah the simplistic way I put it is you’re trying to find properties and secondary markets with robust economies.

So secondary markets or, places like Kansas city, Memphis, Indianapolis, Atlanta. You can categorize it by population size. Do you know? Not like the mega cities, but like at least a hundred thousand people good size. And then of course pair that with the robust economy. So Detroit’s the secondary market, but it’s not a very robust economy.

So that part I understand. How would you find how to prove yourself that this economy is robust? Like, for instance, Kansas city. Indianapolis. What are you looking at to prove to yourself? Oh, this is a real positive. I know why you would probably say to choose not. Oh you just look at one thing I look at is like fortune 500 companies in that area.

What kind of industries is it like? Las Vegas is not very economically diverse. City, it’s a lot different from tourism. There was a cool try. I had in the last investor quarter letter, video and site civil, passive cashflow.com/investor. Quarterly. I can display that real quick. Is that the one from last night or? Yeah. One from last night, but I don’t have, I don’t have a list for you, but.

But my thing is There’s already a list out there, it’s on a spoken list that people are like, oh, we just like to stay in these types of areas. Yeah. And the nice thing about that is that there’s already, if you follow the footsteps with other people have done. You don’t really have to recreate the wheel. There’s already property managers, brokers. And that was one of them. That’s one of the questions I had too, is if you’re investing out of state, how are you finding contractors? And this is through your network. Here’s that, that image. The green ones are supposedly more diversified job markets. The red ones are not, I don’t really agree with salt lake being a diversified market.

And I also don’t agree with Atlanta. Atlanta has got it all. It’s got like class C. Worker blue collar workers working in industries, manufacturing, like the Mercedes plants and stuff like that. And it’s got a lot of white collar workers to a very diversified market, that’s why you think Bloomberg made this thing.

I just took a lot of data points and we see the same things popping up again and again. But then you’re also looking for tertiary markets too, because even the secondary markets, everybody’s flocking to now. So Chris, on this one, for instance, they say Buffalo is a good bar, to provide market, but then isn’t that the one where the population went from 500,000 down to 250,000 for the last 15, 20 years or something like that, you might be right, but already am not even looking at it because it’s a primary market.

Brilliant. Okay. And in Baltimore is DC, right? Buffalo. Yeah, primary market. Okay. That’s not to say you can’t, it’s not going to be appreciated, but that’s just not the game I play or what I recommend. Yeah. I’ll just stick it out, looking at this map that stuck out to me when I saw it the first time. Yeah, so that’s my recommendation. And then, just taking this map, right? Kentucky, Memphis, Oklahoma city, New Orleans, Atlanta, Jacksonville. What you’re trying to do is you’re trying to narrow it down to a couple or at least one that you’re going to go in there and build relationships with brokers, property managers, you can’t do multiple, you can’t do three or more.

I don’t have time for that yet. So you’re being a typical engineer and this is what I do. You’re like, all right, I’m going to start with this big funnel. I’m going to start with 30 markets. And I’m going to pick the best, like that’s gonna surely take you a long time and you’re likely to arrive at the same answer where you’re like you know what, screw it.

Everybody talks about these five. I’m going to pick from those five and just whittle it down to one or two. Okay. I think that’s the better approach. Okay. But engineers, we like to get all this data and, in the, who we share drivers, all kinds of data from way back when you can, kinds of power rankings and whatnot. But I don’t know why I even put that in there. Just confuses you guys even more. Okay. But that the time and energy should be spent on connecting with brokers and property managers. Okay. How do you find, let’s say in Kansas city or something like that, how would you go ahead and find a broker and property insurance and to throw your network against yeah. People, referrals and this is why I always say the most important thing is to network with other passive investors. People like you and me. Because those are the people who are gonna, have the past pay for you. But here, the problem is you can’t just hand these guys, like there’s a, we have that free Facebook group.

As you pay for what you get for something, some of these guys, they just asked for what brokers you are working with? Man, I’m not going to help you out. You’re just like a taker, but it’s hard in the beginning because you don’t know very much. So you need to get educated. You need to put in some work. See there’s an even value exchange. So you can go to a little bit more of a student investor who potentially has a big vendor list. And become friends and how do you do that? There’s no tricks to it. You just become, build a relationship, a genuine relationship, go freaking figure.

Makes sense. Yeah, there’s a lot of tricks and hacks to get this from people or get it on your own, but I don’t think it’s sustainable because what you want to do is you want to try and build a mini micro tribe of a few. All investing. For me, it was like Birmingham. There were like a few people that were all messing around in Birmingham. We all knew who the property managers were. And then if something went wrong, someone wasn’t performing, we’d all move like a mini flock to a different one, or we didn’t know who to tell. So that’s the more sustainable model. And hopefully when these guys get tired of turnkey rentals and go to bigger stuff, you’ve had.

That’s a solid relationship to move forward with them. Okay. But any other tangible, more granular stuff I left out there. I know that’s a high level, right? That’s more esoteric. Yeah. I don’t know. I just like the process of just getting started, it’s to start looking at some of these properties that they have called them up, yeah, I guess that’s the process. That’s what I’m asking is, find someone there in the network and NASA like maybe, Hey, who do I contact in Kansas city per se or Indianapolis, and then discount. Started to talk. There’s people who are more than happy, I’m sure to sell it.

But what I understand is that these things go pretty quick. That’s what I’m seeing on the mastermind, like their properties come up and then they go for it. So you have to know what you’re looking for and, in a mastermind I’ll help you out for sure. I’ve got my vendor list. I keep it close to the chest. And people like, I like talking with people and doing those free intro calls just to get to know people. But I don’t know, like lately I’ve been a little worried of just alright, I, use these guys in Birmingham, use these guys and, wherever.

Because these are my relationships. I don’t want to be a jerk over who just is going to call up eight different Turkey providers and waste them. Guys time. Yeah. So that’s what I’m thinking, you’re the mastermind, I’ll help you out. I’m always working to build new relationships. I’m actually working on a new one in Pennsylvania, rural Pennsylvania. So where do you have your first one? Yeah. I think you had a property in Pennsylvania. Yeah. So that’s where that relation came from. We worked on some deals out there and then they’re pretty helpful. So I trust them and that’s what’s more.

Yeah. And if I can build like a long-term relationship where they know that a lot of you guys will come back, then that’s a good, solid relationship that, it’s more of a long-term thing, but I don’t, I want you guys to struggle a little bit, because this is how you learn how to do it, but. I also want you guys to hit success, right? So there’s a balance between how much I help you guys. If you want me to do everything, yeah, I can do, I guess I can do everything, but maybe that might change in the near future as my bandwidth fills up. But, the more you struggle, the more you learn and the more you learn, the more you progress 5, 10, 15, 20 years from now.

But I think what I try to do is so I’ll set you up with some good reputable people. So you don’t have to go through the whole list of turnkey providers. At least, you’re working with people who are decent, right? They’re honest people. Men, what I suggest is like you just get their inventory lists and then you just see where the water line is.

All right. Cause when I was buying, I was, $90,000 properties they’re renting for nine 50. I knew I had it all on a scatter chart and I knew 1.1 rent evaluation. That’s my number. I don’t know where that is today. And I know where it is. Cause he sees where, I have you guys do the spreadsheet. And this is where the water line is, what a good deal is. You’re not going to find an amazing deal. It’s tricky rentals, but you don’t want to get a sucker deal. So when a good deal comes up, you’ve got to act pretty quickly, which may be in a matter of a few hours or a few days, depending on what kind of relationships you build with them again.

And then you pull the trigger. But I think No more times than not a newer investor thinks that they need to close on the property. But for me, it’s more there’s a good chance. Maybe 30% chance. You probably there’s something that comes up and due diligence that you can’t work, negotiate your way through. So I’m probably a lot quicker to put a contract under. I’m more certain I’m more. All right, lock it up. Let’s put in going to contract and let’s get that inspector in there and let’s see what’s under the hood so I can act quickly. And that’s how you should be able to get. Okay, fair enough.

It’s dating, right? Like it’s been awhile. The strategy goes, you don’t get married after the, before asking them on a date, on a lot of dates, same thought here. I gotcha. Just cause you go on a date and ask doesn’t mean you’re going to get married for sure. Any other questions on just picking prop properties up in that kind of way? Yeah. So I think the other question I had was if you’re, the recommendation is always to get from you is to get a turnkey to start, but then like a high level, what do you, what’s the progression there? So you get a Twinkie, you get, get comfortable working out of state.

And then I don’t want to keep buying turnkeys as they’re applied at the. Yeah, like we’re talking about right there. Not that they’re not the best, right? Yeah. Yeah. And, but the beauty of this is once you get one turnkey and you get it going. Yeah. Sometimes they don’t work out. I would say like one out of three times you might buy a dud. It just gives you some problems, but overall you’re hitting that nice returns on average. Okay. Definitely way better than the stock market. That’s what. You’re talking. But then here’s the path. And a lot of the investors that I started working alongside when I started there’s this path of you do the whole burst strategy by rent rehab refinance, which I’m not a fan of at all for high net worth individuals to be buying like 50,000 pieces of junk because the exit strategy isn’t there.

Like you can have a portfolio of 40 properties of 600 or $60,000 each, but that’s cash flowing, but there’s a cap ex, that’s going to hit you on this stuff somewhere between year five and 15, and now you’re going to pay back all these returns. It’s just not a sustainable way of investing, but it’s a way of doing it. And I guess nothing is wrong with you. If you can prove me wrong with the numbers, but you’re going to go down this path of burning and creating value that way, because maybe you like doing that. And this is where you’re starting to do it and you start to figure out if you like it. And if you’re good at it, me personally, I don’t like it.

And because I don’t like it, I don’t spend the time doing it and I never got really good at it. Okay. So that’s why I went to be more passive in a bigger deal. And that’s the progression. But we don’t know until you do this prerequisite, this is the pre-calc to ease and calculus. So I’m not, so I’m not going to let you go by Hey lane, they want to sell me. And I have a quarter million dollars. That means I can buy 1, 2, 3, 4, 8. I can buy 12 rentals for probably 1200. Pretty solid ones tomorrow. I would probably be like, no, don’t do that.

At most maybe by four and let’s pause and think, and let’s come back and talk six months to a year from now where you w where do you want to go? What’s your thoughts and feelings and how things are progressing. Okay. So that’s, you know what that said? I don’t think you’re going to be able to invest that quarter million dollars in the next six months.

Maybe, probably even a year. Okay. So what’s a good recommendation for parking, nothing instead of just having sit and savings like AHP is a good one, simple, passive cashflow.com/hp. They don’t sponsor me anymore, unfortunately, but, yeah, I still think it’s a good place to store some cash.

For you, I wouldn’t stick more than a hundred grand in there. Okay. I think let’s just say, let’s just assume now I’m getting more high-level strategy where the money comes from. I would take the money out from your liquidity and invest as soon as possible. What is that?

The 80 grand. And in the back of your head, you can pull a HELOC Okay. You need from that rental property, right? Yeah. So I would totally be fine with you running your liquidity for me. Your cash reserves are pretty low, maybe even 10 grand. You see what I’m saying? Yeah, for sure. It was still saving a decent month or month and the house sale, maybe you delay that a little bit to next year. I know that one’s a tough one. It’s not like I see a lot of guys with big 401ks and you don’t have that. Where is that? But she’s still at the employer, right? That’s she’s out of that one. Oh, okay. Where did that one go? If you go to the summary. A little bit right there it’s like 24. So she has left her employer, whatever you don’t roll it over into a new TSP or 403 B or 401k. Yeah, she’s just sitting there. I would take that out. If you had more than 150, $200,000, I’ll be very strategic on how you take that out. Like tickets slowly, you have to look at your whole taxes.

There’s brackets, right? They’re like full brackets. You’re probably in the second to highest one. Now. I don’t know how they exactly fall. Yeah. I don’t know. I think, yeah, probably close. Yeah. So if you take this thing out this year, you’re probably going to the highest one or maybe even the second highest one. We want to keep you just from going to the next one. So see what I’m saying. You got to be strategic on how much you take out of that thing this year. So say I don’t know what AGI is. Are they changed all the time? And I don’t know what it is for married couples. It’s AGI adjusted gross income.

So let’s just say the highest one starts at two 50 and right now you’re at 200. Okay. As your AGI, I would maybe take this 91,000. I would take 50 grand. So you just stayed below that. And then the next, the plan for next year is to take the other 40. So you’re always slip it under the radar that the red, so we’re over two 50.

So why don’t, I don’t know. You got to look at the tax. A CPA should be able to help you out with. Okay, but they’re not, CPAs are not strategy guys. That’s where you got me, but I don’t know the exact brackets, but you get the gist of what you’re talking about.

You’re smart. You can figure it out. So that would be a way to play that, to take it out slowly. ‘ cause you’re looking, you’re not going to, we’re already halfway through the year. You’re not going to be able to deploy something. You’re not going to be able to deploy it. You’re not going to, I don’t see you buying more than three houses in the next six months. So this is probably a 2020 plan. Okay. But then also remember you also have to have been thinking about this in the back of your head. Like I do think you should sell that house right away. Yeah. So that 300,000 or $200,000 of gains comes right on your income. So if you’re going to do that, it’s going to blow up your AGI. Yeah.

So I wouldn’t touch, I wouldn’t take out that 4 0 3 B money. You know what I’m saying? Yeah, for sure. Unfortunately, with that house sale, you can’t be strategic. And how you take it out, you got to take all that. Yeah, that was a, I think I could’ve done that differently, but that’s how you pay to learn, yeah. Yeah. Am I clear here? You get the fundamentals right when I’m trying to, yeah. I guess the question on the 4 0 3 B is, do you get penalized when you pull it out? I don’t know how that works. Yeah. Number one, you finally get to assess the taxable income, right?

Because this is all post tax. You don’t pay taxes on the loan. But yeah, there is a 10% penalty, but I wouldn’t call it a penalty. We’ve had this conversation with my wife and I have had it before. So yeah, it is a very emotional conversation because people think it’s like a sin to take money out and they call it a penalty.

Now I’m not allowed to do that, but the numbers don’t lie. If you can make money, if you can make 20 to 30% in a Turkey rental, Who cares about the 10%. You’ll make that back in 12 months and the rest is all gravy. Yeah. Good point. So follow up, do the numbers yourself, the numbers tell you what to do.

But if you’re going to be selling the house, maybe I would hold off on it because you don’t need that money anyway. So right away, for sure. Yeah. Yeah. I would, you have a lot of liquidity and you don’t that you’re not going to be able to allocate. I don’t know. So for folks like yourself, I would look into doing infinite banking.

Yeah. Looking forward to that part of the we’ll get there. I think your net worth isn’t. It’s there, but the fact that you have a hundred grand or more ready to go, but you’re not going to be able to allocate it right away. I don’t see you allocating more. 50 grand this year.

I don’t, you’re not going to buy more than two houses. Okay. I think we can both agree to that. 2020. I don’t really see you allocating more than 150. Okay. See what I’m saying? So if we plan 2019 and 2020, that you’re going to go on with a quarter million dollars, you’re going to have some excess. What I’m recommending is taking a look at that excess and putting a fraction of that into life insurance where this stuff, where you have to put it in one out of six years. You have to commit, right? So I’m not a life insurance originator. You’re like, but I know the strategy. Yeah. Listen to that podcast you had. I think there was a podcast on that. Listen to you. Not too. I think he, maybe he didn’t do it, but yeah, this is a bit, if I just want to communicate like the strategy, they’re like, you’re not going to be using this liquidity right away.

You’re not even going to tap it in 2020. So you got to do something with it. AHP is an option, but the nice thing about the light, the infinite banking is super awesome in the once you have it set up three to six years in the future, but it really sucks cause there’s, it’s really fee heavy in the beginning. If you put in a hundred grand, you might have to pay 30 grand in fees. I see, but for like lower net worth guys who have to look under their couch for coins to pick up that first rental at $25,000 down payment, that obviously doesn’t make any sense for them, but you’re inefficient here.

And so you might buy players that take the inefficiencies and the extra five grand, actually 20 grand or whatever, into licensed. Pronounced to build it up. I see, don’t go bonkers with it. But, it is, I always say, start with a smaller one and you understand how it works. And yeah, because in theory is always different than in practical use and seeing the statements coming in oh, I get this now. And I can tell now I can take a loan for myself. Oh, this is why they call it infinite banking. I get it. Finally get it like a year later. Yeah. Okay. All right. But yeah, I think that’s from a high level, that’s kind of the one, two year strategy right there. Okay. So now I’m just gonna work on getting two, two houses this year.

That’s the immediate goal, but that’s your kind of your, one to your. Okay, fair enough. But yeah. Any other questions you had off the top of your head or? The questions I have pointed on. Interesting. On the podcast, those are one-on-one coaching stuff. Yeah. It’s more, I think, after this more granular, but you have, there’s a path there’s definitely a path for, I think after the two years, I see you getting maybe like three, four houses and then also maybe the middle of 2020.

Maybe play around with a deal, to a syndication and just seeing how that is. And then now you can like, be like, whoa, I like this a lot better. I’m pretty sure you’re gonna think this indication is better. It’s just better than direct operating. I don’t know the returns a little less, but it’s just not worth the time for an exchange.

Okay. So you’ll just go into more and more deals. I would say probably like three, four years from now. Because you’re especially saving 50 grand a year. I’m sure that’s going to go up. You’re like, you’re going to get into this rhythm of going into a deal every, maybe two or three deals a year and obviously that’s going to take a while, to build up like a war chest of a dozen two dozen deals, a $50,000 position in each deal. That’s, it’s a sustainable model and not all the deals are going to go well, not all of them. But I think on the average, you’re, what’s your goal here?

And I guess we didn’t talk about, you mean, why what’s my goal as far as passive income, or as far as why I’m here trying to learn this stuff, passive income, I guess it would be something around 10 K so that my living expenses are covered basically. So I could live the life I have right now and not have to worry about it going to work.

I can go to work. I probably will, but I don’t want to. Yeah, so if I press the Fed, like the infinity time still on, and I could just fast forward right now with the liquidity you have in hand and the equity you haven’t had, you could probably be, if I just take your assets and times 10%, you could probably be 500.

You could probably be halfway there today. So there’s a little bit of work to do. I took $500,000 of deployable equity. It’s what I figure times 0.1. So you’re halfway there. So it’s just a matter of deploying into another half, an half, a million dollars. And that’s just going to take you, if you keep saving $50,000 a year, that’s going to take another 10 year, but it’s not going to take you that.

Yeah. It’s going to take you like less than half. So I will probably see it in five years. Okay. That’d be great. I’d be completely happy with that. In the next couple of years you, it’s not going to be like, you just quit cold Turkey. It would probably be like a transition of maybe you start working last or spouse stop or the last or whatever. She likes her job. Good for her. We’re all happy for her. Okay we can get you out of your job. Any kind of last parting thoughts or questions? No, I just really just want to say thank you, man. I’ve been listening to podcasts for probably about two years and I’ve been busy cause I have a three-year-old now he’s in school, so I have more time. So I appreciate being able to join the mastermind and doing this call.

Yeah, just ex yeah. Yeah. I would give you props there. Like most people in the, Matt, a mastermind, but the investor club in general, they’re either younger than 30 or older than 40. It’s those, like when you guys have those young kids, I don’t have kids. So I don’t know. I’m just speculating to see how you get these data points. But when you guys have kids there’s you guys just disappear off the face of the earth. You guys don’t do anything other than focus on that, which makes sense. But it is. I think that if you were to take that perspective, you’re doing it the hardest time nobody does what you’re doing now.

That’s where I’ll take that. But the whole thing is if you do the right things, it’s very simple. It’s like swimming. I don’t swim very well. So I look like I’m drowning. I can get from point a to pretty quickly, but I’m going to get tired. But if you look at the most effective swimmers, it doesn’t even look like they’re working. They’re so efficient. So it’s the idea to get you to like that, like a graceful dolphin, but investing it’s nice. Yeah. All right, man. Yeah, if you guys like this shoot me an email. Let me know if we haven’t had a chat book, a call and join HUI pipeline club and check out the mastermind club at simplepassivecashflow.com/journey. I will talk to you guys next t

 

August 2022 Monthly Market Update

Welcome everybody. This is the monthly market update. Here we go. What’s up everybody? It is August, 2022. Let’s get the monthly market update. If you haven’t checked out the podcast, simple passive cash flow is where you find it. ITunes, Google play Spotify. And check this out on YouTube. And we also record and put all these monthly market updates on the website and simple passive cash flow.com/investor letter every month for you guys to pull these reports and see if I’m lying or see if I’m right in my predictions.

But if you guys want to ask any questions throughout or leave any comments, feel free to type it into the chat box below from your perspective, the way you’re watching it. We go out, live on YouTube and our groups, looks like we got a wandering dot what’s up, man. And we also put this in the podcast form.

So let’s get started here. First article, there’s another one of wallet, hubs, top 10 places, and this is the best and worst places to rent in America. The best place was Maryland. Overland Park, Kansas Sioux city falls, South Dakota, Bismark Lincoln Chandler, Arizona Scotta Arizona, Gilbert, Arizona, El Paso, Texas, Casper, Wyoming, Cedar falls, Illinois and Fargo North Dakota.

How I, they came up with those top rental markets or best places to rent, I guess this is in the perspective of a renter. I have no idea, but you guys seem to like these top 10, which is why we do ’em. The markets with the best vacancy rates are the little rock Arkansas, Casper, Wyoming, Augusta, Georgia, Armillo, Texas.

And. Charleston Wyoming. Affordable rents are in Wyoming at Bismark, North Dakota, Cedar walls, Cedar rapids, Illinois, Sioux city falls, Sioux falls, South Dakota, Overland park, Kansas. Moving on. If you guys haven’t heard of it, it’s like the second crypto Wil winter, and this one’s a little bit different.

So what a lot of people were doing was putting their money into these crypto staking platforms, such as block fives or CELs, I wasn’t doing very many of these nor do I do. I don’t really do crypto. I don’t really believe in it. I believe in the whole idea of cryptocurrencies, getting away from governments controlling currency, which I’m all for, but I just don’t really I don’t know.

I think real estate’s just way better and it’s passive income, which you can typically defer the taxes on as opposed to this stuff, which the governments are gonna be coming after. Pretty heavily on, A little bit less because it all took a crap on everybody. And especially like that Luna thing, which I knew was a bad deal from the start.

But if you haven’t heard, Celsis is one of these big trading platforms where people would. They would state their coins or whatever it’s called. And they would get maybe like 9%, 15% on just staking it. But what people didn’t realize, what the heck that meant and what it meant is like putting your coin up and then, people borrowing it or you’re putting money up for the barring platform to happen.

And. It was, it’s like a house of cards is how I saw it. And eventually came down crumbling and Celia has had to restructure and a lot of people are asking you, Hey, am I gonna get my money back? And. I tell people, no, man, you’re not gonna get your money back because that’s why you don’t invest in this stuff.

Because in any investment you always ask how I am securitized? If shit happens, how am I gonna get some or all of my money back? And in these types of situations, you don’t because there’s no underlying asset value. There’s another deal going out, out there where people are like, you’re investing in like online businesses, but the online business is, there’s not really worth anything. If anything, there’s maybe some inventory, some useless junk that’s in a warehouse somewhere that you can sell pennies on for a dollar. But that’s why I like real estate because it’s always worth something, especially like the raw land portion of it.

Sorry. If you did this type of stuff I guess I should have told you, you should have done it. But, I don’t do this type of stuff. I maybe had $1,500 in blockFI that I took out last month just to learn it. But, I don’t put a substantial amount of my net worth, if you follow what the high net worth people over $10 million, do they typically don’t put anywhere.

They put one to 10% of their net worth into things like this. It’s all the lower net worth people that are dancing around with 10, 20% plus other net worth real estate, intelligent marketing reports that study finds that the US needs 4.3 million more apartments by the year 2035. And I put this in there and I think a lot of us are very well aware of which is why we invested in real estate, especially lower middle class workforce style housing.

Is because there’s a demand for it. It’s a commodity. And it’s something that you could forecast the need for, the reports that the US has tremendously difficult conditions that have fundamentally altered our nation’s demographics. But one thing remains certain. There is a need for more rental housing.

The US must build 3.7 million new apartments just to meet the future demand. On top of the 600,000 unit deficit and a loss of 4.7 million affordable apartment homes, a major driver of the apartment demand is immigration, which, you know if anything, immigration needs to occur more, especially if there’s a supply chain crunch in China, which isn’t supplying us with cheap labor.

We’ve gotta read. Domic a lot of these jobs, but anyway, that’s just my interject right there. The article ends and says California, Florida and Texas will require 1.5 million new apartments in 2035 accounting for 40% of the future demand,

Commercial property executive. Reports that why C R E, which is commercial real estate investors are rethinking refinancing. And I actually had a webinar for my investors a couple days ago. And, if you wanna get a copy, shoot us an email and team@simplepassivecashflow.com, where I went into some pretty heavy detail, but from a high level, just for the podcast audience and public investor.

Audience here, basically what’s happening is it’s really hard to get lending because the not, the interest rates went up, but I would probably argue that the thing to point to is like these rate caps that we normally will buy, usually buy something where. If we close that 5% interest rate, we wanna buy a cap.

So we don’t have to if the interest rates go up to five and a half, we cap out there. So it’s a way of being conservative, but it can be very expensive in the past. It’s cost us maybe half a percent or percent of the loan value to pay for one of these things. And now. I would say like triple or even more expensive than it once was, which really impacts closing costs and the deals.

So that’s just speaking from my own personal experience, but reading what the article is saying here during the first quarter, investors were eager to refinance in order to take advantage of high evaluations to get into the market. Now, many are hesitant to tap the debt markets because interest rates have risen so much since March and the lender underwriting is reflecting economic uncertainty and increased risk.

So we all know interest rates are gonna be going up to team inflation and you did the whole little diagram and chalkboard exercise on this whole dynamic alone. And another thing I would recommend for you guys is go back to the podcast. I did a couple great podcasts with Richard Duncan. You guys can check that out at simplepassivecashflow.com/duncan.

Get, multi-housing news reports, the growing cost of capital for multi-family development. This kind of piggybacking on, I just mentioned borrowing costs are 2% to two and a half percent higher than a year ago. The result is a situation not seen in years in which the caps have fallen, being below the cost of debt. But in fast growing Sunbelt hotspots, huge population growth has created demand for multifamily housing.

Far out shipping, supply, propelling, rent rates, and leaving many long time. Multifamily experts, slack jobs. The situation should keep cap rates slow. So in other words, rents are continually going up and up, which actually makes this a very good time to be buying real estate. This is a buyer’s market in a little bubble.

As the large institutional investors have paused they’re buying, but they gotta come back in. At some point I argued before the end of the. The only problem right now is in getting your lending set up or what we call capital markets, which has nothing to do with the cap rates. Guys, don’t get that confused.

So if you are an all cash buyer right now, this is an awesome time for you. Just, that’s just never a good way to invest. In my opinion, you always wanna be taking advantage of getting as much good debt as possible. The article ends with greater concern. Maybe whether the Fed will aggressively shrink its balance sheet yanking, a lot of liquidity out system, less cash will be available at any price available capital with insufficient funds to fund all development projects that are just talking about like a doom stage scenario.

Go back and check out that video we did, especially for you investors in our group. It is simple. And I think it, what it does is there’s a lot of noise out there. Like I mentioned, don’t watch these YouTube videos, these doin GLS of these guys who sell newsletters or the people trying to sell code, have them, you buy through their affiliate links and stuff like that, then get back to basics, and this is my book here. If you guys haven’t checked it out, Really trying to get over a hundred reviews. I think we’re up into the eighties or nineties right now. The journey of simple passive cash flow. I’ve been told it does a very good job in teaching the basics. And the basics is number one, investing in good deals, where you’re investing with people with reputation and a track record to get passive losses.

So you’re able to play different games on your taxes, essentially stop doing the stuff that your lame CPA is telling you, such as doing your 401k, or your deferred comp plan. That. Isn’t really any tax advice. It’s just deferring taxes instead, plate checkers, or instead of playing checkers, place chess with your taxes and pay little to taxes by changing your color, your money, or in their income to passive income.

So you can use your passive losses from your real estate to zero that out as best as you can. And maybe even if you wanna get jazzed up, do some rep status there. All to, and then, maybe do a little infinite banking. If you guys wanna get more information on infinite banking, you guys can get the infoPage at infoPage@simplepassivecashflow.com/banking, but help me out and buy the book.

Spread the good word folks. We’ll continue on multi-housing news, how the housing shortage became a crisis. So the US under produced 3.8 million of housing between 2012 and 2019. The shortfall is double what it was seven years ago. The problem is exasperating itself by crumbling infrastructure, ratio, inequality, climate change, and climate events.

And while under supply impacts residents at all income levels, lower and residents of color suffer the most. Three root causes for this is missing households that would have formed if units were available and affordable, insufficient availability and uninhabitable units, which is why we like to invest in this type of stuff, cuz there’s a growing demand for it. And it’s something that. As new inventory comes online, it doesn’t really directly compete with your class B or C asset.

The class stuff actually helps you because it pushes the price points up and up, which we have another article discussing later today. But it’s just that you don’t really have direct competition. This is why I don’t like self storage investing because. Even when you’re, you always wanna buy a type of storage because everybody wants to go to the 24 hour air condition, very highly secure using tech, lot of tech in their self storage.

But if somebody builds a new self storage facility next to yours, that’s why I’m not a big fan of that. That asset class I do like bolt storage though. RV storage. Multi-housing news also reports multi-family investing in a high inflation economy. So our economy has shifted to, from manufacturing to a service based one.

And we have a Fed that is very proactive with arsenal tools that have really deployed to manage economic growth. Again, if you, this is all new to you guys, check out the infoPage at simplepasscash.com/Duncan. Great primer, and feel free to share that with your friends. The current high inflation environment with the prospects of higher treasury rates have led both investors and lenders to reassess their underwriting assumptions along with feature valuations and cap rates combined with the uncertainty over exit cap rates in light of increasing treasury rates, multifamily investors are having to temper their pricing in order to achieve acceptable rate adjusted returns.

Here’s my quote here. I haven’t seen a lot of deals where they are still assuming that rents are gonna go up 3% every year. And their exit cap rates are still pretty high or pretty low. The importance of relationships, both on the debt and equity capital is Parabon in order to access capital to take advantage of this temporary market dislocation.

Talk about is right, Frank. Now it’s currently in a little bit of a bar market. Like I said, if you are somebody who isn’t the best investor out there, but Hey, you have a lot of money and you buy stuff, cash. This is the ideal situation for you still. I wouldn’t rec I wouldn’t do it, but, right now the prices are a little low it’s only problem is lending and there, you never have a time when things are always good and all signs clear.

and you’re always gonna have some kind of way to things where there’s always gonna be seemingly, headwinds in the way, if not, that’s when the prices start to go away and which it was getting there prior to, 20, late 20, 21, or, 2018, I would say, thankfully, we had that whole pandemic thing.

Re business online reports, Redfin US residential media and asking rates of 14.1% in June on annual basis. Redfin is the big real estate online real estate brokerage reported national rents in June. Went up 14.1% year over year. The June figure is a slight increase from. Which is what I’ve been telling everybody, rents are still aggressively going up and this is another reason why it’s a great time to be buying right now.

The rent growth is slowing because landlords are seeing demand start to ease as renters get pinched by inflation. But, I think this is the thing I always highlight for folks like, despite what you read the word recess. Rents are still going up. It’s just, it’s not going up at the crazy price it once was, which is a good thing.

I think that crazy pace was UN unsustainable. All I personally want is a little bit of growth. Like one to 3% rents are still climbing unprecedented rates in strong job markets like New York and Seattle and areas like San Antonio and Boston, that sort of popularity during the pandemic. And here are the top 10 markets that saw the biggest jump in June, Cincinnati, Seattle, Austin, Nashville, New York city, NASSAU county, New York, new Brunswick, New Jersey, New York, New Jersey, Portland and Sam Antonio

Yardi matrix, reports, multifamily rents rise again in June. Yardi made check reports. Average us multifamily rents roles, another $19 in June. Again, this is the same thing that we just mentioned. The increase was filled by strong demand and rent growth throughout the country. So this is a different type of environment.

This isn’t like 2008, lending is very different, at least on the residential side. You don’t have the ninja, no doc, no job, no income type of loans. There’s a lot of controls on lending and that’s what’s bogging down future investor mojo. Is that the lack of the capital market’s lack of lending availability?

Not that the deals are too expensive. The expectation for the remainder of 22 is for rents to increase at slower rates as the economy cools off. But that doesn’t mean that it’s going backwards. There’s always one thing I always say if I were to bet, if the rents don’t go down for very long, I would probably say what’s long, maybe longer than a six to 18 month period.

It. Unfortunately for people who rent, it’s always not gonna come outta your pocketbook at the end of the day, as gas prices rise, like the airlines just pass it off to their customers. And so things are going pretty well in, I don’t know about the economy, but as far as if you’re an investor getting your money working in real estate, and in rentals, And it’s going so well that like the class, a multifamily units are doing really right now, as wealth management.com reports rent growth will not maturity, slow down until demand cools, vacancy ticks up and will happen.

If, and when, afford becomes a headwind, if the job markets subsidy. This is what kind of my whole thesis is. If there’s any type of trouble in the economy, any type of recession who’s gonna get hurt. People who own their own houses, they’re gonna get foreclosed and where are they gonna go?

They’re gonna cascade down to class A apartments, class B apartments, class C apartments. This is right now. You’re seeing the class A apartments do really well because people can’t afford to buy houses because the cost of their lending, their interest rates have gone down. So it’s a cause and effect thing.

And I think it’s important to find those asset classes, those sectors, those, those wealth gaps where you want to participate based on your sec, your viewpoint of the economy and how things work. And in my opinion, only class C and B apartments in class B and areas are where it’s.

I know a lot of people like to buy these class a apartments, I’d say you might as well build them and sell them to suckers who wanna buy them and operate ’em. I just, I think it’s a sector that’s really performing really right now because people cannot afford houses and they are just gonna go rent.

They have a $1,500 a month, $2,500 a month class A apartment. But. I don’t see that really continuing, or I see that as a catch mode currently right now.

So here’s an example of a class A apartment right here. American capital group or committees real estate partners, diverse a blank apartments Kirkland, Washington for 242 million. So this is a class A apartment, and this is. Like a business plan that I would like to personally get into is like building these developments, scratch, creating a tremendous amount of value, add, and then selling it off to a mom and Paul syndicate, who have silly investors who really like these pretty pictures and that’s how they sell their deals.

But then, this is, to me, the risk of operating these high end apartments. Right now it’s doing really well because a lot of people in houses cannot afford to buy the loans, the higher interest rate and their affordability is backtracking. As of maybe a couple months ago, I just don’t see that shrink continuing.

And I think that there’s some leveling off of it. And I just think there’s just more long term stability in the B class asset, one level of this type of stuff. But yeah, I wanna do exactly what these guys do. Harper, who is a direct Fannie Mae. Freddie Mac lender says that Fannie Mae Freddie Mac expects a mission to deliver liquidity as stability and affordability. The agencies committed to enhance the ability and affordability of challenged markets by providing greater liquidity over the next three years.

Things tightened up in the capital markets and people aren’t able to afford their super expensive house simply because of the cost of. Interest rates went up a little bit and that directly impacts affordability. And that impacts a lot of people on the fringes. And that’s where the, Fannie Mae, Fred Mac are saying here where they’re redating and, changing up their targets for the future lending.

And this is always gonna happen. This has been happening since the beginning, when I’ve invested, they always make these micro adjustments. Take another run at it. Things just keep continuing and continuing. This is why I always tell investors, don’t really get too excited about any one thing . There’s always these small types of corrections here or there and at least how I’ve seen for the most part things typically work in a control band.

And I think people get too much into the headlines. Garbage headlines from your CNBCs, your yahoos that are placating out to the average consumer out there, trying to just sell headlines of fear, dooming blue. But this is what’s happening in the more industry newsletters like this, which I try to find for you guys.

They’re looking to do increased loan purchase activity at foster. Product innovation to enable the use of manufacturing houses and unique development scenarios. Fannie Mae is one of the leading sources, liquidity for manufacturing and affordable housing. They’re trying to work on the problem and so those of you guys don’t know Fannie Mae F Mac is your government arm, pseudo government arm to get that money out there to the people who need it the most.

To buy houses because some people still think that, everybody should buy a house to live in, even though that’s not really going to happen. They’re trying to get the people on the fringes that sort of deserve it to get ’em over the edge, which I think is a good thing. Bloomberg reports from billionaire Samal warns that the Fed needs to break the inflation mindset and says he doesn’t think that the US is currently in a recession.

I’ll try and I guess I’ll try and summarize what I talked about in my other hour-long, half long webinar with my insiders in our group. But basically you have inflation all the time. I don’t wanna say all time high, but a pretty, moving average of 9.1%. Last I checked it, which is three times what they want it to be at most.

They usually want it to be one to three. So what’s going on is that you’re seeing the Fed increase the amount of interest rate, which is called, quantitative tightening after quantitative easing is what they did previously, which is essentially creating fake money and creating all these government entitlement programs to basically lift us out of a pandemic created recess.

Which I think is a good thing to do. And this is coming from somebody who really doesn’t like too much government control, but I think that’s what the government is supposed to do. When the country shuts down for several months, we need a little bit of outside interjection that stabs to the heart of adrenaline to keep us going after a pandemic.

And that’s what happened. A whole bunch of money got pumped into the system, which is called quantitative easing. Then now it created a lot of it and made everybody’s stock market go up, easy come easy go. And everybody’s like house prices sort, which is obvious, this byproduct of all this printing of fake money.

And now we have to reverse a little bit because inflation is too high. Go figure. So this is exasperated by two things, which is. The Ukraine war and the COVID lockdowns in China. So I’ll dissect that a little bit. So, the Ukraine war, what that’s doing is putting some restrictions on the fuel.

I think you guys, Russian oil and stuff like that, and it’s gum things up there and the COVID in China, most of you guys are probably wondering. y’all are still playing COVID pandemic out there, yeah. We might be over it, mentally in America, but in China, they’re still doing that, with a zero COVID policy.

And even though it may be a little outdated and overboard at this point, it is what it is, political affiliations beside, and don’t matter, like it’s what China’s doing and the result is. That the people in China, aren’t in the factories, giving us Americans the cheap labor that we need to push our businesses forward, which is creating a lot of issues in terms of supply chain, which is also further exasperating, the inflation and the relation that’s happening there is if I’m a business owner and I typically.

Use China labor or outside Asian cheaper labor outside, that’s effectively in a way better technology. So I don’t have that at my disposal right now. And that dang Ukraine war is coming up my operations. So these are the damages at play. So until either the Ukraine war ends or COVID. In China lightens up a little bit.

We’re in this predicament where there’s not gonna be any outside relief. So that only the levers that the Fed has, the poll is to increase the interest rates, which is to take away money from the system in a way to lower the inflation. And what they want to do is they want to keep doing this UN until that unemployment starts to creep up.

And this is good news, unemployment really. Right now guys, like Google, it is unemployment in America. Look at the chart. We’re at all time lows right now. I dunno all time, but in our lifetime lows, what we want that thing that the Fed is likely doing is they’re planters probably gonna increase the interest rates half a percent, quarter percent watching.

They’re trying to get that inflation back down, but they don’t wanna do it too much. So that unemployment goes. Because unemployment goes up, that’s it’s a, that’s a harder, relation to fix at the end of, at the end of it. But that’s if you start injecting more in interest taking money away from the system, but don’t break it by having unemployment skyrocket over eight to 10%.

Now it’s a fine balance. And it’s also. Made a lot more difficult because there’s slack in the system and there’s more slack in the system than Norma, as there’s so much liquidity reserved. So it’s really hard to determine, if the fed increases the rates by point, seven, five tomorrow, it’s not it’s not like by next week, Wednesday, it’s gonna be, unemployment will be this and inflation be back down to 7% and we’re well, on our way, to getting it under 5%, it just doesn’t work like.

And that’s what makes it difficult for the Fed. It’s very simple relations, but, and I use this analogy and other things, but it’s like a cruise ship trying to turn back around. You obviously don’t want an overcorrection with too much government intervention and, in terms of too much interest rate hikes, we’ve still got a long way off till what, where we were in what, 1985.

And. We’ve got our Hawaii retreat that I’m planning in January and 2023. And I’m thinking of making it some kind of like a throwback to the 1985 era where we had 11% rates. Maybe, basically just give people an excuse to wear really ugly Hawaii Aloha shirts. But anyway, if you guys haven’t yet checked out our family office ohana mastermind.

Simple passive casual flow.com/journey. If you’re tired of these free meetup groups with low network investors who aren’t serious, we have over 90 members in this group. Of course, if you haven’t checked out what’s kind inside of our education platform, you can join for free at simplepassivecashflow.com/club.

And check out my book. You guys can download it for free at simplepassivecashflow.com/book. Help me out. Buy a book, leave me a review of trying to get over a hundred reviews there and we’ll see you guys next month. Bye.

U.S. Economy: Foundation of Today’s Crisis | Podcast With Richard Duncan Part 1

Hey, simple passive cash listeners today is going to be a foundational podcast for a lot of you folks. We’ve with a repeat guest, Richard Duncan who wrote four books, analyzing the causes and the effects of the economic crisis. Now we’ve had him on the podcast in the back, but I brought Richard back and the way we’re gonna run this today is we’re gonna split this up into a couple of podcasts.

So this first podcast you guys are gonna be hearing is a little bit more evergreen. It’s a lot of his understanding and a lot of the stuff I’ve adopted in my understanding of the economy. And I think it’s gonna be very important for a lot of you guys, maybe replay this podcast again and.

There’s just a very different thought process and like how sophisticated people see different news articles in the media talking about the economy and how things really work today stay tuned and the second half or the next podcast, we’re gonna be talking a little bit more timely, current events.

What I say is learn the foundations that we’re gonna be talking about here today, because whatever happens in the world last time we talked to Richard, it was 2019, and I’m sure we were talking about the Koreans bombing Hawaii at that time or something.

I think that was the black Swan event at the time today in Ukraine, but whatever it is in the future by knowing these fundamental ideas, I think it gives you a better way to take everything in and not just be paralyzed and take into the fear mongering of the news media.

Thanks for jumping on Richard. I appreciate it. Lane, thanks for having me back. It’s a pleasure to be here. Yeah. So for people who are not familiar with Richard he runs a paid newsletter called market watch, which I subscribe to along with a lot of the other founding office members in our community.

And, he’ll come up with a, it is about a video a week, or no, every yeah, every month, I think you come up with a new one and a lot of it’s very timely, but a lot of it is more foundational. So we’re gonna be just, hitting the tip of the iceberg today. Let’s get started Richard.

For a lot of the investors, they’re new to how the economy works, how the fed works. Where should we start out first. The most important thing I think for everyone to begin with to understand is that the economy no longer works the way it did in the past.

The big break came when the United States stopped backing dollars with gold. That happened between 1968 and 1971. And afterwards our economic system evolved in a very different way. So the economic theory that everyone is still taught in university, all of the classical economic theory that was developed in the 19th century and before that was all based on the initial foundation stone, the initial premise that gold was money.

And it was all built on that foundation stone gold was money and therefore the economy had to work in a certain way because the gold was money, but after gold stopped being money in 1968, then things started to evolve. And now our economic system works in a very different way than it did before. And so it requires a different kind of economic theory to understand the way it works.

Because after all, I think everyone’s pretty convinced now that the old theory just can’t explain the way things work in the modern world. That’s why there’s been so much confusion about what’s going on in the economy for the last several decades. So let me explain in a little bit more detail. Up until 1968 the US central bank was required to own gold.

To issue to back up all the dollars it issued. That’s the way it had been since the Fed was created in 1913, but by 1968, the Fed didn’t have enough gold left to allow it to issue any more dollars. So this was a huge problem because if the money supply couldn’t grow, the economy would have a crisis.

So Congress changed the law and they removed that requirement for the Fed to hold any gold backing for the dollar whatsoever. That happened in 1968. And then just a few years later, Richard Nixon destroyed the Brett and woods system because that was based on allowing other countries to convert their dollars into US gold.

But by 1971, the US just didn’t have enough gold left to allow other countries to convert all of their dollars into US gold. We would’ve completely had no gold left whatsoever had that occurred. So Nixon renewed that promise for the US to allow other countries to convert his dollars into gold.

And so afterwards there was no longer a link in Melink whatsoever between dollars or money and gold. And afterwards the economic system started to evolve in ways that no one had anticipated or planned on. It just evolved naturally once these gold golden feathers were removed, things started to change most obviously.

The one thing that changed was the Fed was suddenly free to create as much money as it wanted, as long as it didn’t create high rates of inflation. So the next thing that changed was because the fed was free to create a lot of money. This enabled the US government to run larger budget deficits than it could be before without pushing up interest rates.

In the olden days, since there was only a limited amount of money, if the government had very large budget deficits, then it would’ve had to borrow a lot of money. And there was only a fixed amount of money. So the government borrowing would push up interest rates and that would, they say, crowd out the private sector because the higher interest rates made a lot of investments unprofitable, and that was bad for the economy.

But once the Fed was freed to create a bunch of money, as it pleased, it enabled the government to have larger budget deficits because the Fed created money and bought a lot of this government debt and financed the government budget deficits at low interest rates. So more that allowed more fiscal stimulus and that allowed the government to direct the economy more by having larger budget deficits and spending more.

Now the next, very important thing that changed after dollars ceased to be backed by. Was the trade between countries no longer balanced? It seems odd to think that before 1971 trade between countries was balanced, we had such enormous US governments and such enormous US trade deficits. Now, for instance, this year, the US trade deficit is going to be something like 1 trillion.

And we’ve all grown up in this world over the last three or four decades where the US has run these extraordinarily large trade deficits. But before 1971, that just didn’t happen. Trade was in balance. And the reason it was in balance was because, for example, if the US had a big trade deficit, let’s say with China, as it does today, it would’ve had to send its gold over to China to pay for the trade deficit.

And so US gold, which was money. The money supply would’ve contracted, and that would’ve caused a very severe recession in the United States. So unemployment would’ve gone up and there would’ve been deflation. And pretty soon, the Americans wouldn’t have enough gold left to allow it to continue buying things from China or any other country.

So trade had to come back into balance. There was an automatic adjustment mechanism under the bread and wood system. And before that, under the gold standard that made sure that trade between countries had to balance, because if it didn’t balance, you had to pay for your deficit with gold and gold was money.

You’d run out of money. And so you’d stop having a trade deficit was very simple, but once gold was no longer money, it didn’t take the United States very long to discover that it could start running very large trade deficits with other countries and it no longer had to pay with gold. It could just pay with paper dollars or treasury bonds denominated in paper dollars.

And there was no limit as to how many of these the US government could create. So starting in the early 1980s, the US started having a very big trade deficit for the first time ever. And by the middle of the 1980s, it was equal to 3.5% of GDP. That was just something entirely unprecedented, unimaginable.

But that was just the beginning in 1990, around 1990, China entered the global economy. And so the US started having larger and larger trade deficits with China. And by 2006, the US trade deficit was 800 billion in that one year alone. That was 6% of US GDP. Now, of course, this was fantastic for global economic growth.

Because with the US having an $800 billion trade deficit in that one year, that meant the rest of the world could have an $800 billion trade surplus. In other words, it could, the rest of the world could produce $800 billion worth of goods, more than it would’ve otherwise been able to do and sell it all to the United States.

And so this was a thing that, you could say, was globalization as the US trade deficit exploded between 1980 in 2006. This globalization, this huge US trade deficit created a global economic boom that allowed one country after another, around the world to grow through export led growth.

This had really started a bit earlier after world war II with Japan and being able to industrialize by selling a lot of goods to the United States and then Korea and then Taiwan. Then later Thailand and Indonesia, Malaysia, and more recently Vietnam and China. So in particular, all of Asia has been able to industrialize largely because it’s been able to make manufactured goods and sell them to the United States.

So this was great for the developing countries in Asia. It, in fact, pooled hundreds of millions of people around the world out of poverty. But from the US perspective, why this was so important is because when the US started buying more and more goods from low wage countries like Thailand and Indonesia and later China and Vietnam.

This by buying goods from low wage countries, this pushed down the cost of manufactured goods in the United States. It was disinflationary. It drove down the inflation rate and it also drove down wages in the US or held wages down. And so this is the reason that the inflation rate came down so sharply from the early 1980s up until very recently, globalization was extremely deflationary and it kept the inflation rate very low and that allowed interest rates in the US to go to very low levels.

So for example, because the inflation was so low, that meant that the interest rates could be very low. Between the year 2000 and the time when COVID started roughly a 20 year period, the average rate of inflation in the United States was 1.7% in that 20 year period. So that was below the Fed’s 2% inflation target for two decades.

So the Fed’s biggest worry was preventing deflation during those decades, rather than worrying about inflation. So the reason this is so important is because back say in the 1960s and 1970s before, while trade was still in balance, if the us government ran very large budget deficits and over stimulated the economy, and if the fed created a lot of money to help finance those trade deficits, then that always led the very high rates of inflation.

And the reason that led to very high rates of inflation is because all of that government spending and stimulus and money creation, would’ve created such a strong economic growth in the United States that everyone would have a job. And also all of the factories would be working at full industrial capacity.

The car factories would be working flat out. The steel factories would be manufacturing all the steel that it could possibly manufacture. And so we hit domestic bottlenecks, and these domestic bottlenecks resulted in prices moving up, both wages and the cost of manufactured goods. And this led to a wage push inflation spiral that we experienced throughout the 1970s.

So then everything changed though in the 1980s, because we started running these very big trade deficits with the rest of the world and they were very deflationary. So the deflationary forces from globalization completely offset all of the inflationary forces that were being caused by the very large government budget deficits and all of the paper money that was being created by the fed.

And we still ended up in a situation where. The inflation rate was lower than the fed wanted. And interest rates were very low and the very low interest rates, then there were two results from low interest rates. One credit expanded very rapidly, and the credit growth started to drive economic growth.

And also the low interest rates meant that asset prices inflated when interest rates moved down, asset prices like property and also stocks and all the asset classes tend to move up. So our economic system started, it evolved over these past many decades after dollars ceased to be backed by gold. And we moved into an economic system where credit growth became the most important driver of economic growth.

This was something quite so Richard, let me, before we move to creditism, yeah, so check my understanding here of Globalization like globalization is like a disruptor in a way. The way I see it, to use it in a modern day analogy, it’s like the apple M one ship.

It’s like a disruptor technology. It runs cooler. It’s a lot quicker. This apple, silicone, I don’t know all the things, but like for the time being it’s a total game changer and that’s what globalization was. It was the ability to get cheaper labor elsewhere. And that helped both sides of the equation, which is why India and China the, they came up in terms of network or worth, and America was able to outsource a lot of these jobs.

But in a way, is it like the apple, one ship getting old, five years, 10 years in the future? Is that kind of what’s going on with globalization? It’s been around for a while. You’re right. So globalization really produced a paradigm shift. And I’ve written about this in my new book, which is called the money revolution.

So what I’ve been describing so far since we’ve been talking is this money revolution that has occurred since dollars used to be backed by gold. The catalyst for the revolution was when the US stopped backing dollars with gold. And now what we’re experiencing is a partial reversal of globalization.

And this has occurred over the last couple of years first because COVID resulted in global supply chain bottlenecks. And more recently Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has worsened the global supply chain bottleneck. And this has caused inflation to spike. So for all of this time, from the early 1980s, inflation moved lower and lower until COVID hit.

And then once COVID hit well at first prices actually fell for a while when everyone was locked down. But soon after that, because of the government stimulus and the supply chain bottlenecks. Now we’re experiencing very high rates of inflation and this is a, so this has been a double blow to globalization that has represented a partial reversal of this paradigm shift that we’ve lived through as a result of globalization and the higher inflation rate poses, a very dire threat to not only economic growth, but wealth as we’ve already seen.

A great deal of wealth has been destroyed. This year stock prices have fallen and cryptos have crumbled and other risky asset prices have crashed. That’s because the reversal of globalization has driven up the inflation rate and that’s forced the Fed to tighten monetary policy very aggressively or begin to tighten it policy very aggressively with much more tightening to come.

Yeah, so that it’s not so much, globalization is getting old. It’s just that globalization has dealt various severe blows and it’s reeling. It is on its back feet. And it’s not certain how long we’re going to suffer this reversal to globalization. We’d like to think that COVID is going to come to an end sometime soon, but we can’t be certain about that.

In fact, the headlines just today are that, COVID, once again, is spreading around China. China has a zero COVID policy. So they’re shutting down their factories again and imposing new lockdowns. And so this winter, we may have an even worse variant of COVID than we’ve had thus far.

We just don’t know how long COVID is going to last and how long it’s going to continue disrupting its supply chains and how long it’s going to continue to hammer globalization. And likewise, we don’t know how long the war in Ukraine is going to go on. Hopefully it will end tomorrow. But on the other hand, in a worst case scenario, it could spread to other countries in Europe or even become a world war.

So we just don’t know how this is going to play out. And that’s what makes it so frightening today for investors and for economists and analysts trying to forecast what’s going to happen with stock prices and other asset prices. And the outlook for the economy is very uncertain. Yeah. Those two headwinds, you just mentioned one would assume that it would go away in the next decade, let’s just to have there’s some point where it, the impact ends, but globalization, to me, I feel still feel like there’s that’s still gonna keep ticking for a lot, much longer than that. Maybe even several more decades, like how, we said at one time the United States has no more oil fossil fuel, but apparently there’s a boatload of it, right?

That’s right. If COVID goes away, I believe it will. Not that I’m qualified to discuss that, but I hope that war will end sometime soon and not become World War II. Those, it probably will. COVID probably will go away. The war probably will end and things probably will go back the way they were in 2019.

For example, the last time we spoke. And if that occurs, then we’ll be back in this world where globalization is exerting very strong, downward pressure on us prices. And we’ll, it probably won’t take very long to get back to the point where inflation in the US is once again, below the Fed’s 2% inflation target.

And if we move back in that position, that is ideal because it allows the government to manage the economy pretty effectively through large budget deficits when necessary and through quantitative easing with the Fed, creating money and buying government bonds to help finance the government spending at low interest rates.

And of course the low interest rate, environment’s very positive for asset prices. So hopefully we will return there before too many more years have passed. Let’s back up cuz I, some people, so we don’t leave anybody behind here. Some people slow down to absorb a lot of this, which is makes a lot of sense to me as you go over this and this is what a lot, a lot of this content is actually taught through, a large module in Richard’s market watch content on his website, but maybe probably go to creditism and quantitative, easing, quantitative, I think people hear about it, but maybe not all together.

They hear it spoken about in the news here or there, Okay. So again, once dollars cease to be backed by gold, our economic system evolved and it evolved into a system that requires credit growth. Our economic system, our economy became dependent on credit growth. For example, going back to 1952, every time total credit in the US grew by less than 2% adjusted for inflation.

The US went into recession and the recession didn’t end until there was another very big surge of credit expansion. So that tells us that the US economy requires at least 2% credit growth adjusted for inflation to stay out of recession. That happened nine times between 1952 and 2009. And every time that credit grew by less than 2%, there was a recession.

Now let me add this total credit has accelerated so radically during my lifetime, what I mean by total credit? Total credit is the same thing as total debt. Because one person’s debt is another person’s asset. A credit that they’ve extended is debt to someone else. So you can look at this as all the debt in the country, not just the government debt, but the household’s debt, the corporation’s debt, the financial sector’s debt, all the debt in the country.

First went through 1 trillion in 1964, by 2007, just on the Eve of the financial crisis. It has expanded to more than 50 trillion. So that was a 50 fold expansion of credit in just 43 years. And now total credit is 90 trillion. So 90 trillion of credit expansion in just 52 years and credit growth became the main driver of economic growth.

As I’ve said, anytime credit grew by less than 2%, the US went into recession. Then, the crisis of 2008 occurred because the private sector had taken on so much debt. The households in particular had taken on so much debt that they couldn’t repay it. They couldn’t continue paying interest on their mortgages.

And so they started defaulting and the private sector started defaulting and the banks started to fail, but the government intervened very aggressively with multi-trillion dollar budget deficits, and the Fed helped finance those budget deficits with money creation. So between 2008 and 2014, the US government dead increased by 7 trillion.

And the Fed created three and a half trillion dollars through quantitative easing. To finance that government debt at low interest rates and the combination of government fiscal stimulus and money creation by the Fed prevented a new, great depression. It reflected the global bubble that started to pop in 2008 and it carried on, it carried us on up until 2020 when COVID started.

So I described this news, the way the economy works now is driven by credit growth. So rather than calling this capitalism. I call it creditism. Capitalism was an economic system that was driven this way. Businessmen would invest. Some of them would make a profit. They would save their profits. Or in other words, accumulate capital, hence capitalism and repeat.

So it was driven by investment and saving and then more investment and more in saving. And that’s what drove economic growth under capitalism, but in recent decades, that’s not the way our economic system works at all anymore. The growth driver for our economic system for decades now has been credit growth and consumption and more credit growth and more consumption.

So our economy has become dependent on credit growth. And as long as credit keeps expanding, everything’s fine. But when credit slows down and grows by less than 2% adjusted for inflation, we have a recession. And if credit starts to contract, as it almost did in 2008, then we would go into a great depression.

The government understands this and it now manages the economy as best it can to make sure that credit keeps expanding one way or the other. So after 2008, the private sector really couldn’t take on a great deal of additional credit. So the government had to drive the economy by borrowing and spending, and even with the government borrowing and spending on a multi trillion dollar scale.

For the first four years after 2008, that still wasn’t enough to make credit grow a lot more. It wasn’t enough to get credit growing by 3%. In other words, adjusted for inflation. It was even with all the government stimulus and the government debt credit growth was still weak. It was just barely above the 2% recession threshold as I call it.

So the Fed stepped in and through very low interest rates and round after round of quantitative easing, the Fed drove up asset prices and this created a wealth effect. The wealth increased and that allowed the Americans to consume more. And this, so this wealth effect engineered by the Fed supplemented the weak credit growth and allowed the economy to keep expanding.

So from between 2009, the end of last year, total wealth in the United States expanded by 150%. Total wealth grew by 90 trillion in those 13 years from 60 trillion in 2009 to 150 trillion at the end of last year, 150% increase in household sector wealth in the us. And of course the creation of 90 trillion of wealth was very helpful in making the economy continue to grow.

It allowed people to spend more money, more consumption, and consumption’s 70% of GDPs. So that helped fuel the US economy and that made the economy grow. But the problem was that the wealth, the asset prices were moving up much more rapidly than income. So the asset prices became extremely inflated.

There’s a very good measure, a good index that I look at called. I call it the wealth to income ratio. And when the wealth to income ratio goes very high, that tells you that asset prices are too expensive and they’re likely to correct. So what this wealth income ratio actually is the household sector net worth, which I was just talking about.

Household sector, net worth, hit 150 trillion at the end of last year. This household sector net worth is divided by personal disposable income. So it’s wealth to income. Now, the average for this ratio, going back to 1950, this wealth income ratio has averaged. 550% since 1950. But during the NASDAQ bubble, it hit a record high of 620% because the NASDAQ stocks were so expensive and that bubble popped, and it went back to its average of 550%.

Then during the property bubble, the wealth income ratio shot up to a new record, high of six hundred and six hundred 70%. And then the property bubble popped in 2008. And this wealth income ratio went back to its average 550%. But by the end of last year, because of this extraordinary frenzy, in all of the asset markets, the wealth income ratio went up to 820%.

That was 23% and above its previous all time high at the peak of the property bubble. This was telling us that asset prices were extremely stretched. And very vulnerable to anything that could go wrong. And the thing that went wrong is inflation went up and the Fed had to start tightening barriers aggressively.

And so now we’ve had the first half of this year has been the worst year for stocks going back to what the 1960s and in the second quarter in particular was particularly harsh. So we’ve seen NASDAQ down more than 30%. The S and P’s have been down more than 20%, two thirds of all the value of crypto has been destroyed and other expensive asset prices are crashing as well.

But even after this, the wealth to income ratio based on my calculations is still 730%. So it’s still. 10% above its previous, all time peak in, at the peak of the property bubble. So this is telling us that asset prices are still very expensive and potentially have a lot more downside to go. For instance, if the wealth income ratio were to fall back to its 50 year average of 550%, a total of 50 trillion of wealth would have to be destroyed between the end of last year.

And by the time we hit the average at the end of last year, total wealth in the US was $150 trillion. It’s now down because the sell off in the stock market is now probably about 135 trillion. But to return to its average, it would have to fall to 100 and $100 trillion. And that suggests that up to another $35 trillion of wealth could be destroyed.

Before we return to the average. Now it’s not certain that we are going to return to the average, but much of that is going to depend on how high the Fed increases interest rates and how much money the Fed destroys through quantitative tightening, which just started last month. Yeah. I think that’s a kind of a fascinating ratio right there.

How, but I’m thinking that there’s a wealth gap, right? Part of that is taking in the average consumer out there, which is getting worse and worse than the top 1% or 0.1%. How does that factor in wouldn’t there be even wouldn’t their percentage getting less and less over time if that’s the case, that’s the overall trend?

You’re right. The income inequality has become very much worse and over the last few years, but over the last couple of decades as well, if a lot of wealth is destroyed, a lot of that wealth will be wealth belonging to people who have more than a billion dollars, but at the same time, if we see, so if that’s the case, then you know, it might not be so terrible because someone who has $15 billion, it’s probably not going to spend a lot less money than when he had 20 billion.

He’s still going to keep spending a lot of money, but whereas someone who’s at the bottom of the income distribution spectrum, if they lose a little wealth, they would have to probably spend much less money. But now of course, a lot of Americans own stocks and a lot of Americans own crypto as well recently.

And with stock prices down so far already, these people are probably going to feel less wealthy. They’re probably going to cut back on their spending. Of course, all of the government stimulus over the last few years has helped boost savings and has enabled the American public broadly to spend more money.

But of course, those stimulus programs are over. Now. The first one was in March, 2020, the second one was December, 2020. And the third one was in March, 2021. That was 15 months ago, so that there aren’t going to be any more big stimulus packages. So that source of consumer spending is going to dry it very quickly as well, that, combined with the big losses in their 401k plans.

And once they realize how much money they’ve lost in the stock market this year, that’s likely to deter them from spending as much. So it’s going to be a real drag on the economy and soon property prices are also likely to begin to fall. As interest rates keep moving higher. Of course the property markets enjoyed a wonderful run.

I think it’s up to something like a third. Property prices on average home prices are up something like a third over the last two years, and they’re still going higher on a year on year basis, but that’s likely to reverse before long. The Fed has just now started tightening interest rates and they’re going to keep tightening rates.

They increased the federal funds rate by 75 basis points last month. And they’re expected to increase another 75 basis points at the end of this month. And they’re likely to keep increasing the federal funds rate every time they meet through the middle of next year. So it’s not the federal funds rate now; it’s roughly in a range between 1.5% and 1.75%.

But by the middle of next year, it could move up to four and a half percent. And if it does, then the 10 year government bond yield is going to be at least four and a half percent and mortgage rates are going to be significantly higher than that. And so property prices are likely to begin falling and a lot.

And of course, most Americans are nearly most of all the Americans own their own homes or the majority at least. And so if they start feeling that their home prices are following, this is also going to curb their consumption, right? And with the fed increasing, the fed inflation rate now has shot up to 8.6%.

These are CPI headline numbers. The core numbers are lower, but they’re still well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. So the Fed’s going to have to keep hiking the federal funds rate and pushing interest rates higher. The Fed’s mandate is stable prices and maximum employment. While employment’s extremely low, 3.6%, the Fed’s going to have to concentrate on bringing down the inflation rate.

Now, inflation is driven by supply and demand. If there’s too much demand and too little supply, then you get rising in prices. And the fed can’t do anything on the supply side, the fed can’t go out and drill more oil Wells or plant more wheat. They only can operate on the demand side. And so, what that means is they have to make demand go lower.

If they’re going to bring the inflation rate down. And the only way they can bring the demand side lower is by increasing interest rates so far that they throw millions of Americans out of work, and also destroy a lot of wealth by making the stock market and the property market fall. And by that makes demand lower by making demand lower, that makes inflation lower and so that’s what they’re intending to do now. They’re intending to drive up the unemployment rate, they’re intending to destroy wealth so that the inflation rate comes back down.

July 2022 Real Estate Braddahs Ep. 53

Hey folks, this is the 53rd episode of the real estate brothers. Welcome folks. In this episode, we’re gonna be talking all about rising interest rates, J Powell and rumors of the fed. And Dean’s gonna start us off with some June statistics, but before we do that, why don’t you guys take some time and take some questions and comments and we’ll, I’ll try and formulate it in our head.

We’ll try, incorporate it into this month’s episode. Okay, so that is that me? That’s you. Okay. Welcome everybody. Thank you for tuning in as always. What is this number? 53 episode number. That’s pretty cool. I think it shows our dedication to our craft. We’re not doing anything else other than doing this freaking thing every month. We should be in person soon.

Is that right? So as you guys know, I’m a real estate investor and realtor in Hawaii can catch me on my YouTube website real estate of Hawaii, or my website, real estate of Hawaii dot. But yeah. Before we jumped into the statistics, I wanted to share a couple things, summer activities here in Hawaii.

So one event that I tried, our venue was beyond Monet. That’s over in the convention center. I, the reason why I posted, I wanna talk about this one is that I wasn’t very cool. I guess you could say, but I wasn’t impressed very much and maybe I’m not an impressionist appreciator or an art appreciator, but it just was, the lack of, what I was able to see there, basically there was like two large rooms.

One room had a lot of. Words that you could read about Monique’s history, which that part was interesting, but keep in mind, I brought my 10 and my eight year old child and they went, we went on a playdate. So that was one room that after you read all the history, then you step into another room that had, it was like a big, I know it is just an empty hall that had four sides of Screens and the projectors just shot on all four sides.

Like just moving art, which is interesting too, but that was pretty much the end of it. And I think we paid, along the lines of maybe $30. So it went by really quickly. So just underneath that, I have this search for Snoopy the peanuts adventure at the experience. We didn’t do this, but the funny thing is after the beyond, Monnet.

event. We went over to AWA shopping center and to have the kids play on this playground right next to the target. And we saw this search for Snoopy, a popup adventure. So I, we didn’t go to, we didn’t have time, but I then went online, came to find out it’s the, it’s pretty much the same price as the BI money event.

And again, I haven’t gone through it yet, but it touted like eight different things. Areas to go and do, tour and adventure. So it depends like I’m sure if you’re a Mon fan or appreciated the beyond money must would probably be awesome. But, I didn’t find it very. Good bang for your buck.

And the one interesting thing too, was that someone was working, there was a basketball tournament down below at the convention center. So I was talking to the lady working that event. And she has mentioned to me that she was gonna go to beyond Mon and said, oh, And I asked her, there was a beyond van go event that happened probably six months ago.

So I had asked her, oh, what she thought about that one? She said she hadn’t been to that one. She missed it. But the interesting comment she made was that the beyond van go event had a lot, a really good turnout. And from my understanding, it was very similar with the two different areas.

And she said, surprisingly, she finds that this beyond Monet venue, isn’t getting as nearly as much attraction or pool as the beyond van goal came. So that made me think that people like that. Paid the money for the Vango event. Weren’t impressed enough to come back to the beyond money when they found out it was a very similar concept instead. Anyway, did you go to the one in Japan where there’s like

the immersive experience near you? Yes. So that one there’s two of those in Tokyo and we did go to that and oh yeah, maybe I’m comparing it to that, but. When blue this one’s out of water, because this one, I’m just looking at a picture, but it looks like they just like. Fired up four or four projectors and they just changed the USB file.

It’s not, I, there are transitions a little bit. It’s a little bit more fancy than that to your point. But yeah, in a nutshell versus the one in Japan, which is, comparing apples in oranges, but the technology that they had in the one in is, the kids, they would get a picture.

They would. Draw a sea creature, and then they would scan that sea creature in the computer, and then that would pop up and be animated. And. Going all over the walls in the virtual ocean and it would be moving. And that’s just one right there. There’s and maybe we were expecting that, but anyway, we are typical Hawaii, man.

If anybody can help me find a CPA that knows about passive losses and land conservation essence, please help me because apparently we are 20 years behind everybody on the mainland. And in terms of 3d, immersive art, we. A hundred years behind Japan. Anyway, getting off topic, let’s jump into the statistics for June.

And I’ve been tracking this as well as some other statistics because everyone is talking about the doom and glue and how there’s the correction and interest rates are making everything. Tank. And that may be the case on the stock market side, but glad to announce that it’s not quite happening in Hawaii. We are seeing a little bit of, I dunno, if you wanna call it softness, but as you can see, it’s not really evident in some of these numbers I’ll point out to you where it might be, but starting off with the single family meeting, single family home prices, we’re actually at 1 million we’re actually up 12% from the same time last year.

On the townhouse condo side, we actually. Broken all time, new record at five 30, 4,000. And that’s up 16% from last year where we do see maybe a potential. I dunno if you wanna call it softening, but it is on the Kohl sales, 357 for single family. That’s a 21% decrease from last year and 626 Kohl sales for townhouse condos.

That’s a 14% decrease. Last year, if you wanna say, that’s, if that’s a sign, the market, we’re still at 10 and 11% market, which is still a strong seller’s market by definition. So what I would like to do is like how we always do is dig a little bit further to see how things are going.

So closed sales. We see again, we’re just looking at the trend lines that, over the last. In 10 years, this is the closed sale trend. And if you look at it still looks relatively healthy, it’s not like it’s like a big drop, for new listings. This is where I think on the mainland.

Certain parts of the mainland they’re saying is softening up because sales are going down, listings are coming up. And then, inventory overall is on the rise, which is causing the prices then to soften. But as you can see here, new listings, we have, we, it’s not really going up. It’s actually going down.

And so what that does. Month supply of inventory. It’s not bumping that up as much as it is in certain parts of the United States. So if we look at, for June, we still have a single family, 1.6 months of inventory and condos, one not much different at 1.7, if you look at this historical chart, we were still really busy all time low still.

Until the inventory starts bumping up, I think that’s. We will actually get to see more softening of the prices I think. And, one thing different we have is our new construction rates. Aren’t nearly as high as they are at the mainland, being on the island as we are. So looking at days on market too, as a lagging indicator for a buyers or sellers market.

And we have, as you can see. As you mentioned earlier, it’s well under two weeks, so we’re still by definition in a seller’s market. And again, all of these statistics are lagging indicators, but these are six days old, right? As of June, interest rates again we talked about in the past.

I pulled this number yesterday, but the 30 year fixed is at 5.65. And I know I hear a lot of people freaking out and right, because everyone’s been spoiled for the last 10, 12 years. And what it does is yeah. When you, everyone is used to that 3% interest rate, it’s going. Almost double and now your buying power goes down.

So everyone has to adjust to that. Yeah. Okay. So now going onto some interesting news on the west side of wahoo, this is regarding the Makaha valley area. Once in a while, I get these calls . A lot of people like new construction and they’re looking for new construction popping up.

We always talk about Kaka ACO. We talk about Co Ridge having a whole ley, but there’s one small subdivision out in Makaha valley by cottage, by Stanford, Cara cottages at Mount Olu. It’s a gated community. The single family homes up to about 1.2 million and it is just out there in the middle of that valley and just stands out compared to everything else.

And part of the reason why is because we had this, a Canadian company that had bought the land in Makaha valley many years ago. And they were supposed to develop residential vacation homes, vacation rentals and golf courses. A few golf courses, I think two golf courses popped up over there.

Only one has survived, but besides that, there’s not much out there. In fact, one of the golf courses was supposed to be a tiger woods golf course. And so without that development coming through fruition that cottages of mono oil just stood out there. Oddly placed, but that developer actually went bankrupt in 2021, the one in Canada.

And so they, the bankruptcy courts have sold the property to K group, which is a Korean company. And hopefully they’re gonna start development in terms of getting that Makaha valley, developed in, having. Some neighbors and something to match the development of the cottages at MLU.

So that’s it depends how you look at some, some people think that’s great news. Other people are like, keep the, keep Hawaii, but is that a safe place out there? Is it. I just ask the question, everybody’s thinking. Yeah, no, and that’s a great question. And as a realtor, by, by definition, they, we have to watch out for what we say because of fair housing laws.

So when oh, selling properties, that kind of thing, but no, to your point, you go down the street. And you head towards the ocean and there’s a homeless camp off to the right, right on the beach. That’s not looking too good. And overall, you think of the, once you get outta Makaha valley, you look at the.

The condition in the neighborhood, the houses are really old. And so there is something to say it was gated, right? This thing, this, the cottage at mano is gated. Yeah. And there’s a guard. Like I said, it does, it is unique in terms of once you get out of the valley how the rest of the inventory and those new neighborhoods.

This is good for the mainland guys who don’t know anything about the island. And then they just, they don’t care being on the west side. Funny that you bring that up because that’s who’s the ones that are spotting this one and asking me about it. So yeah, that’s exactly the ones. And then, so then there’s a little bit of education too, and saying, okay come down and let’s go drive through the neighborhood. Let’s take a drive out. and let me know what you think. And so it is to your point that I am getting those inquiries about cottages. That’s why, when I see these articles like, oh, good to talk about because it’s all part of educating our friends, our clients, about our neighborhoods, where are the gated communities?

You get this one there’s. There’s actually a if you could see this picture out. Oh, lower Ridge. Oh, just in general. Yeah. There’s not many gay communities. Yeah. There, oh, there’s a townhouse in Milani Maka. There’s condo complexes that are easier to gate, right?

Yeah. But no houses. Yeah. You know what I mean? Yeah. Oh, there, there are ones I. Shoot. I think in Windward side, there are too. And in the Kahala side, there are a few, I think they’re small though. Yeah. But yeah. That’s why I like to talk about these kind of, articles too. Yeah. As always, I like to talk about the scam the month.

So now we’re talking about celebrity cryptocurrency scams and. Basically what these scammers are doing is they’re building the scam initially. Then the criminals will boost the scam with fake endorsements. So they will get, I guess they’ll impersonate public figures who previously promoted cryptocurrency to make the endorsements seem legitimate.

And then the endorsements are meant to influence you to invest in the scam. And if you fall further you’ll not see any return on your investment, obviously. So keep being aware of those. Always do you know, never trust a get rich quick scheme, if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.

They’re the crypto currency scams are usually caught, and shut down quickly, but you never know. And remember that celebrities do get paid to endorse the. Cryptocurrency. You do your research and your due diligence in mighty people, although we are social creatures and we just follow, like lemmings one person that’s popular, right.

Happens since high. So that’s basically what this is. Yeah. So in this scenario, that celebrity isn’t truly promoting this scam, it’s just try to mimic that. Yeah. So the way this works is there’s like these discord channels. And then they’re usually put on by some kind of influencer, like a YouTuber or somebody like a podcaster that doesn’t know what they’re talking about.

But sometimes the influencer is like some actual tech founder that actually went full cycle with a company that’s where you gotta do due diligence, but most times it’s think, what’s that Jake Paul dude, or I don’t know who these guys are, that the one the brothers, the box. The pro boxer.

I don’t know. He, I don’t know. He’s got beach chairs like that, but he’s, there’s a lot of these like influencers, right? And so they get paid, not they’re dumb. They, I would, if I was the influencer, I would want equity, but they just get paid like a, just a quick sum of cash to shout out.

Just like all the Instagram influences out there. If you guys go to social blade.com, you can. Find all the local influencers and just pay people in certain categories where you want. It’s all paid for. It’s just a sham these days.

Like social media, waste of time. I dunno. I’ve been grumpy today. Cool, cool. No, that’s a good, very good point in terms of, you get. You very much do research, cuz there’s so many people and you think that it’s legit, they try to legitimize things. Anyway, moving on. So I have a client who is, this has happened a few times actually, where. . But right now I have a client who’s planning to sell their property.

They live 3000 miles away. They haven’t seen their property for quite a few years now it was tenanted. And again so yeah, they’re in the mainland and One thing and sorry they want me to sell their property. So one thing I asked them to consider you don’t need to, is to get what’s called a pre-marketing home inspection.

Typically in the buying process, the buyer is recommended on their own dollar to get a home inspection. And they use that as leverage, possibly to negotiate repairs. And our credits. So in the scenario that we’re in this for my clients, I had given them the option to get a pre-marketing home inspection.

And so one reason why this might be something for sellers to consider is it, it minimizes prices for the buyers as well. For the sellers in that manner, because they haven’t set it for net property for so many years. They don’t know what’s going on. A lot of times the property manager doesn’t let them know what happened.

The best thing they can do is go back to their accounting and see, oh, they had, they got billed for this. Okay. Okay. The toilet was repaired cuz or replaced. Cuz we see that in the bill, sometimes there’s a bill and there’s no detail. So the inspection helps. minimize those kinds of oopsies or like things they didn’t know about you.

And in theory it can reduce the buyer’s reason to cancel from the one inspection. So if providing, then with the buyers, with the information, if you want to at least be able to disclose things that popped up in this pre-marketing home inspection. It gives the buyers in theory, less outs because of, in things that they didn’t know, because they discovered it during their inspection, because we were able to let them know prior to getting into, to contract by right.

The buyer can opt out of the. contract based on for no reason for that matter in terms of if they’re still within that inspection period, but this just in theory mitigates the risk of them canceling on a, for a legitimate reason. It’s also in a pre-marketing home inspection is also a great marketing tool from the standpoint of being able to say to the buyers and the buyer’s agent in.

In good conscience that the seller is being upfront, honest and operating. Good in good fails in good faith without anything to hide. And it totally depends on the sellers because the sellers could take it two ways. They could go on the one side of the spectrum and be fully transparent to the point.

Oh here’s the pre-marketing home inspection report in. Take a look at it and you can see, or you could be on the opposite side of that spectrum and say, you know what, I haven’t set foot on this property. I’m gonna sell it as there are no credits, repairs, anything. So buyers now that you know, that you build in that, to your taking that to consideration in your offer, right?

So that’s theoretically you could be leaving meat on the bone though. So that’s why when you have that two ends of the spectrum, In theory, when you’re being more upfront and open you can hopefully get more for your property and pocket more. So it depends how you look at it again. Sometimes I have clients who are like, no, just as I take it.

I don’t wanna know anything. Just let them know. I don’t know anything. And that’s fine also. And again, situations where the owners haven’t seen their property in a long time is often when I. through that as a consideration for my sellers. So something for sellers to think about.

Yeah. See. So last I wanted to end with an update on the Kakaako neighborhood. So I went by today to take some clients over to the ward village. Area in the IBM building. And so I heard a few presentations. So quick update the Ali condo condominium that’s been completed already, but they still have some available studios that start at 660,000.

And there’s actually resale condos for Ali because it’s been done. I think some people are turning around and trying to sell them. Of course those are probably more. units that are, they were picked already. So the ones that are still sitting are not gonna be as, in good I guess part of the building, also co Ola is another complex similar to Ali, a little bit close, closer to the ocean and those studios start at seven 30.

They also have one bedroom at, in the nine hundreds and the two bedrooms at 1.2. So this one’s not gonna be actually done till I think. The fall quarter Q3 of this year. So those are for sale. A few units left. If you have, if you add to know anything, then P me, I have the pricing and the available units, but maybe for next month I’m gonna talk about the next building, that word villages or Howard Hughes is putting up and that complex is called Kalay.

And I’ll report next month. But lane, we talked about not Uru being on the ocean and having nothing to no views. So Kalia is one of those buildings that’s gonna be built right across from Aliana Boulevard. And it’s gonna have a view of the ocean in theory. They’re not building them similar to Naru where everyone has.

Ocean view, they’re doing it a little bit differently where I believe it’s, you’re either looking ever or diamond head. And then you have not a pick a peek, a Butte blue view, but you don’t get a straight shot view of the ocean so that everyone has some kind of view, but not the most gorgeous view, more information on KA coming soon. Those, when bedrooms start at 1.2. Just to let you focus on the downs, that could be for a while, but I’ll probably have a better, more comprehensive report with pictures and pricings. For next month, what’s the three bedroom, three bath costs. Because all these other ones are under like 1200 square feet.

Yeah. So, I think there’s gonna be like, I think that the highest would be like 5.3 fi in the 5 million. Oh, that’s probably this one, this three it’s at the corner unit three bedroom, three bath, 1457 square feet. So yeah, so Kale’s gonna be 330 units. 165 of those units are gonna be unrestricted, meaning, you can be an investor.

You don’t have to be living here. The remainder you have to be. It has to be owner occupied. Yeah. So what’s. oh, okay. So this Alii is not as good as Lua then. Yeah. Ali’s further towards the mountain. The unit sizes are a little bit smaller, the unit sizes. And then yeah, this interesting thing is Alii.

I have heard from a few buyers who stepped into the unit after cuz you’re buying off blueprints back then. And they’re like, oh my gosh, like this. This is so small. I can’t even believe how the engineers even, or the architectures they should be fired for coming. And man, you knew you should have known it’s gonna be tiny.

And, the thing is there weren’t any models to look at. Yeah. And I did see one of the Ali studios and it wasn’t that it seemed actually really big because of the way they made everything efficient and they had a Murphy bed and, but it reminded me of Murphy bed. You gotta live in the studios.

Yeah. Yes. If you’re, it reminded me of some of the Airbnbs, I stayed in Tokyo. If you are moving from, say Milani Maka from the four bedroom, three bath single family home, 2000 square feet, and you’re trying to. Squeeze yourself into a 350 square foot studio. Yeah. You’re gonna, you’re gonna be in a big bunch of shock.

Yeah. That’s the downgrade living with mom and dad. You get your living room and all the common air between the laundry room and you know that you get smaller quarters. You could, yeah, seriously. So I don’t know. It just depends how you look at it. Cuz the theory is that, you go back to your, so these micro apartment theories in these urban areas is you go up and you go to sleep there, but you’re gonna go down to the amenities that they have as well as the public amenities in terms of the restaurants and the shopping and the parks.

And know the interesting thing about transitioning back to Kalia is they’re gonna have these bungalows, it’s almost giant. I dunno like kitchens and the area. And one of the bongos has a pool where you can rent out. This area fits maybe 50 people and you have to pay a fee, but it’s almost like a miniature version of middle lane town association where you can rent out the big party room for your 300.

party, graduation, that kind of thing. It’ll be interesting, but yeah, Kala’s gonna be right on the, on Boulevard. So that should be an interesting one. I can, I’ll talk about that one and we can do even comparisons with the older inventory that has the video. Yeah. So that’s all I have for my section.

We’ll. If you guys wanna learn more about investing on the mainland, you guys can check out my podcast and we’ll pass it, cash flow, and the website simple pass it, cash flow.com, but let’s get to it here as this is a little chart that I put together where everybody’s complaining about the interest rates going up, but Hey, the interest rates go up, they cool off inflation and that’s just what the fed does.

And that’s, it’s kinda like your parents who told you couldn’t do something you wanted to do. That’s what the Fed is doing to make sure that we don’t go to hyper inflation and some con historical context of how long these times of cranking rates up, what did it go up? 70 per basis points last time.

It will probably go up half percent three quarter percent again next time, but you’re the last time it’s, it’s gone. 1.4 years, one and a half years. She lived 0.2 years from 2005 to 2008. The most recent one, 2017 to 2020, just before the pandemic was 2.6 years. So I would say, people say the interest rates are gonna go back down. I don’t think so, man. I think we’re looking at least another year of interest rates cranking up,

Best and worst places to raise a family. People like these for some strange injuries and, but Honolulu and Pearl city were like number one there. Oh, wow. Yeah.

Sanel is like a real estate guru staying away from Bitcoin. And if you guys are interested, I did a video called Crypto winter, which is upon us. I think it was live. Tomorrow on my YouTube channel, you guys can just Google it. Rich uncle is the YouTube channel. We try to keep things fun and light up there, but I’m not a huge fan of investing for sustainable returns, that type of stuff.

I do think it’s long term, so don’t get me wrong, but I just don’t. I took all my money, all that blocked by and all that type of stuff. Cuz there’s all this did. All the brokerages. I don’t know if that’s the right word to use, but of all the people on the exchanges there’s some turmoil happening on the staking side , but John Burns real estate consulting reports that demand is shifting from owning to renting with prices still pretty high.

There’s a bit of a. Home appreciation nationwide hit 20% in March of 2022. Making the largest jump in three decades. Mortgage payments went up about $600 with the latest increase in rents. If you live in Hawaii, that’s probably four times. Probably like two grand mortgage payments, right? Like most people used to pay three grand now it’s five GS right. Every month. Yep. Yep. Yep. In terms of new, the comparable new loan, right at the new lease, right?

Yeah, exactly. Should have done it yesterday. Yeah. Cause we all say, but I saw a picture the other day of some guy signing a noon loan. And I was like, really now’s the time to do it, but I guess, the rates are gonna go up more than likely in the next year. So I guess better now than later, but it’s a little too late to the party in a way.

Oh, I told you too. And that other slide that I showed, at, five, 6%, we’re still relatively low in the grand scheme of historical interest rates. You. Yeah. So exactly. So we’ve just been spoiled, when it, and it’s just shocking to us emotionally, as well as financially, when you look at how far down our buying part went, compared to when I was at 3% or below 3%, it’s very unnerving and it’s scary. It’s scary. . Yeah, but are you ready? That’s why I like your condos. Like your condos are, so I don’t wanna be offensive again. I always get that disclaimer, like one ha or 600 grand to 1.5 million, that’s all kind of semi middle class household house is like, to me, the people coming from the mainland are not middle class.

They’re all buying much larger or they can afford all charter, larger houses. Or more expensive houses. That’s 600 square feet here in Hawaii, apparently, but, yeah, like I, it’s binary. I think it’s like the low end folks, which is, most people in Hawaii are struggling and it’s the high end that can afford it.

And they are doing pretty well, all things pretty much it’s the elimination of the middle class, right? Yeah. The cation of the haves and the haves nots. Yeah. What do you wanna be? Dean? Do you wanna be, you can’t be middle class. You can’t stay in the middle and you have to go to one side, I wanna be on, I wanna be happy and I want my kids to be happy.

Yeah. Yeah. They’re not gonna be happy unless you pay $30 to see Snoopy and well, and not even bed an eye on it point us to the apartment market, nothing sign of slowing down rents. Road. Here are some apartment markets that are doing pretty well: Miami, New York, Fort LDO, Florida, Tempe, Orlando, San Diego, west Palm Nashville, Seattle, New York. Top smallest increases generally came in the Midwest and Northeast.

All the growth is in the Sunbelt. We keep talking about it again and again, and multi-housing news echoes that the rust belt and. Northeast, more people were leaving California, the rust belt and the Northeast heading to the Sunbelt and the Rocky mountain regions. This article they’re talking about out-of-state rental applications.

So people are moving out of their state. I know people are always moving out of Hawaii and the more affluent people are always moving back. Where are people relocating? Where are the magnets? Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia, and Tennessee. And this is what we’re talking about. The nation’s best renter retention rates for conventional apartments are occurring in the class B and the C units because of class B and C folks.

The middle class are not economically mobile and they cannot afford to buy houses, especially today. And this trend will fully continue on. Oh, here’s some places where they’re moving Class C are the apartments that aren’t raising rents as much as the high end, because the high end aren’t there, they have more money to spend, especially these days coming outta the pandemic.

Which is a little perplexing too, because you would think that maybe the people who are on the fringe or the bees move down to the seas, but right. So you just don’t have the ability to pay much more. Seems this one has some pertinent to Hawaii folks. But this is all the way in New York. This is a sort of anti rent control bill that got passed. Just one in a line of many I’m sure there’ll be more rent control, but I always look to you, you’re drawing us out with the paper. Oh my bet. All right. We’re always Looking at states like California and New York, where you are seeing this kind of precedent centering type of laws being passed because Hawaii is very progressive in terms of laws and equality.

In terms of financial equality, changes in my opinion, One time, Hawaii that comes up for discussion. Once in a while at the legislature rent control, it’s very scary. We don’t have rent control here. We do not, but it comes, it comes up every once in a while, every session. I dunno if it’s every session, but it becomes a topic of discussion because of the high cost of living there.

Affordability problem. Did you hear that Hawaii’s minimum wages can get raised, I don’t know, 10 years from now that was that a big thing or I just saw that article. Yeah. It’s see, I don’t even initially right on the fed side I think Obama was going, he was successful.

And I don’t know. I feel that I understand what they’re trying to do, but. I have a feeling it’s gonna backfire from the standpoint of, when we hear big, like on the federal side with that, I feel like now we saw McDonald’s a lot of those kiosks popping up in the cashiers.

Yeah. At the Safeways, we see the self checkout lines, more popping up, even Costco. So I feel like it might have a backward effect. you’re gonna actually displace the human resource. Yeah. I’ve never seen so many parking attendants. The guys who take your ticket.

There’s none of that. On the main night, everything is Automated, you don’t have some random person just staying in that little booth all day, making X dollars an hour. You don’t have any of that. I think El Elon Musk was watching an interview with him and he was saying that, with all of this technology, AI and everything, it’s gonna make a lot of this menial labor.

Positions that were handled in previously by, from, by humans, handled by technology and AI to the point where you know, people that don’t ha these, I, I guess for lack of better unskilled labor type positions are, might go away and who need to have, like a socialistic society where. Some people, the homeless, won’t be homeless, the jobless population will grow because there won’t be any jobs for a certain type of demographic or amount of education.

There, there won’t be any jobs for a big portion of the population. So the governments are gonna have to just pretty much just give them money and because they, there’s no way they’re gonna find a job. Go on Reddit and read the anti work thread. It’s funny. It’s made to be funny, but it is super sad because like people, you have to get into so much student debt to get a halfway decent job to make 50 cheese a year.

It’s ridiculous. And then one of there’s funny things and it’s okay, Make me do this bullshit application for a job that takes me like an hour. And then I have to upload all my job experience every single time. And then you’re not gonna tell me what the stupid pay is. That’s absurd, but that’s just how it is.

I don’t know. It just, yeah, like it, it is getting so separated. This is why I just wanna go to my gated community where when everybody gets so pissed off and everybody just fights in the streets, I will be away. And maybe, I know you’re not allowed to have guns, but maybe I’ll get a cannon or like a lightsaber and protect myself.

But yeah, like it just, yeah, it feels, feel sorry for a lot of folks out there. It’s just the system. Yeah. But yeah, I agree like the, raising the minimum wage is gonna get just passed down to the lower guys somehow. Yeah. Yeah. But let’s just keep focus on keeping the status quo for now.

But yeah, CNBC business, their opinion. It’s time to prepare for a recession. I’m not, I don’t really see this happening too much. We’re already, we’ve already had a negative 1.5% GDP. Last quarter and our recession is officially two quarters of that in a row. But like when the previous quarters passed were like 20% plus gains then you’re due for one of these once in a while.

You’re still net positive. yeah. You’re still net positive on one year moving average, these articles they need to sell, they need to sell doom and gloom. But I do think that the war in Ukraine is going longer, or the lockdowns in China, cuz that’s gonna make even more supply chain shocks. those are just two of them.

What they call the black Swan events that could potentially happen. That probably won’t, that is there’s always black swans events that could happen, but I don’t know. I don’t know. It’s why you buy stuff that makes sense in cash flows, as opposed to gambling on things. And don’t.

Any commentary there, Dean, I just was gonna say with that said, how, what, how are you getting ready for this? Or how are you? I think in a discussion I had with you, you folks, in, in a different setting, it was like, part of me, is getting caught up with all of this, these Domain gloom stories and taking my foot off of the gas in terms of.

My investing because I’m at where I’m at now. I’m still in the acquisition phase. So in theory, all things being the same, I should be pedaling to the metal and buying cash, flowing properties, but seeing this kind of thing in the media, in terms of the recession coming up and it’s maybe I’ll keep that cash for a little while.

And although I’m losing. Up, 8% keeping it in cash. If, and when there’s a big correction, then, I can put, be buying whatever real estate stocks. Yeah. Crypto at a discount and at the bottom waiting for everything to go up. So it’s what are you, how are you taking the, all of these kinds of articles since you’re reading them, just buy stuff that cash flows now.

But that whole thing that you said makes a lot of sense, but in practice it’s impossible. Do you remember 2008, right? That was your big moment. could you have picked the bottom and picked the right point? No, you probably are. So you could even do it in 2011, 12, 13, 14, 50.

Like you, you are not able to pick the bottom, just like again, 20, 20. The bottom fell out. But did you have the coho to go back in and summer of 20, 20 or 2021? No it’s impossible to catch, go in is, which is part of the practicality of that type of strategy. And I don’t claim that I’m that smart or have the clogs that do it either when it drops.

So I’m just gonna dollar cost average, and just, yeah, I was about to say the exact same term. So look what happened in 2020, like the bottom things dropped, right? I don’t have any of that type of stuff. That’s why I do real estate. But if you are already in you and you held onto real estate, you got that tremendous climb up.

There was no way you could have jumped into it. Hit that wave. If you are sitting on the sidelines or on shore, you have to be in the water in there holding onto the asset. Yeah. And by the time it’s all happening. You’re like oh no. Oh no. yeah. If you have enough man, like by all power to you, you can do what you want.

But most of the people saying this do Gloo and they’re gonna hold onto cash. Are. Guys are under half a million million dollars net worth. And to me, you can’t sit there with that. That’s just not enough on my own, for me. Yeah. But if you wanna do something, that’s what life, that’s what the cashier life insurance is.

It’s a way of pun. If that’s a really conservative way you wanna play it. That’s a good point too, in terms of getting like it’s you’re not going to. Kill it with the returns, but you’re, you have something better than sitting in, in cash in the bank, and then you have so many options in terms of, accessing the cash for, yeah.

For what investments in, and not applying that. Yeah. I’ll say on a recorded line, I will guarantee that people cannot time the bottle. Oh, I got a chopstick-like wrapper and I put it in front of my daughter. And trying to test her like reflexes just to troll her.

She cannot catch that thing. Just like how people cannot catch. They cannot, like, whenever this bottom comes in, you cannot catch it. It’s just not. You scared me when you said that, I’ll say this on, on, on the record. I was like, oh, what? Oh, should I have to press the pause or what? Okay. So why am I saying outlandish things?

My second thing that I will bet on is I don’t think rents ever go down for longer than one to three years. I’m willing to take that bet. Why? With that said too, saying the stock market in the long run always goes up real estate. Oh, I don’t know. I don’t know. In Japan, that’s not the case.

And people say we could be like that, but rents never go down. I don’t know. And gravity works but. Anyway, We had some of these other things. We hit our time limit here. And we are looking to change the show and how, where do you guys wanna talk about? So if you guys have any feedback, please reach out to myself or Dean and we’ll see you guys next time.

July 2022 Monthly Market Update

Hello everybody. This is the July, 2022 monthly market update, where I’m gonna be going over some collection of news articles that I thought were relevant for investors out there. And if you guys are interested in getting to know us and our community a little bit better, join our group at simplepassivecashflow.com/club.

There we’ll be sending out invites. We’ve got a mixer in Los Angeles, second week of July and then third week of July Arizona. So if you guys want to be invited to those events and not have FOMO, because they’re at home wondering if you’re the only accredited investor out there investing in real estate all by yourself, you guys can join up with those groups.

So check out my book the journey in simple passive cash flow, which you guys can access. That’s the little hint by listening to these videos. You guys get the little hints here, there, which is to get the free audio version at simplepassivecashflow.com/book. And you guys also can check out these recordings.

We keep ’em at simplepassivecashflow.com/investorletter. So if you wanna go back to all the past months reports and see what I’m saying and catch me if I’m lying or saying that it’s a good market or bad market, or not, you guys can go back to those archives. But first thing, I think everybody’s talking about interest rates creeping up, but this kind of was a nice chart that I found where it showed the points in the timeline when the Fed increased the rates quite a bit.

And how long of an increase was it before they backtracked and where they realize, oh shoot, we manipulated the interest rates too high, and the economy’s getting crappy. We better stop doing that. So again, a lot of this, if you guys are listening in the podcast form, which that’s our main channel, but we also put this up on the YouTube channel and to make it confusing, there’s actually two YouTube channels there’s the simple passive cash flow channel and then there’s the rich uncle channel, which is more geared towards non-accredited investors out there where the accredited investors should check out more simple, passive cash flow stuff. But what we’re looking at here is, there’s been 1, 2, 3, 4 times in history, not including now from 1990 to 2022.

So the last 30 years where there’s been periods where the Fed has increased rates gradually. Right now we’re in a bit of an incline right now. Nobody knows how long it’s going to go. But what I’m personally looking at is is unemployment gonna start creeping up? Because right now, every lot of the metrics are looking really good.

And, I follow ITR economics, they’re an unbiased type of data source I look at and a lot of things are looking good. I don’t know where a lot of people are getting this, all this doom and gloom type of stuff. And when you’ll get the doom and gloom people, a lot of ’em are broke, which is why, they’re always just looking for excuses not to do anything.

This time it’s unique. The reason why they’re increasing interest rates is because inflation is so high, which means if you don’t do anything and just play, oh, there’s doom and gloom. I’m just gonna sit on my butt and not do anything and just sit on cash. You will lose nine, 10% of your money every single year.

But yeah, if you, this is sort, we wanna keep this interactive folks. So if you guys have any questions or comments, please type it into the chat below. But yeah. Article here from Wallet hub best and worst places to raise a family. Now, I always look at these there’s so many of these types of like top 10 places and sometimes they don’t mean very much just on, if you’re looking to move the top 10 places, Fremont, California, Overland park, Kansas Irvine, California, Plano, Texas, Columbia, Maryland, San Diego, California. Seattle Washington, Santa Jose Manon, Scottsdale Arizona. So may or may not be the most, may not be the best places to invest, but supposedly there’s the best places to have a family. Honolulu is out there at 34, but if you’re like me, you wanna know where the worst places are, cuz you like to tease those places. Some of those are like Detroit, Cleveland, Memphis, Birmingham center, Bernardino, California, Newark umlet billPort Jackson, Mississippi, and Augusta, Georgia.

Billionaire Sam Zel, who is a real estate guru out there. He says I’ve stayed away from Bitcoin at all costs Sam whose net worth has estimated 5.8 billion reiterated that his anti Bitcoin stands Thursday, inter interview with CNBC. And I quote, he says I basically stayed away from Bitcoin at all costs. I think that’s when it’s all said and done. Any kind of currency without the backing of a government is in some fashion, unlikely to work.

I think Warren buffet or his other buddy Munger said they would never invest in companies like Apple and tech companies, but they eventually took up a big holding. I’m not a big fan of actually I do like how these cryptocurrencies Bitcoin, Etherium, in, for the most part, because they’re more of the blue chip type of cryptos are here to stay.

But I don’t invest with, especially now with all the turmoil, with all these big companies, which are like the brokerages are going under. And I think I actually have a long video on this, like crypto, winter. It’ll probably be released next week. YouTube got angry at us cuz we didn’t use free music.

So we have to rework that. We’ll probably get it out later on this week for you guys on the rich channel. Wall Street journal reports that bidding wars overheated the home buyer market. Now they’re coming for renters. So bidding wars have been long stable house housing markets where buyers compete with offers above the seller listings price.

Now with the home buyer pricing, going back in the favor, the buyers. Now that they’re also saying that an increased number of white collar professionals, some who recently sold houses are reluctant to buy because of record high home prices. Rising mortgage rates which ultimately is affordability.

They’re renting instead, and this is driving up the demands. It’s good if you’re a landlord on the right side of this, the median US asking rent price has to $2,000 for the first time in may. If there’s one thing I’m going to do if I would like to gamble on something is like rents don’t really go down for long periods of time. Now, once a long period of time, I don’t know, like one to three years or greater, a big range, but it’s just true. In my opinion, it’s just not something that really goes down. John Burns real estate consulting. They’re talking about the man shifting from owning to renting.

I still rent folks. It’s cool. I’m not a loser because I don’t own my own house. I invest it instead and they make a lot more at the end of the day, paying rent. Yes, it is technically like throwing money down the tube. But if you have your money sitting in your home equity, doing nothing that is even worse.

So you gotta look holistically. So if they break down the difference, the cost of owning versus renting, single family homes, and a little over a year ago, the monthly cost of owning and renting were virtually identical. And it’s, that’s what we call in the engineering world. The crossover play. We love the crossover.

Hey Lloyd. Yeah, let me know when you wanna speak to the LA group. To do it, especially if it’s virtual, I like that visual stuff, so I can not travel and be away and let me sleep on my own bed. That was the thing I was traveling a lot for when I did work. And this sucks, some people get off on getting all these freaking fire points and having high status and like, all right, that’s cool.

But each their own, I just don’t think that’s all. Oh, I think that’s a little overrated. Again, each their own. I don’t wanna offend anybody out there, but that’s just not my thing. I prefer to stay at home. So they’re also saying Raleigh Durham, Nashville, Denver, Tampa and Phoenix have all witnessed the biggest disparity in increasing home ownership versus rental costs.

Again, you guys can take a look at all these charts on the YouTube channel. If you really wanna geek out on the numbers. Matthew says it’s a long term game. Don’t worry about the short term GDP numbers. I guess while we are talking about GDP numbers, last quarter, like a recession, is defined as two quarters in a role where you have negative GDP growth.

Last quarter was negative 1.5, which sounds not the greatest. And typically we’re tracking upon two to 3% is what the Fed would like. But the year prior in 2021 like we hit 20 something percent. So yeah yeah, relative speaking, that was a horrible quarter. But to me, it’s just like a lot of pent up demand flushing through the system.

And I would actually expect, the 20% is ridiculous. It’s also ridiculous to shut down a country for about a quarter two. But I just think overall, you can look at it from like a one year trend line. You’re still doing pretty dang good. I don’t know where this Dodo is going.

I’m cautious. Don’t get me wrong and then buying off good debt, service, risk coverage ratios. But, I don’t know. I just think people really like doom, gloom, and fear point. I heard that friend means that one fear point, I like that. Sorry, junior. Sorry, you’re offended. I try not to offend people.

The joint center for housing studies at Harvard says that record breaking home prices and rents like to cool as interest rates climb. Thank you, Harvard for pointing out something super obvious, but if this is new to you guys, so what’s happening is the interest rates climb because again, the fed is using interest rates to cool off inflation, which is pretty high right now.

The interest rates are important because that impacts how much people can borrow or in other words, affordability. So people can’t afford that mortgage that they couldn’t afford in the first place they sure can’t afford now with the interest rates going up, which is why we don’t know if there’s less, more supply, less demand.

We don’t know what the prices are a composite of that and we do know it is like the prices aren’t going up at the same rate that once was in the past year or two. And nor would I say that those two increases from the last few years were sustainable again. And this is where a lot of people are like, oh my God, it’s slowing growth.

The world is over. And it’s saying oh, it’s still growing guys. Just because it’s not going up 20% or rent isn’t going up 20%, like in 2021 doesn’t mean the world’s coming to end. So with interest rates rising on top of the double digit home prices, the income and savings needed to qualify for a home loan have skyrocketed, which is, really wordy way of saying that affordability is taking a hit.

Potential home buyers saw monthly mortgage payments on the median price, US home rise by more than $600 over the past year. That’s on the monthly payments. $600 for most people is a big chunk for sure. Last takeaway from this article, these joint centers for housing studies. If you guys are always looking for good stuff to read, that’s not just like your Yahoo, finance and CNBC stuff. These are actually pretty good, insightful articles. Sometimes they don’t tell us anything. And that’s why I try to throw some of this stuff out.

But they’re saying renters were particularly burned in the first year of the pandemic, job and income losses early in the pandemic, increased affordability challenges for millions of households who are already struggling. And this is talking about how the pandemic wasn’t really fair, right? The higher end, the people in the B+, A+ housing live and work from home.

They order Uber eats and they continue to work at their computers where the people who are on the lower end, your class, C class B housing, your renters, your workforce housing, or your workforce that live in workforce housing. Are there the correct workers out there? And sometimes their jobs were cut off because of that pandemic shutdown.

John Burns reports that in the first three weeks of may 30 year mortgages hovered around. 5.25 and ease just above 5%. By month end, as for sale demand weekend, single family rentals are conform. These are, these would be good for you guys to take a look at again. We post that at simplepassivecashflow.com/investor letter.

John Burns. Yeah. These things are kind of meat to go over in the video and the podcast version. So we’ll skip ahead to a real page. They’re talking about the US apartment market showing no signs of slowing down yet. This is where I’d like to separate like the residential housing world, which is based on comparable sales, which is based on not investor sentiment, but just regular average people who need a house to live in it.

Affordability, interest rates are a big thing to them. Whereas this is more on the commercial side. Not seeing a quite slow down yet. In fact, we’re actually, as of right now in July, 2022, I would say that we are still in a micro bubble where we’re in a buyer’s market. You’re probably wondering what the heck is lane saying it’s a buyer’s market.

Yes. Because a lot of the institutions, the guys who really move the markets that are buying a big. Apartments and commercial assets, they pulled out about a month ago and just did nothing and just waited to see the situation, which greatly takes out a lot of the demand and the supply demand dynamic.

Therefore there’s more, a little more supply than demand out there than there is normally, which creates a buyer’s market. So there’s a little bit of a buying opportunity right now. And. But, that’s typical, right? Like when things are uncertain and people are what do we do here?

That’s the time to be buying. Of course every deal is pretty typical or every deal is individual. And I’m just speaking in generalities. But now that’s why I think if you’re out there looking for more of these commercial larger deals that institutions might be looking after 200 or 500 units.

There might be an opportunity before those bigger players come back and they’ll come back in because they have to buy, and this should make people sick to their stomach. These large institutions and others get most of their money when they deploy capital. So they gotta come back in, pay for their own salaries at some point.

Which I would probably say maybe next year’s kind of, when this little micro bubble will close up or next month and this micro bubble will close up and it gets. To normal. So markets with the steepest replacement rents as of may, Le reading off from the top Miami New York for Ladale Tampa, Orlando, San Diego, west Palm beach, Nashville, Seattle, New York, New Jersey among individual Metro areas, Florida remains home to some of the largest rent increases. Among the 50 size Metro areas, the smallest increases Jerry came in the Midwest and the Northeast.

No surprise cuz who wants to live there. Sorry, junior, if you’re offended by that, just joking. He identified himself as the Canary and the coalmine offended person, but, Midwest and Northeast, nobody wants to live there apparently anymore because they’re all moving away because maybe it’s too cold. Whatever it is, that’s what the numbers show. Most of the people are moving down to the south. The Sunbelt states multi-housing news. Out of state rental applications rose 42% during the pandemic since the TransUnion, which means that people are moving out of state, Texas had the largest increase in new residents between 2020 and 2021 with more than 310,000 residents while New York saw the highest decrease. Losing about the same, more people were leaving California, the rust belt and Northeast, and heading to the Sunbelt and Rocky mountain regions. Wow.

Didn’t I say that last time? The top 10 multifamily markets by sales volume in 2021. Just reading ’em off from the top to the bottom, Dallas Fort Worth, Atlanta, Phoenix, Houston, Denver, Miami, Washington, DC, Orlando, Tampa, Petersburg, Tampa St. Petersburg Raleigh. Now I would, I just wanna point out just because there’s a lot of like sales volume, does it really mean too much?

Because like some of these are much larger markets than others. And just because things are being transacted there doesn’t, to me doesn’t really mean anything. But I think it’s just like for people looking for anomalies in the data, this would be one of those to put on your radar.

But at these 10, none of these really surprise me. These are, you always see these ones up there now, top multi-family markets for construction activities. So these are. Be where you’re gonna see the most units come online. And at first gut reaction, you would think that this might be bad I don’t know.

From one point of view, you could think of this as a bad idea, because if you have an apartment in say Dallas, which is number one, that’s more competition coming online. But on the other hand, why the heck are these super smart development companies building stuff over there in the first place?

If they’re the demand. Take it for what you guys want. But here’s the list. And from the most to the least Dallas, Austin, Phoenix, Washington, DC, Miami, New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Seattle, Denver,

And it’s the same, same information, but from the real page, most apartments under construction. Phoenix Austin, New York, Dallas, Washington, DC, New York, Atlanta, Los Angeles, Seattle, Denver. That’s pretty much the same thing. That’s what meta-analysis is: you compare two or more articles, which we just did.

So commercial property executives talking about five states that are corporate relocation, magnet nets. What’s making these people relocate there? Maybe there’s a more influx of headquarters. I know a lot of ’em are going to Texas every day. But yeah. Number one, Texas. Number two, Florida.

Number three, Arizona. No surprise there. Just to name a few. So Texas is Tesla digital Realty, Oracle ACOM with pat K. We have a lot of engineers in our group, so I. Most of ’em have worked for AECOM at some point in their life, Florida companies like blockchain.com, block tower capital, the Walt Disney companies, SkyWater technologies and Arizona companies like send, do so move and align technology.

I don’t know what these companies are, but I know Arizona has a lot of the growth of the semiconductor front. They don’t want those, People out of the east to take our, they took our lunch with the whole semiconductors back in the day, but now we’re gonna try and eat them at their own game or that was once our game with the semiconductors out there with Intel.

If you guys are all interested in that, just like YouTube, TSMC, Intel, and the Mac articles, those videos will come. But other states are Georgia and Tennessee,like 1.2, five battery giga factory set to rise near Phoenix. California. And I put this one in here just to note that tech companies aren’t completely abandoning all their office space folks. It is coming back, who knows it’s gonna be the same as before, but I think companies are starting to realize that the need for a physical presence is real.

CNBC business. There’s an article on is it time to prepare for a recession? So they’re saying the economies are close to entering recession. Perhaps as soon as this year to avoid taking too much of a financial hit, Americans will need to prepare, where do they go, okay. What would they say here?

They’re saying that there’s some economic headwinds with war, Ukraine, COVID lockdowns and China reply resulting in supply shocks that boosted inflation and slow growth. A key part of the inflation problem is linked to the massive 3.9 trillion in fiscal stimulus ejected into the economy in 2020 and 2021.

That’s why everybody’s stock market stuff blew up the last couple years and why you’re starting to give it back now. And you’re saying for the average ER, it’s hard to find a place to hide. Recessions are usually accompanied by outright bear markets with stocks following by well over 20%. And when fed now hiking rates aggressively, the bond market is no safe Haven equities and bond markets are riskier.

Usually, what can Americans do for a CMBC business? One answer may be due to nothing and just try to write out the volatility without trying to time the market. That was probably written by some financial planner who says, oh, it goes up and down. You might as well just stay where you’re at. And I can keep my assets of the management fee with you.

They also say consumers might consider coming back on non-essential spending, especially avoiding Spying on big ticket items. Yeah. A crappy, but here’s my take off the top of my head. I would like, I would, is this the right term monetize? My helos, if you guys, he have helos, I would get that into cash and put it into like life insurance.

That way you can control it. So when, if they ever do pull those home equity lines of credit, you’re not at the bank’s mercy to arbitrarily, just randomly do that stuff. I would also say, this is why you invest in cash flow, right? The people who got hurt back in 2007 and eight were the idiots who were betting on appreciation.

And when things went down they couldn’t pay their debt service. So what that’s, what it comes down to, it’s not a loan to value things. It’s a debt to service, coverage ratio. And especially with things like your guys’ homes that don’t make any money, it’s not how much equity or loan the value has. What’s your debt service coverage ratio?

You’re probably saying you’re being a smartass lane. My house doesn’t have any debt service coverage ratio. It doesn’t make any money. That’s exactly why you shouldn’t have it in the first place, in my opinion, unless your net worth is two to three times greater than what your house.

So you have a $500,000 house. I don’t think you should buy a house until your network is one, 1.5 at least. That’s why they call me a rich uncle. And I’m like a cranky uncle in a way. And that’s, you can hear more of that on that YouTube channel, Fannie MA’s article here, they’re talking about rising rates, persistent inflation and further soft economic outlook.

What the last article was saying. They’re saying expectations that the full year 2022 real GDP world will be at a reduced rate of 1.3%. So positive. But they’re reducing their initial guidance, a little less than 1%. But that’s technically not a recession, right?

Recession is two negative quarters in a row. But here’s the thing, right? Like when nobody knows when this recession is gonna end. No, I actually quite frankly think we’re in a relative recession right now, but the hard thing is you can’t time the market, like when this thing goes, unless you’re in playing in the game and the hard thing with real estate, it’s you can’t just come back in.

You can’t time the market. So as soon as you think it’s coming back, if you’ve already lost it already, Wealth management.com. They’re talking about rising interest rates. Aren’t stopping apartment investors from cutting deals, fed plans to continue to raise interest rates, to help stem inflation. And that’s changing the math for apartment investors, looking to make deals. Other factors, rising rents are still going up.

And are offsetting the interest rates. One thing that I’ll say that’s not in here, that’s hurting cash flow now is because the property values are going up, the property taxes are going up and that’s can take a huge chunk out of, not a huge chunk, but like 10 to 20% of like your cash flow on the property taxes in the end.

That’s good. I, because you’re. Property is going up in value and you don’t get to realize that until the end. But that’s the big thing there. Oh I’m glad you did this, Matt. Cuz I’m gonna troll you right here. So this is probably one of the biggest mistakes I see investors make is that you have maybe $200,000 equity in your house. And you think of it in terms of like how most people think of it, where you’re borrowing it like 2.7%, which is a great interest rate, but that’s not how sophisticated investors stink at things.

They don’t really, yeah. Interest rate is important, but they don’t care about interest rate. They care about your net worth and what’s happened to your net worth. So the important thing is to like what you can do with that $200,000 equity and put it elsewhere. You could probably buy like three other or four other houses with.

I think the biggest thing is if you can get into the value add game, I think there’s a lot of like lower networked investors doing that, buy rent, rehab, birth strategy, but for a lot of in credit investors, that’s just a waste of time, especially if you make, multiple six figures doing that type of stuff.

And you’re working with little pull down contractors who just are like one day from stealing your money. Take a look. What I would say is look at, simple, passive, casual.com/ro OE return on equity, download the spreadsheet and just follow the numbers right after a certain time, when your equity goes up, your return on equity goes down and it, after time, it you’re probably making like less than double digits at that point need to do one or three things, do a Helo.

Buy more assets with that Helo or do a refinance buy more assets with that, that, or sell the asset and give you that up into more and more assets, essentially relenting yourself back up to that, 80% loan to value that you started and just keeping that value high, what do I know?

I know I have 8,000 properties but Fortune magazine says the cooling housing market enters into the great DEC acceleration, inventory levels are rising again. I think the nice thing, the cool thing about here is this kind of cyclical too, which we definitely see inventory coming down.

Cooling housing prices enter the great DEC acceleration. So they always come up with these little marketable terms to sell headlines. The great deceleration or the other one I heard was, I can’t even remember it, it’s that kind of stuff. That’s all, it’s simple folks, right?

Like inflation is high because they pumped a lot of fake money into the economy the last two, three years because of the pandemic, who knows what else they’re hiding. But that’s what happened. And like the stock market is high because of that. And because they pumped a lot, this money in there, inflation is.

So inflation, they need to keep that between two to 3%. And that’s what the Fed is mandated to do so that they can keep the highs relatively moderate. And, but more importantly, keep the lows, not as low and which is why they are increasing the interest rates to get some dry powder there now.

But they don’t wanna do it too much to crater the economy in which, so they have to look at things like unemployment because it is a It’s a it’s a sensitive game, right? It’s complicated. First the federal reserve has moved into inflation. Fighting mode, says fortune uh, second, the overheated 2022 spring market has pushed us over the edge into what housing economists calls, an overvalued housing market. Yeah, I would probably say things are a little bit overheated, here’s my, here’s my crystal ball.

I don’t really care. To me it’s like the NBA finals. I don’t care if the golden state warriors are in. And I don’t know who else, who did they play? I guess they heat. I think they played the heat. I don’t care if the Lakers aren’t playing, but that’s how I look at the residential housing market.

Like I don’t really give a. Where it goes. But if I were to guess, I think that there will be some softening, but, prices might go down 5%, but I don’t think if you’re a person out there, you can time it, unless you like, you’re real. You’re like a realtor. It’s just gonna keep going up and on factor this we’re in a Fiat currency world.

It’s all fake money at this. And as long as the Fed can keep inflation under control, meaning it can keep going like this forever. Zillow says that the most popular markets of early 20, 22 pricey suburbs topless were Woodenville, Washington, Burke, Virginia Highlands ranch, west chase, Florida, which is Tampa, Seattle, Los Angeles, Atlanta. Los Angeles, San Louis, and Denver. I don’t know if that’s useful for people, that’s, I guess those are great places to live.

I don’t know if there are great places to invest, real page reports, neighborhood level, resident retention levels. So retention levels are when. Tenants are turned, not turned over, but they renew their contracts to stay. And it could be for a variety of reasons, but seemingly if they are staying as renters, this may be a sign that they’re not able to step up to home ownership, or they’re not economically mobile.

Obviously the best retention rates, as they’re saying here is class B and C, because those are your less economically mobile people. Like we had. I would say a couple of nicer class, B plus type of assets, and a lot of the people there, they jumped ship because interest rates were really low a couple years ago and they moved up, which kind of sucked for us.

It’s kinda if you have a good employee and then they leave you because they’re good, it makes you sad. It’s the same feeling that class B and the C are the type of residents that do stay, some save all their lives, actually some markets with the best retention. Indianapolis Cleveland Milwaukee, New York, Miami San Diego, Riverside, Boston, and wealth management.com. In this article, I’ll just summarize basically class a. Apartments are going up and price higher where the class C the lower end stuff isn’t as much. And this is obvious why, right? Cuz the higher end stuff, they’re a little bit less price sensitive where the class C stuff people, they are more value driven.

And also I think coming out of the pandemic, as I said earlier in the show, people who are class, a type of tenants, had a much easier time. Time through the pandemic economically, where a lot of the class C workforce housing folks had a tough time. And we had some folks, sometimes we’ll get to work with the church and they’ll come in and they’ll sit down with the people and help ’em, do job applications and stuff like that.

Or, the people from like the mall will come in, put up flyers and it’s just, I don’t know. They. It’s tough. Like I say money doesn’t make, is not everything, but it sure makes life a lot easier. Multi-housing news reports that New York says no to a good cause. Eviction bill.

So this is a landmark type of article and this, I would say, look. Bills like this to set precedence. And so basically what happened was that New York state ended its legislative session without taking action on the proposed good cause eviction bill, a decision that was cheered by multifamily industry representatives.

We say it amounts to another form of rent control and will hinder rather than create affordable housing. And, so basically it’s It’s not rent control happening the opposite of that, and this kind of bounces back and forth. We, I think the last landmark type of article we had that maybe happened several months ago in California, where they had, they started to allow in single family home zoned areas they allow multi-family zone areas, which, It’s essentially a democratic Republican argument where, you know, like the affluent areas don’t want multifamily in their backyard.

But the prices get so expensive, like expensive. What are you gonna do? So these states are like New York and California, and Oregon and Washington are typically more. They deal with the stuff first, right? Like them, they’re on the forefront and they pin away set precedents for the states to come after.

But if you’re somebody who’s against rent control, this was a good one for you guys. I just think that eventually things typically go in the favor of rent control and that type of stuff. New York to transform distressed hotels into affordable housing. This law allows for class B hotels to use certificates of occupancy to operate as residential spaces. Add more flexible rules for converting underutilized hotel space into affordable housing.

Type any questions you guys have into the chat. But if you guys haven’t joined our group, you can go to simplepassivecashflow.com/club. And if you guys are an accredited investor and really tired of just screwing around with all these non-accredited investors out there and you wanna find a close knit, private group, check out our family office ohana mastermind, which is our inner circle at simplepassivecashflow.com/journey. Pretty much everybody’s accredited these days. It’s actually 90 members now. This is outdated, but we just have to come to the events and talk to the other FOOM members. I would say it’s hard for me to go over it.

We’ll hit you guys hopefully I think junior was offended earlier. We made amends. I should probably watch myself in my jokes before we need to meet in person, which I think we will. I think I saw your name on the list for Los Angeles, so we will meet in person and then we can offend each other.

But if not no questions. We will see you guys. Thanks, Andrew. Thanks for your comments and then Matthew, no hard feelings. You get that VA loan. That’s good for you. That’s why you do all that service, but yeah. Matt says I’m offended by people being offended by jokes.

Thanks for leaving those comments. It makes me not quiver, walking around, watching myself behind my back. Someone’s gonna shank me or something, but we’ll see you guys next time and stay calm, cash flow on.

Three BS Financial Dogma | Don’t Make These Financial Mistakes

Today’s podcast. You’re going to be hearing me being interviewed by another guy. And the reason why I wanted to share this is because it was actually pretty good. I go on maybe several podcasts as a guest speaker every week. Which puts our brand out there and really helps us attract the best people to come to our events and join up with our community, which we highly vet people coming into our group.

If you guys want to, submit yourself and try to meet other people, you guys can submit your name to simplepassivecashflow.com/club. And to get to know you guys a little bit better for some of you guys who’ve joined the email list. Let’s book a call.

Everybody gets a free strategy session. After that, you’ve got to pay for it. A lot of people out here and you’ve got to spread the wealth. A lot of folks have been listening to this podcast for four or five years now. And it’s always cool to interact with people.

And that’s been my mission that I’ve realized as of late if I can just get on the phone or a zoom call with someone for five minutes and let’s talk some stuff out. There’s so much bad financial advice out there. And a lot of the stuff that the wealthy people are doing, investing in good deals, using real estate tax advantages to pay little to no taxes, say it that way.

And infinite banking, you add those three combos up. It’s a very powerful thing. And a lot of the things is, finding other mentors and people doing this. You guys can check out our events at simplepassivecashflow.com/events. It does cater towards the family office ohana members.

We want to get to know you guys. We want to vet you guys coming in. If you guys are a good fit for our close knit community out there. Check out this podcast and again join our investor clubs simplepassivecashflow.com/club. Let’s get to know each other a little bit better.

And then hopefully we’ll see you guys in Hawaii in January, they’re treated, it’s going to be barring any fourth, fifth pandemic again. It was a great experience last year and what we should be wrapping up the promo video we created. And for a lot of you guys, who went on the trip.

It should be a fun watch to recap the memories that felt like long ago back in January. But if you guys want to check out other replays of our other past events you can go to simplepassivecashflow.com/events. And yeah, don’t be a stranger out there. Don’t be that guy, just listen to the podcast who doesn’t interact with anybody. Here’s the show.

We’re going to talk about counterintuitive wealth rules that the rich follow. Lane has a unique way of talking on this subject and you have experience in this topic Lane. But before all that, before we get into the meat and potatoes of the show,

let’s talk about your past and how you got started in real estate. So currently I run apartment syndications that currently have over 6,000 units today, but, where I started from was back in 2009 when I bought my first rental property. I grew up in a household where we’re taught to be very frugal, go to school, get a good job.

I eventually became an engineer because I followed this linear path, right? All this financial dogma, go buy the house to live in. I eventually started to rent it out. And that’s where I got this taste of cash flow and I eventually bought more and more of these turnkey rentals out of state for cash flow and then often a little bit.

Awesome. Yeah. You took the traditional path of becoming an engineer. What was it like to go to school for that long and then arrive to the realization that you weren’t where you needed to be. I got to my freedom number and I was still working and I had changed jobs a couple of times. In the beginning, I worked for a private company. I guess that’s where you learn the most as a professional, but I searched for easier jobs to work at . So I’d have more free time to do what was really important, which is the real estate investing part of it.

So I eventually created a nice lifestyle where the jobs are pretty cruise and, it was able to invest passively. Eventually I got to a point where I started to do bigger deals, started jumping other people’s money involved and therefore even needed to turn it into a true profession and spend all my time doing it.

That was where I finally quit my job back in 2018, I think, and never looked back since. I think the hardest thing that a lot of people talk about when they make that jump. Especially if you’re a high paid professional your identity is wrapped up. I wasn’t engineered to introduce yourself.

You say you’re an engineer. And part of it is that baggage or that identity, you went to school for a dozen plus years to be this profession. And you feel like you’re just throwing it. Yeah, certainly I feel that way too. I’m still in my full-time job as a CPA.

And when somebody asks me what you do, it’s hard not to say, oh, I’m an accountant. Oh, I’m a CPA because I don’t really know why it’s just so ingrained in this, we spent so much time acquiring this credential. And so we just, we want to share that, but it’s less popular to say, oh, I’m a real estate investor or go into that for some reason.

I think it’s the way we’re just brought up. Would you agree? Yeah, because it’s like 2021 now, right? If you’re an entrepreneur on your LinkedIn profile, we all know you don’t have a job, you can’t find a job, you’re unemployed and by having that professional title, society gets you a certain amount of notoriety.

I was thinking the other day, I was watching a commercial on senior housing and I was imagining if I was really old, what would we talk about? But we talk about how you know Jerry over there with Jerry was the doctor or Barry was the engineer, so much of it is predicated on your titles of your occupation. And when you get to a search important, you give that up, most people get to that stage where they are financially free. They don’t give a rip anymore because they’re FII and they don’t live by normal society kind of values at that point.

They’re just titles and knots. Yeah. And it’s interesting, if you traveled to other countries, they’re more defined by their family. So they talk about their family name, but in America it’s we’re identified by our occupations and it’s just a different, different way people identify themselves for sure.

These days, I’m kinda like you know what, I am, what I am. I don’t care who you are. It seems funny, but it’s like what car do you drive? What’s your net worth? That’s all that really matters. I know that sounds very shallow. But, as a real estate investor, you need to stop.

You’re getting off the beaten path and we just stop caring what other people think about you. And we could certainly dedicate the whole show to that, certainly. But today, specifically again, the counterintuitive wealth rules that the rich follow. Before we even dive into what these rules are, why did you outline this?

Why did you basically discover this so early in life, like how did you stumble upon these wealth rules? Yeah, so I went out, bought a rental property, and got around 2015. I had 11 of these rentals and at this point I just was doing it all by myself. Around 2015 was when I finally got out of my shell and started to interact and network with other pure passive high net worth investors.

And for me, it was a game changer because now I started to really get a glimpse of what the high net worth folks do. And what I realized is a lot of what they do is very counterintuitive to what we’re all taught right by our parents, school workers, friends. And the crazy thing is like a lot of these things work.

They’re very attainable. It’s not something that anybody can’t do, but there are certain financial dogma out there that totally tells us it’s the wrong thing. For example, not going into all this debt, getting whole life insurance or buying a house to live in. We can talk in more detail about these things.

Another example is like the wealthy don’t do these thinking retirement accounts, that’s for suckers, it’s like in the first year that you’re like stop, I can’t take money on a retirement. That’s an absolute sin. My friends and family. But I’m just saying, Hey man, like that’s what the wealthy do. I just figure out what the wealthy do and take the best practices and make sure that it’s logical from a numbers perspective. And I just go with it. Yeah, you’ve figured out what they do, and then you just copy it. It’s not like you’re reinventing the wheel, you’re just copying and pasting what works.

So let’s dive into that wealth rule that the rich follow that is counterintuitive to our culture. You mentioned on your website, don’t buy a home to live in. Okay. Can you unpack that? Because that’s certainly counterintuitive, let’s use the art type of the young professional.

This is who it really hurts. A house to me is a kind of a financial drag on your finances. You put this big lump sum down payment into a house and it doesn’t really grow for you. Conventional financial wisdom will say you’re putting money into this house and its growing equity.

Yeah, you could put it into five houses, right? And the crazy thing is that it’s you paying money for the mortgage and putting your heart, sweat, and tears and sweat equity into there. You have five families paying this stuff for you, putting their sweat equity into your wealth building. And that’s the big difference.

It comes down to paradigm shifts, right? Most people listen, most people in the water are really bad with their finances and can’t seem to save money. Sometimes it has to do with their saving skills, just basic personal finances and budgets, other times, it’s that they just, quite frankly, don’t make enough money.

And I’m speaking more towards the higher paid professionals out there, you guys make a good salary. You guys are living in a different paradigm than most of America and most of America, if you give them $10, they’re going to spend 11. They are irresponsible from a financial perspective. And not to say and not to cast any judgment or anything like that. But for those people, certain sets of rules apply. And this is where Susie Orman and Dave Ramsey’s. I don’t like their advice, but their advice is good for this subset of people that aren’t, haven’t really got a grasp on their basic finances.

So for those types of people, a house is a forced savings account, you put money into it. And it gets their grubby hands off a bear from spending it and that’s the benefit to that. But if you’re like, a lot of my clients, they are that diligent savers or the max out, their 401k guys, they save at least $30- $40,000 a year.

Now these are the different people on the other side of this paradigm that should go on the offense and invest money in assets, as opposed to just sink it down into their house. You mentioned a valuable term there often. It’s a difference between defense and offense. There’s two ways to pay money, right?

You can either go on the defense and try to save and cut your life back, which works for a lot of people who are, high thrill or they just want, they don’t have a lot of discipline, but if you want to truly get wealthy, you have to play more offensive, which is focusing more on income than just cutting back.

Tying it back to don’t buy your home. Do you believe that just because it’s a way for you to just tie up all this money without producing income. What’s the exact reasoning why maybe a 22 something that 20 something that just got a high paying job. Why should they not go buy their own home?

It just comes down to numbers, right? I’m like all right, show me how the numbers grow by you sinking your money into your house, right? So just typically real estate goes up and appreciates, right? And I think that’s why it’s such a forgiving asset class, you take that same money and you go plunk it down in real estate, properties or syndications and you show me what’s in the five, 10 year picture. How that money grows. The numbers don’t lie here. That’s all it is. Some people will say renting is like throwing money down the tube. That’s the biggest bunch of baloney I’ve ever heard. Yes, myopically it is.

But what if you’re taking that money and you’re making way more money on the side and rentals or syndications, you need to look at the bigger picture. I try to model the way. I rent my net worth is pretty decent and I have a sort of a feeling where I don’t think people should buy their primary residence unless a certain net worth is at least two times.

So the homes about their net worth needs to be two times the home’s value. That’s what you’re saying, right? So if they’re buying a $700,000 house, their net worth better be, at 1.4 or to me, it should be three times or more, but right. At that point, then you can start, like a lot of this wealth building in the beginning is the most critical stage when the net worth is under a quarter million or under a million dollars.

You can’t be screwing around and doing these like bad financial things, like buying a house. But once you get to a certain tipping point and it’s different for everybody, once you’ve hit that sort of almost escape velocity. Now you can take your foot off the pedal and start drinking some caviar, champagne, and buy a house to live in or buy a nice car.

That’s the beautiful thing. Go, Penn, buy a nice car. If you have the cash flow to support it. And you’re already past that critical point. It’s all about rate of return and rate of return is very important, especially early in your career because you don’t have a lot of capital to work with. So you need a higher rate of return to make the same amount of money than say a very wealthy person would. So what you’re saying is instead of plopping down 30, 50, a hundred thousand dollars for a down payment, deploy that in other cash flowing assets. And let’s say you’re making $2,000 a month from that.

Would the down payment, but then you’re paying 700 and rent while your nets 1300. Is that kind of what you’re saying? That’s the logic, but then we run into, I coach and counsel a lot of folks, and eventually what it comes down to is the people that are listening to the podcast, understand what we’re talking about.

They get it, but they cannot convey and communicate this to their spouse, the anchor, and they cannot effectively bead and manage and, take their family to where they want to be if that’s their goal , maybe that’s just the, the stoic within me, the obstacle is the way you got go through this and you can’t just, buy things that you want on a whim, like a house.

You have to do what is necessary to get to where you’re at and if you’re under a million dollars net worth, you’re broke and that was a derogatory term, but like you got to do stuff that you probably don’t want to do to get to a certain point to be financially free, if that’s what you truly want.

Yeah. You have to think counter-intuitively about what we’re talking about on the show here. So the second pillar that you mentioned in one of your online resources is you don’t buy mutual funds or other wall street products. So you’re singling out an entire type of investing here. Like we’re talking stocks, ETFs, bonds.

And so why do you hold that position? Because that’s very current counterintuitive. Yeah. When I started investing, I was making maybe 20, 30, or 20 to 30% returns on my money, just with a simple rental property. People don’t believe me. They can go to simple classic housel.com/returns, check out the video on the whole math.

But just go with me on podcasts land and here I am in my early twenties and I. Why am I need to put my money in this, like supposedly like stock market, for what case mutual fund stuff, when I’m only making eight to 10% and it goes up and down like a freaking rollercoaster, for me, it was like, no clear picture than that. Why the heck would I want to do that? If I just do take a little due diligence and yeah, sure. I’m getting off the beaten path, but it’s not that hard. It’s simple, passive at some point, and I can make much higher returns by doing this on my own. Why would I not want to do that?

And then I started to uncover that the whole system is engineered to keep us investing in that garbage before one K’s weren’t around earlier than the eight, 1980s, it was an engineered thing. Yes. It was to get people to actually save their money. The people on that side of the.

But it was a way for all these mutual fund companies like Fidelity or Vanguard or Charles Schwab’s to get it that all this money is sitting on the sidelines from the average Joe. Joe wasn’t able to get involved in the stock market, but now all these companies are able to get at these people’s money and they take their money at huge hidden fees and carry interest.

And what the average person doesn’t realize is just getting robbed in their sleep, getting this stuff, and nothing is not clear. I’m only making eight to 10% of that stuff. And I’m making such a bigger return than doing it on my own. Where did my money go? went to those big buildings and went to these high salaries for all these Ivy league grads who work in these ivory towers.

If you want that stuff in, you’re okay with those returning to school. But I realized, that the man behind the curtain, the wizard of Oz, referenced that it’s, this whole system is engineered to keep us in this. Because if everybody said what I’m preaching, go buy a handful of rentals and eventually get involved in syndications.

Most people are able to get financially free in less than 10 years if they make a halfway decent salary. At that point Ooh, what choose to go to work in a cooler, build our bridges, who would play doctor for us? Who would push the government paper up. Nobody would write.

Maybe some, but I wouldn’t. Yeah it’s sickening when you think about it that way that there are things in place to get people to do things for long decades, and then you eventually retire underwhelmed at what you’ve built your life towards. Yes. What frustrates me is like, there’s so much here’s some of the dogma that kind of prevents us all to do this right.

And it’s built in grading society. Let alone all the marketing, which you pay for as an investor comes out and hidden fees, part of the operating budget of the mutual fund or the broker. But people say you don’t want to take money out of your retirement. That’s a sin.

You can’t do that. You’re not, you can’t do that. But when I did. To me, it made sense. I’m going to take my money out, but I’m not going to be a bonehead and go buy a car or a jet ski with it. I’m going to keep putting it towards long-term assets that I don’t intend to use for a while.

I’m not taking the money out. So you can call it retirement money or not. It’s still my, my, my asset column. And then they call like, when you take money out, they call it like a penalty, 10% penalty. But to me, I was like, If I can recoup that 10% penalty in six months. And after that, it’s all gravy. Why the heck wouldn’t I want to do this.

Yeah. And so you were basically taking money out of your 401k and investing into real estate. When you discovered this, did you withdraw all your money from your 401k? I actually didn’t do this for quite a while. I was just, I was worse off than probably some of the listeners. I was always taught.

You never touch your retirement funds, which is complete bullshit. So it took me, I had bought several renters rentals up until that point until I finally pulled the plug on the retirement funds. I wish I would have done it a lot sooner, I was a good boy. I was like, you don’t do that type of stuff. You don’t pull your retirement fund and take a 10% penalty, like that’s just stuff. You’re not conditioned to. And yeah, I’m the person that preaches, do you run your numbers? I’m the one that saw the numbers, but I didn’t do it for such a long time. So I get it.

I know how hard it is for people to get off the beaten path and think alternatively, but, think for yourself, do the numbers yourself, that numbers don’t. And on the positive side, if you’re a person who has worked for 10, 20, 30 years by now, and you have a sizeable 401k balance, go ahead and try to tap into that through a self-directed IRA, certain options that, I’m not qualified to speak on, but there are ways to tap into those funds and diverted and.

Real estate or syndications like you’re involved in to get that higher return. So if you’re earning eight to 10, maybe you can get 20 to 30. So yeah. Yeah. Let’s talk about that a little bit. Like I think one thing is like getting out of the retail types of options. So all the analogy I like to use is when you’re investing in these brokerages, it’s like the cafeteria in high school or at least at my high school.

You have, you’re stuck with the school lunch. You’ve got only the options that they have and typically it’s crappy food and it was really expensive. But what do you do when you get your off campus pass? Which is synonymous with investing outside of these brokerages, investing in CrossFit real estate on your own in a year out there, you got your car.

You’re going out to Burger King and McDonald’s KFC, right? It’s cheaper food. It tastes better. The one thing about this, an analogy where it breaks down is it’s not healthy. I think people get the analogy, right? Like when you get out of your money, out of that retirement fund stuff out of the mutual fund stuff, now you can go invest in actually good investments or people aren’t robbing you blind with all fees and stuff like that.

So you’re going from a retail investment. So non retail, it’s like people that buy stuff at sex. It was like, I got a shirt there for 34 bucks. Cause I had a gift certificate, but I can get that same shirt elsewhere on Amazon for five bucks. It’s crazy why anybody shops there, but that’s how most people invest and that’s how a lot of people shop.

But now we’re talking about all right, so you can invest the money through a self-directed retirement system. So yeah, you could still keep it in the qualified retirement plan, retirement money. But invest in things outside the garbage cafeteria investments, such as real estate. But one thing I help clients is that every situation is different.

So a retirement plan typically is not the way to go. Because when you start investing in larger deals, you can get the tax benefits of passive activity losses. You can’t use the passive activity losses to offset your passive income or your passive or your ordinary. Which is a big strategy for the high net worth high income earners.

So when you’re investing in this retirement plan construct, for a lot of those guys, the best plan is to get it out of there and invest cash. So you can take advantage of the tax benefits of. Right on. Yeah. Yeah. Thanks for sharing that. And back to your analogy, I just want to add, where the marketing dollars are, that’s where most people will be.

Okay. So like the fidelity, the Vanguards, they have the biggest marketing budgets. And so that’s where most people invest. If you take, for example, in the grocery store, But the biggest food companies have the largest marketing budgets. So that’s where most people will shop. It doesn’t mean it’s the best food for you, or it’s the best investment product for you.

It’s just where those companies have invested. So once you get out of that realm and you can see the horizon, the, all your options as they are, then you start to realize like what a lie you’ve been sold on, this whole time. So it’s pretty, I don’t. Marketing kind of makes it where it’s like really this whole investing thing is really complicated, right?

To scare the crap out of you. And I tell people, investing is not that hard, especially when it’s real estate, right? Where are you investing in a commodity, such as a house that people rent it simple, passive cash flow, but like these brokerages and all the investing dogma make tries, they try and make this stuff really complicated.

And investing in stocks is complicated. My opinion, which is why you don’t. And th and I think that’s where a lot of people get intimidated, right? They’re like, oh, I don’t understand math or understand the stock stuff. So I’m just going to give it to the guy in the suit that seems to know what the heck he’s doing.

And that’s exactly what they want. So I think my message is like, Hey guys, I think that’s complicated, right? Don’t get bamboozled into thinking. You need to go with these seemingly smart people. Like your financial planner just gets paid off. I haven’t found one financial planner that actually has made their wealth outside of selling.

People are salesmen. Actually I have, and they invest in real estate, hit backdoor. Yeah, I once heard that the average salary for a financial planner is 70 or 80,000, but yet we’re putting all of our eggs in one basket for them to teach us how to get rich. And it just doesn’t make sense.

So definitely you have to follow who you are. You have to watch who you are, following who you’re getting your advice from. And if you’re getting advice from somebody who is making money off you via commissions, that’s probably a bad sign. And that’s what we see a lot in the wall street in those wall street products.

So that’s why we caution you. Okay. 100%, you only take financial advice to people who are not financially free. Unfortunately, this is not your parents. This is not your coworkers, especially the coworker that’s been there for 32 years. You don’t want to take that financial advice from that sucker.

He’s been stuck there. And sometimes this can carry you forward to CPAs lawyers, right? Bobby should have said the whole disclaimer, or we’re not CPAs are not lawyers, but look, I’ve left my day job during this stuff and figured this stuff out. A lot of CPS and a lot of lawyers, they fit.

They’re still stuck in the day job. They’re still working trading time for them. There’s very few financial professionals that have actually done so. Yeah, totally. And CPAs, they know the tax rules, but then they keep earning money the wrong way. And that is heavily taxed. The lawyers know the legal rules, but then they don’t, take advantage of them or implement them.

So it’s You have to really be humble and maybe not come from that type of background to achieve wealth. Because if you know the tax rules up and down, or the law up and down, sometimes you just take it for granted and you don’t use it to get wealthy. Definitely agree with that.

Let’s get to the final point of this, the final counterintuitive way that the rich get wealthy. I want to talk about taxes. So you’re saying that generally speaking, the rich don’t pay taxes. I assume they may pay some taxes, but they don’t pay as high of a percentage in taxes as, for example, an employee or a self-employed person.

Why is that? And how do they do that? Yeah. They’re investing in real estate as the primary weapon to lower their taxes. So real estate is cool because it’s the one asset class out there that you can deduct the price of the improvement over, if you have a rental property at 27 years, so you can take that paper loss or a Phantom loss off of your passive.

Which is cool when you put this on steroids in larger deals that can do a cost segregation which kind of itemizes all the pieces of the building. At the end of it, you can deduct a third of the building value in the first year, right? Which now gives investors a huge amount of passive losses to now play different levers on their taxes.

Passive losses can be used to offset passive. Often, that more than offsets the income for that year, but also can create a surplus, a loss, which is a good thing. Now we’ve worked with clients to, like a lot of people will, we might implement, you’ll see professional status, which has a lot of things, moving parts with them. We’re not going to get into it, but now you can possibly unlock the passive losses to lower your ordinary. And that’s just one strategy, right? And there’s different types of deals you can go in, basically you’re going and you’re following the incentives that the IRS has put into the tax code.

The government wants us to invest our money and put our money in certain places. It’s our job. And with the help of our professionals to figure what those are, and also the best practices from our community or mastermind. Like this is what the wealthy do, they figure out what these things that the IRS wants us to invest in, put our money there and we can drive our adjusted gross income down or get different tax credits. People want to go and look at my taxes. They can go to simple passive cashflow.com/tax and see how much I’ve been paying the last several years every year. Some people will think that’s messed up, right?

To me, I’m just doing what the government wants me to do and you know what, and I’m the one putting my money into a lot of these apartment deals for workforce housing. This is what the government wants, right? We have no government housing for this type of stuff. They want investors such as myself to put money into this stuff.

And therefore I get great tax benefits from it. Whereas if you’re somebody who just puts your money into stocks, mutual funds, you’re going to have to pay taxes on that because you’re not investing with how the government wants you to do it. Everybody needs to pull their weight. If you don’t give, not putting your money in the right stuff that they want you to do, then you got to pay taxes, bro.

And unfortunately it’s the people, the hiking comparators that are getting killed by this stuff. It’s not the wealthy, it’s not the low, the lower end. It’s the shrinking middle-class. So they’re going to be killed with this stuff because they’re not following the breadcrumbs. Yeah. It’s surprising that more people don’t talk about taxes and they.

They get their tax return and they pay what it says on it. And they don’t really think about how to lower that because it’s just become so big a part of our life. And, if you think about a hundred years ago, there wasn’t even an income tax a little over a hundred years ago. So now we’ve allowed the government to step in and encroach so much.

But for wise investors like you who know how to not cheat the system, legally take advantage of it then. You’re just going to be in the top five, three, 5% of people that pay little to no tax relative to their income. So it’s very powerful. If you can save 40%, which is, some people pay 40% taxes.

If you can save that, then that’s just more, you can circulate back into investment. So you just. Yeah, and this is like going out to the higher income earners and the higher net worth people, had a case where, a doctor wanted to like, they make pretty high salaries, like $600,000 AGI.

And by doing a few maneuvers, real estate professional status coming into some deals with larger bonus losses, we were able to lower them from 600 grand down to 400. I’m just saying, using these round numbers. And that affects them, saves them a hundred grand yet they’re wasting their time trying to learn some kind of short-term rental strategy where the best they could make $5,000, $10,000 a year.

And this is, I think, where people like they get confused. Because they see all these investing strategies. But they don’t really understand the high level. What’s really going to move the needle? What’s the 80 20 here? So for higher income owners, it’s more for. If the, exactly how you said if we could just move on from 600 grand to 400 grand, we just sheltered, we just saved maybe a hundred thousand dollars of taxes right there.

Who cares if they would’ve had 10 rental properties or 20 rental properties, in fact, right? Like it’s more kind of what moves the needle in terms of dollars and what your debt at the end of the year. And this is how the game transitions from a lower net worth investor to a higher net worth investor beyond.

Yeah. And I know you focus a lot towards you’re working highly paid professionals. There’s certain things that people need to focus on in different parts of their career. For example, if you make 50,000 a year, try to get that up. Obviously if you’re making 600,000 a year, you need to focus on getting that up, but also focusing on getting your tax down.

So there’s different goals that you need to take stock of as an individual. But I think the highest. Priority, you would probably agree. This economic independence is getting your rate of return really high and getting your net worth to that million plus mark to where you can really start to make massive moves.

Like things really start to move. And these strategies really start to make sense once your net worth goes over half a million. If you’re under there, do what I did. When I graduated college, I didn’t have one. I didn’t have very much money. And I had to just buy rental properties.

So from 2009 to 2015, I was just picking up these trenches on boats, myself. Yeah. So again, we’re talking about different advice for different wrongs, right? So to me like the split is anywhere from under half a million dollars to over half a million dollars now. If you’re over a half, a million dollars net worth, like you said, a lot more of it is taxes.

Of course, you still have to invest in the right assets. But when you’re below that, that’s where I was between 2009 to 2015. I had a good paying job, but I didn’t have any net worth at the time. So what did I do? I just picked up rentals, diligently and saved my money. I was able to accelerate through this pretty quickly because I was able to save anywhere from 50 to $80,000 for my day. I was an extreme saver, this is where I just picked up assets. And one turns around though after the next. And I think a lot of people don’t realize that wealth building isn’t a get rich quick thing. From 2009 to 2015, that was a long freaking time.

And, people expect to just go to the big stuff and skip over that. The crazy thing about this, like real estate investing and wealth building is it goes exponential. But yeah, you got to put in the effort in the beginning and a lot of it is just building your network up slowly.

And then at some point it takes. Yeah, it’s that compound effect, certainly. For example, you read books like the slight edge or the compound effect, and they talk about how, get up a little bit earlier one day or go to the gym one day or read 10 pages of a nonfiction book. You’re not going to see the impact of that.

Day, month, even year, but you are going to see that impact in five to seven to 10 years, like you saw in your financial life, right? In the beginning, this is all new to you, right? You don’t, you definitely don’t trust it. So you go buy a rental property. But after that, you’ve got to get another fine.

All your other lazy equity is, and that could be in your primary residence. So take a heat lock, get a cash flow refinance, deploy the funds for. Did money in your retirement funds, put that to good work or just, you’re just sitting on cash. Once you’ve got proof of concept to me, that’s where you got to invest more heavily and get more involved.

Because a classic example is like a guy invests $150,000 and he’s like, why am I not doing financial freedom? Do you need to invest more? This is not magic, right? It’s just a certain rate of return times how much money you invest. The rate of return doesn’t go up and down very much, unless you want to take a lot of risk, which I don’t recommend.

Therefore you just have to invest more and if you don’t have the money, then you have to save more and just take more time. But at some point you gotta start like in your mind, I be like pulling the goalie, or taking money out of the 401k. Yeah, absolutely. There’s hope for those people who have bought into the traditional beliefs of buying your home to invest in wall street products because you can always get those out through a self-directed IRA, simply cashing out your retirement account, doing a heloc on the personal residence.

The world’s financial, world’s pretty forgiving in that you can tap into these lazy equity items that you mentioned. That’s a great term for it. Lazy equity and turn it into high producing equity for you. Yeah there’s sorts of things that are reversible, that I would recommend for new people that are faint of heart.

The heloc or taking loans for your 401k or taking withdrawals from your Roth, IRA, your contribution. So you can take out tax-free because you’ve already paid your taxes and you can take that penalty fruit. So do that first, but once you’ve got proof of concept, now you need to start to look at the marquee of reversible things.

Like maybe you have a rental property, maybe you have a primary residence that you should unload, or maybe you just want to keep living there. So you do a cash out refinance. How much refinances you pay fees for, but it probably will make sense to strip out the equity and now invest it elsewhere.

Other irreversible things include taking money out of your 401k or retirement, but you can’t really put it back. You can, but only at a certain pace. And I don’t know why you want to put any more money into it once you’re taking it out. To me, it makes no sense. But you know that those are the two wrongs.

If this is all new to you, focus on the reversible. And then once you’ve got proof of concept, now you have to go all in on this stuff. Yeah. And that’s a great way to wrap it up here, but first before we let you go lane I want to introduce the last portion of our show, which is the triple threat.

And it’s the same three questions I ask each guest. So the first one is what has been the app or resource that has been the biggest game changer for your business? I like to go to docs. I dunno, Gmail. It’s just nothing special I use, yeah. Those are great tools for sure. I use them every day.

The second question is what has been the biggest lesson for you in the last year and why do you think that happened? I guess, like going to the pandemic, we showed how multifamily apartments survive this stuff. It’s a basic necessity. And it I didn’t, I was a little worried in April, may of 2020, how all this stuff would happen. I’ve ever been through it and done it before. And I was worried how collections would go, but collections came pretty well and occupancy did drop maybe a few percent points, at the end of the day, we still had cash flow.

If we keep, more than 50, 60% of the people have heads and beds, so work rules. No, I’m probably even more confident in the strategy of going after workforce housing, because, at the end of the day, people need a place to live. Population is going up, immigration is up and, it’s the shrinking middle-class or falling back to lower middle-class into these more value based upon housing options.

It’s what’s more in demand. Yeah, sure. There’s more cool ways to make money and like hotels or hospitality type of stuff. But I think we’re all reminded why that stuff is more discretionary spending and it gets killed in situations like this. Yeah. So absolutely you went through COVID, but you just have to trust in your assets, trust in your underwriting and carry through that will carry you through the storm for sure.

Question number three is our podcast is all about helping others achieve freedom with real estate investing, whether that’s financial lifestyle or otherwise. So what does freedom mean to you? Freedom is to do what you want, where you want with me. Why? I think something I’ve learned is when there’s kind of two people going through life and most people are the people who are trading their time for money.

They go to work every day. And everything is when they go home, they’re resting, recovering, going back to work, treating their time. Once again, until you’ve reached that point of real retirement. Many people retire, but they don’t have enough money at that point.

They’re just eating off their pile of cash. But people who’ve achieved that escape velocity, that critical mass to have enough money that regenerates and grows, whether they do anything or not, those people have truly gotten to that cog scenario. And for people finally, lucky enough to get to that point before the age of normal retirement age, those people get to a point in life that not many people get where they get the options to design their lifestyle and figure out what impact they want to make in the world if that’s what they so choose. To me in your life, really doesn’t start a show. You can like not having to go to a day job every day.

That’s definitely true for me. Your life doesn’t really begin until you have ultimate choice over what you do with your time. I don’t know if a lot of people would agree with that. Maybe you would like your job or otherwise, but I think it’s definitely something that we should all strive for and it should be in the back of our mind at all times too.

Because that’s how we’re going to achieve our higher purpose. Our higher calling is when we have choices, we can over time. Nowadays I understand why old people are grumpy, but they don’t have to put up with all this type of nonsense. People who are financially free, they can say no.

And they do say a lot of things that they don’t want to do. And that doesn’t really meet their calling and is not aligned with their values. And great things happen when you can say no most of the time. That’s a good way to end it. This has been a great episode on the counterintuitive ways that the rich get that way. I have appreciated your time and your expertise Lane, and I hope the listeners got a lot out of this episode. Where can people learn more about you if they are interested? I know that. That you mentioned a website simplepassivecashflow.com I believe. Yeah. They can check out my podcast: simple, passive cash flow passive real estate investing. In the beginning, I would talk a lot about rental real estate. But as I became an accredited investor, the topics of kind of change to syndications taxes, that type of stuff, infinite banking, or they can check on my website, simplepassivecashflow.com. Thanks again and hope you have the rest of a good day and hopefully your kid doesn’t give you too much trouble. Thanks Lane.

CHEAPER Third Party Collateral Loans for Your Infinite Banking

https://youtu.be/MT_8Kt0zEsg

What’s up investors now on today’s podcast. We’re going to be talking about a little bit of an advanced topic on infinite banking, a little trick that the folks in the HUI have found and have been utilizing to get a little bit better interest rates on the cash value portion of their life insurance. Now, if infinite banking is life insurance stuff, and there’s a lot of terms for this, a lot of marketable terms, you’ve got to love the financial industry with all these marketable terms on all these things. That’s essentially the same thing, whole life overfunded insurance. I know people don’t like their whole life. It’s different when you crank those insurance portions down and that’s where the commissions come. If you create these products with high insurance like how most people do and the commissions are going to be high.

 

But the way that people do it in our world to make the infinite banking way is very different. This is a new concept to you, and you’ve been turned off because you happen to read Dave Ramsey, which kind of goes over the whole idea in the wrong way. Go to simplepassivecashflow.com/bank.

 

Read that quick tutorial there. We even have a free e-course that most of you guys can bum rush through and take two to three hours. And then you’ll be IBC experts at this point, but check out that website and we have a lot of other free eCourses too, that you guys can access them all by joining up with our clubs, simplepassivecashflow.com/club.

 

Filling out that quick form there takes people most like one to two minutes to just do it. Before we get going with the show, just a little bit of a market update, something I’ve been seeing lately. We were talking about interest rates popping up since the start of the year.

 

And it’s creating a situation where a lot of these bigger players now, the bigger players, as you guys know, just like in the stock market, the big players move the markets. And in the real estate world, the big players, these big, large institutions invest people’s lazy, retirement money, just buying whatever, because that’s how they get paid.

 

They get paid when just deploying their silly capital around. A lot of these guys have taken the foot off the gas pedal a little bit with the interest rates going up. And I took the same position myself so I’m going to release a video to the people in the club. Again, you guys can get signed up for that insider access where we talked a little bit more in depth about what’s happening in the market.

 

And it wasn’t that uncertain for us. And we’ve got some other projects that don’t really need to get the debt and entire interest rates. So it was a nice little break from having to go to the normal sources for lending from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and community banks, but what this has created, and this is very counterintuitive because these large institutions have pulled back from the market has actually created a sort of buyer’s market, a vacuum in the seemingly uptick in the market.

 

Where there are some deals out for sale out there. Personally, I haven’t really been actively getting anything, but I’ve been looking, after realizing this. And so that’s what’s happening in the market by the time you guys are listening to this, maybe in July or whatever, it’s probably over, or this little vacuum is closing up.

 

And, eventually the institutions will come back and come back to play and because they need to deploy capital because that’s how they make money. And that should sicken you guys out there. These large institutions are spending and investing lazy retirement funds, pension funds. And all they gotta do is just deploy the money and that’s how they get paid.

 

They really don’t really care about buying the best assets out there. And that’s just how the financial system works. That’s just a little bit of what’s happening out there. Do you know if you guys are looking for properties to buy, maybe I dunno if this carries over to the residential, a little mom and pop rental properties or under 40 units.

 

Maybe you’re finding a bit of a buyer’s market there amongst the global sellers market because of the interest rates popping up and maybe just people are a little scared or about the affordability. Affordability is the ability to have a bigger mortgage payment because of interest rates or lower, but now they’re higher.

 

So the affordability goes down, but that’s, what’s happening in the commercial world. We talk a little bit more in depth. I sent out a newsletter to some folks that were impacted more about this. We actually are looking to trade Some deals because of this kind of phenomenon that’s happened and we’ll see how that goes.

 

But a little bit of a buyer’s market in a sellers market and the thought is from the industry experts, not all the YouTube influencers are the people trying to sell stuff , that 2022, 2023 is going to be a little bit of a slower uptick here. Won’t see rent growth 5, 10, 20% rent growth, but still growth.

 

And I think that’s the major thing. So if you’re underwriting your deals to assume for the normal 2 to 3% inflation. You should be fine. And I think some people are reading into that and maybe news centers are trying to sell headlines that call this recession in 2023, which to me, the recession is defined as negative GDP growth for two consecutive quarters. That’s just not going to be happening in my opinion. Again, in any case, you buy for cash flow. Doesn’t really matter if it’s up or down market, but anyway, here’s the show.

 

We’re going to be deep diving into a little bit more technical tactic here that a lot of the folks within the group have been uncovering and this technique is basically using your infinite banking policy, taking that cash value loan to go on, invest in it. But, they’re, you’re typically paying maybe 4 or 5% on that. But what if you could get something a little bit better than that just makes the arbitrage gap a little bit better. So I don’t know what the term for this is. And typically when there’s no term for these things, it’s probably a good technique that, or do it before it goes away.

 

Although I don’t think it’s going to be going away, helping me unpack this is Chris Miles from moneyripples.com. Hey Chris, how’s it going, man? Awesome. Lane, good to be here again. For those people, let’s start with a little basics, so we don’t leave anybody behind. I’ll let you define infinite banking and then I’ll take a stab at it because I think we define and explain a little bit differently.

 

So for some people who have never heard about this stuff, what is infinite banking, and then we’ll get into the cash value arbitrage. Yeah. If we strip away all the terms and all the cute little names that people try to give it. Because they got like infinite banking, be your own banker, cash flow banking, wealth formula banking, and everybody’s got their own little thing, simple, passive cash flow banking or whatever.

 

I call it max ROI when we do it, that’s all, basically what we’re doing is we’re taking life insurance, specifically, whole life insurance, not term insurance. Cause you can’t, there is no cash in term insurance. You have to die to get it. And we’re not talking about universal life because that doesn’t work as well either. We talk about using whole life insurance, something that’s boring in and of itself, but here’s the key thing is that if you get it designed where you put the lowest death benefit costs coming out and the highest amount of cash that you’re putting in what happens now, you create this tax-free supercharged savings account.

 

You have this money that’s able to build and grow tax-free just like a Roth IRA, but you don’t have all these 59 and a half rules. You don’t have to worry about the government changing the laws on you. You kept figuring what to do next. All this stuff is set and the money is accessible from day one where traditional whole life, the stuff that Dave Ramsey and Susie Orman hate.

 

We’re not talking about that. That traditional whole life is crap. Okay. That’s the stuff where you have to pay in tons and insurance costs tons of commissions and it’s not worth it. And so that’s what we’re really doing here is that we’re creating this tax-free super-charged savings account with this life insurance.

 

Yeah, there’s a death benefit, but we get this minimal death benefit needed to allow this X amount of cash to go in tax-free ,growing tax-free coming out tax-free. And here’s the coolest part. This is the part that we talk about all the time and kind of the topic today is that we’re taking this money and we’re not just letting it sit there and earning the five plus percent a year tax-free right.

 

That’s great. But that’s never going to get you to your freedom. The way to get to your freedom is you can take this money, leverage it. You can get a bank line of credit against it, whether it be through the insurance company or through a separate bank, you get a line of credit against the money that’s in this policy to then go and invest outside.

 

So you can take that money and use it for whatever you want. You can go and buy properties. You can go invest in the syndication. You can put your money in apartments or whatever it might be. You can take this money and invest it wherever you want. The cool thing is because you get this line of credit against it.

 

The money’s still earning tax-free dividends inside of the life insurance  and at the same time, you’re also earning money in your real estate. So you’re really, double-dipping on the same money that you’ve been saving up in the first place. You give an example, we’re going to talk about this here. There’s a line of credit you can get right now as low as 3%.

 

Now, if you’re earning 5% of your life insurance, you pay 3%. That means you just create arbitrage. Like the bank did when they loan you money, they make more off of you. You’re doing the same thing off the bank. Now you’re making a net 2%. Plus whatever, earning on that investment. So if that investment’s paying you 15% and you have 2%, now that’s 17%.

 

You’re now earning again with the money you’re already going to be investing anyway. But now we’re, instead of just pulling out savings, we’re using our life insurance to be the thing that funds those investments. Yeah. So there it is folks, but we’ll break it down a little bit slower for some of you guys who’ve missed it.

 

Maybe we could do a little role play here because I think that’s what this stuff is. It’s very different from what anybody else talks about. And, it takes a while for people to realize that it’s not crazy nonsense, but going back to just the general idea of infinite banking, you know what I’ve been explaining lately.

 

If you buy a house and you put a whole bunch of equity in there and it grows up. Essentially. It’s like the same thing, folks, right? You’re using this whole life policy like a heloc kind of house right now. You can take a loan off of your whole life insurance, and then use that as you see fit.

 

Just like if you have a house and you’re paying it down, but then you can take that equity out. Think of it as the same thing here now pays you interest. And the house in the house example, the house is obviously appreciating. And in the IBC example, the insurance policy is also appreciated too.

 

Now there are some like I think the biggest thing against this stuff is you’ll see a lot of YouTube videos or your whole life is a scam. I think Chris and I will both agree that yes, whole life insurance is the biggest scam if you are working with somebody, who’s creating this stuff with a high percentage, going to the commissions and the insurance part.

 

Now the key to this is using the bare minimum of life insurance. And the dirty little secret is this is how the insurance agents make this type of money if they ratchet up those commissions. So we’ve had a client we’ll, what we looked at is I think it was for like I don’t know if we can say the name, but I think it’s like Snoopy’s brand or something like that.

 

We’ll just go with that. But we looked at it and they’re like, yeah. We can’t, it doesn’t really work. And it’s oh we’ll look at what is the percent split of the life insurance portion. And it was a hundred percent the whole damn thing, and yes, but it’s done like that. It is a kind of a scam.

 

It’s not a good deal. And that’s exactly what they all are talking about. Dave Ramsey sees the armed men, but we’re talking about, yes, we’re talking about whole life. But we’re talking about it very differently. I don’t know. Maybe I can think of an analogy on the fly here. It’s saying, like all cars are dangerous, right?

 

Yeah. If you’re like driving around a little Plaza, Miata, it’s pretty freaking dangerous. But if you’ve got like a big truck, it’s not right. But people think in generalities, I think cars are dangerous in a way, same thing here, full life insurance. Don’t plump the type of specific type of design policy with a low insurance portion, which happens to have the lowest commissions for that agent, which is why they don’t want to do it for you.

 

That’s why you gotta work with people. Don’t care about money. It’s more bulk volume in a way, but that’s infinite banking in a nutshell. So we’ll go into an example here, right? So like I say, you have. So you’re putting in like a hundred grand a year for several years and you’ve built up a cash value of maybe 300,000.

 

And I want to go, and the way people will use this, the use case is to pull the money out and go into a deal. We put in 50, a hundred grand into the next deal, pay it down. As, you can make money from your day job and replenish a lot, or just take out the whole loan for forever. That’s another way of doing it.

 

When I do that, if I go and take the loan from my current insurance policy, it’s like the house loan in a way, I think I’m paying what, like 5% or something like  yep. And, but now you’re, let’s go into like, all right what does somebody need to do to not get this house alone, but go to a kind of party and be aftermarket.

 

Yeah. Once you have at least 50,000, $70,000 in cash value built up, you start to have more options open up to you. Most people just use the insurance company and that’s fine. Even some of the insurance companies, because they’ve lowered their guarantees. Some of them were loaning at 4% right now.

 

But at the same time like that, can, that sometimes can affect your dividends, right? How much you’re getting paid. So these third parties would allow you to do it and allow your money to keep growing, doing its thing, but you get a line of. That’s separate. Right now the lowest ones I’ve seen are either three or three and a quarter percent.

 

There’s a few banks like coastal states bank, which have a bottom floor rate of three and a quarter percent when I just set up for myself after I had coastal states bank as the bank court. I actually have them at 3%. So the cool thing is I can do the same thing I do with my life insurance, where I went to the lecturers company, asked for a loan. It would take about a week or so to get the loan from the insurance company, before the money’s in my actual bank account. But with these banks, you can actually have them set up electronically with your checking account where you can actually just do it yourself.

 

You don’t have to go through the company or a middleman to request it. You can actually go and click a button online and move the money over. And it’s there in a few days, which is great. Especially if you have a deal that’s coming, you’ve got to fund it in 48 hours or something much better to be able to click a button and say, Hey, let me call my insurance company and wait a week for it to come.

 

There could be worse things, but it’s nice when you have these third parties involved because, and it’s not just the banks, like I mentioned, sometimes your local. We’ll offer options too. It could be a credit union. It could be a bank. It really could just ask them, say, Hey listen, can I do, what’s called a collateralized line of credit specifically against my life insurance policy.

 

And some banks won’t touch those because they just don’t do it. They don’t specialize in it. They specialize. In other words, others will. I had somebody, a client who’s getting three and a quarter percent or three and three quarters percent through their local bank. And even though they could get a cheaper rate, they said, Hey, I love the convenience.

 

I can walk in, get to be able to pull the money out of my line of credit physically, or I can do it electronically. It’s just for ease. I’ll do that. There’s lots of different ways you can do it that most people just don’t realize and insurance agents are there too. They just don’t realize that you can go to banks and actually get these collateralized lines of credits and really be able to get a better return on your money, by doing that, by making more than what you’re having to pay on these loans.

 

Yeah. And an actuality, like it’s actually a good deal. Good loan to keep on the balance sheet for the bank. What do I know? I don’t want a bank, but the problem is a lot of these banks don’t know what the heck you’re talking about, especially when you’re working with the junior employee at the front facing, you’re going to have to get past that first or second round of bureaucratic thinkers.

 

And we were followers, but again, what was that terminology? , what were you asking again? So we can sound foolish. They walk into a bank , hopefully you’re wearing. Polo shirts that just come from the gym and walk in, like you just got off the golf course, yeah, just asking for that collateralized line of credit or secured line of credit is another name that the bankers might understand.

 

Most times when they do a secured line of credit, they take your savings account and they give you a line of credit against your savings. This is no different, just, that’s not what their institution it’s going to be with the insurance company. Here’s the key thing. It does need to be whole life. In many cases, it does have to be a whole life policy because whole life insurance is guaranteed where I know there’s several banks, including the ones I mentioned, like Bank Corp or coastal states bank.

 

They will not land on indexing universities. Which has become the hot topic since the market started booming again in the last decade plus, so index universal life is not guaranteed, even though they have a floor rate, they could still lose money because insurance costs are coming out so many banks will not give you a loan against that.

 

So you gotta be careful. Now. The cool thing is that you can use this in a variety of ways. If you’re just looking for that line of credit, it’s very easy to ask for another example of how you can use this if I had a client out in Minnesota. They wanted to buy an office, build a commercial building that they were leasing themselves, but they want to go and lease out different units essentially to turn into a rental property for themselves.

 

The total of the building with the build out was about 375,000. They had about 320,000 inside the life insurance. So they went to their local bank and said, listen, we could pay this in cash almost with our life insurance, but could we get a line of credit? Can we basically get a mortgage using this as collateral?

 

And the bank said, yes. And not only did they give him the loan, they gave him the build-out. So they gave him 375,000 more than they had there in their cash value in their life insurance. And they gave them such a nice rate, such a low rate that their payment was like 1800 bucks a month on a commercial building.

 

So they had excellent terms and made bank, no pun intended. They made bank easily. They made good profit on this rental cause they took one tenant and they made their mortgage payment. What’s really cool is a year and a half later after the build-out was done after they started renting out the property, they went back to the bank and said, Hey, can we have that lien taken off our life insurance?

 

Because they just put a lien on it. So they couldn’t touch the money that was there. That was the collateral. They took the lien off, kept the terms exactly the same. They still have the same monthly payment. They still had all of the same terms. But now that 300,000 plus I was in their life, insurance was freed up to use again.

 

However they had. So it actually gave him much better terms on their mortgage than they would’ve got just getting a normal commercial loan using the building as collateral. So there’s lots of different ways to use this more than we’ve talked about. I know you did a post on LinkedIn about using us with 529 college plans, doing this instead of bills, where you have more control of the money and it’s off the books.

 

So you qualify for things like that. There’s so many ways to use us but ultimately if you’re going to leverage this, you want to be able to pay the least interest possible. And that’s why we always try to encourage one, make sure you design it like you were talking about earlier and then to make sure we get the lowest interest rate on that collateral loan so that you can actually go and create that double dip effect, making more profit on your life insurance and making more money in your real estate investments.

 

I like that idea though. So we have some plants that are quitting their jobs because this journal stuff works and it allows you to quit your job. But the problem there is you can use that high W2 income and, maybe walking into the bank, talking to somebody with half a brain and putting this on the table as collateral.

 

I’m also worried that they would not just put up in the United States, but they wanted to put in escrow and that another account that might not be as good, but these are the types of things that you can have a conversation with your banker. If you have that personal relationship and kind of put this on the table which again, just speaks to  the validity and the security of this insurance policy.

 

It’s backed by a huge plumber. Sometimes in investing in apartment buildings, themselves to back the collateral. These are just examples overall, like these techniques that we talk about here, or like the 5 29 technique or the whole mortgage technique using this type of stuff that you want to get.

 

People in the weeds doing this type of stuff. Ain’t no banker, ain’t no financial planner. I know you aren’t financial planners at all, but like these guys aren’t, they don’t do this stuff, this comes from interacting with other people and that kind of tinkering. The optimizers. Yeah. It’s, it comes from us having experience doing this kind of stuff, and, cause you’ve got them too.

 

It really does come down to that financial advisors see, understand that financial advisors are not financial experts, right? Even insurance agents are not financial experts. They are just trained by the insurance company or by the financial institution. They work. To teach you what they want to be taught to you.

 

So they’re always going to make it seem like it’s something that’s forever out there. Like even with these infinite banking policies, most people will say their whole life. Oh no. You don’t want to do that. Infinite banking stuff. You want to use this as a supplemental retirement? 30-40 years down the road, not today, not a way to create wealth and pre massive income now.

 

There’s a guy that you and I both know, we won’t mention his name. He’s a fund manager right here. He owns this, as his own fund that he managed. Brilliant guy. And then he told me he had a MetLife whole life policy. He said, oh, I’ve got a whole life policy through MetLife. It’s great. I have been planning for 20 years. And then for 10 years, it’s a tax-free pension. And he’s so happy about it. He’s yeah, I’m putting in 20 grand a year. I’ll be able to pull out 60 grand a year for 10 years. And it’s tax-free and I’m like that’s cool.

 

That’s the traditional way of doing things. Oh, like you’re a fund manager, like this is money. That’s now out of your life that you’re not touching because you’re totally locked up. And I showed them. I said, what if we just made a crappy 10% return on your fund? Which I know he makes way more than that. I was like, what if you just made 10% on your money?

 

And you actually used that money and invested out here while it was still growing inside here. And I showed the same 20 years. The difference was instead of having $60,000 a year tax-free as what the insurance agent taught them at MetLife. He was actually going to get about $178,000, pretty much tax advantage.

 

Because most of it’s for real estate, while the rest of it’s coming from life insurance, the flood insurance income was almost the same. It was extra 120,000 a year of passive income. He was getting from using that same money. And so that’s the thing is that again, these guys are not financial experts.

 

Even the people out there are telling you infinite banking is the way to go be your own banker. And then they. Oh the first year you put in 20,000, you only have 12,000. It’s that 60, 40 split guys. When they try to tell you that’s the best design, I’ll tell you from an investor perspective, I’ve never seen that as designs ever be anything that we’ve done.

 

That’s the kind of promise we always have is that we’ll beat anybody’s numbers out there and the whole 60, 40 split. They’re like, oh, it’s the best way to. But it’s the best way for them to go to still do infinite banking and still get paid more commissions. It’s just, you gotta really be careful of what’s out there.

 

There’s so much misinformation. No wonder Dave Ramsey and Susie Orman think it is a bunch of crap because there’s so many people conflicting with their self-interest or they’re just not taught many insurance companies how to do it right. The first time anyways, because insurance companies have their own self-interest, it’s so hard to find it done the right way.

 

It’s very simple. Like it’s hard for the consumer, like it’s a series summit to a lending broker, right? If I’m trying to shop for mortgages, I get this like term sheets, supposedly, but it’s just all convoluted. And it’s hard for me to pick out the fees that are consistent among agents and et cetera.

 

And what are the variable ones that really should be comparing the rate in this case, you don’t see how they’re going to, configure it with either a 60-40, 90-10, 80-20, but you don’t see that. Until like you, is it that comes on after the physical? Oh no. That’s a total sales tactic.

 

That’s taught out there. Like when I showed you numbers, I showed you them upfront before even putting in an application. And that’s one of our promises while we show the numbers, but there’s a sales tactic out there taught me insurance industry that you only show numbers after you get the approval and they’ll use the excuses, which is a half-truth, they’ll say things like we want to make sure you get the right health ratings.

 

So then we give you real hard enough. But the truth is I can ask you a few questions about your health. And I would say 98% of the time, we’re going to come up pretty close to the right health rating. There’s been a few exceptions where somebody omits some information. I was like, whoa, okay.

 

That’s a different health rating. But for the most part, it’s okay, you’re probably going to be about this health rating. And then the numbers are exactly the way they expect. There’s no mystery. It doesn’t have to be that mystery. So just know that’s a sales tactic. You don’t, you can know numbers upfront and be able to know exactly what.

 

And you want to make sure they’re apples to apples too. That’s another issue that I had with one of our friends. This is, one of his friends, personal friends, they are in the same church and everything. He had two policies with me, and that friend convinced them to try to cancel the two policies with me.

 

And I was like, whoa. And I finally got them on the phone. I was like, what’s going on? Oh he says the numbers are better. I said, listen, I can’t even beat your old numbers, just like your years lane. I couldn’t beat your numbers anymore because you’re older and things change as time goes on, it gets less of a return.

 

I was like, there’s no way he’d beat those numbers. Come to find out the only way he beat those numbers, it wasn’t apples to apples. It was actually him putting in $80,000 more just to catch up. So he would have to cost his family $80,000 just to finally say, oh, look, now I have as much as what I would have had with Chris anyways.

 

And he’s a smart guy.  He owns multiple real estate companies. He has a non-profits smart guy, but again, like you said, you just never know. Because those agents, they don’t always make things apples to apples. You have to really find something you can trust. They’ll say, Hey, this is good. Or this is not that sales technique.

 

I was like shopping for a car and they just wanted me to come in and drive a thing. And I’m like, dude, I don’t want to come in and drive, I have not driven a car. I don’t need to like, feel it, drive it around the block, like wasting my time. But they want me to have some kind of skin in the game for me. Time is my currency.

 

So the same thing, right? You got to go to this BS of having the physical. Have you got to do that eventually, but they want you to do it first with the house. Yeah. That’s it’s the nose. It’s like the camel’s nose in the tent right there. Just trying to get you to walk that path. I remember seeing that in the mortgage industry, when I was mortgage licensed, they would get you to go through the whole process and your rate about time, you’re supposed to close your mortgage.

 

And then they say, oh, by the way, the rates actually lower than I quoted you are not lower, but it’s higher than I quoted you on the mortgage rates. So you’re like do I go back to that other person that could meet low. We’re after this whole month of going through this process, am I just going to go with them?

 

You’re usually going to go with them and that’s the kind of cells that they use in the insurance industry that you really just gotta watch out for. Yeah. So let’s talk a little bit about the downsides of this particular technique in elite. There isn’t anything other than how much, like how much pain and effort and brain damage do you want to go through, like sitting up a little bit better, aftermarket low, if you want to call it.

 

And this is why I ask people. It depends on how big your policy is, right? I think average investors, a lot of investors are putting in maybe a contract book a year for several six years. So let’s just say they have maybe $200,000, maybe even five up and down the vendors to say 200,000, because that makes the back, it.

 

Say they’re getting like a 2% Delta in that better rate. Like 2% of 2000 is what is that? Four or yeah, $4,000 a year. Is that worth it? I dunno. Some people will say that $4,000 is what they spend, going out with some friends, some people will say that’s.

 

One 10th and I can buy a rental property. Probably if you get that big of a policy, you’re probably not buying little rental properties at that point, that’s one 10th that you are going into the next, that’s the one month that you buy in the next deal we have may not be that useful to you.

 

But there is a little bit, maybe talk a little bit about like, all right, so what I do, Chris, I gotta go find the bank. I gotta talk to the person that, let me talk a little about. How much pain is pain. How much time is this? Take this out of here. If you’re trying to do it on your own, it’s going to be a pain in the butt.

 

It’s going to be horrible. That’s why I just tell my clients, listen, just come to us, ask us, like, where’s the best place to go. You go to one bank, you know exactly where you’re going to get the best rate, and just make it easy. Because we always have those relationships too. And we don’t get paid for those relationships.

 

Good connections. It’s a value add for our clients. You bring up a good point: it’s 4,000 bucks worth it on a couple of hundred grand. It’s when you look at a value add deal, when you’re looking to buy an investment property, you’re looking at it.

 

If you just look at it from year one, you’re going to say, okay, Cash flow is okay, but obviously you never do that as an investor. You’re looking at, Hey, what can we do if we start doing value, add stuff and start up the brand on different doors and whatnot and increase the value and the profits, then it starts to build it to be more money.

 

That’s true with life insurance too, because it’s not just that 2% simple. It’s actually a 2% compounding rate that adds to it. So give me a real life example. I was showing some of the difference between putting in a quarter million dollar down payment on a small apartment, right? For a million dollar apartment, quarter million dollars down.

 

Versus, using their savings account versus using their life insurance. Now, if you use this county, you earn 0.1%, which is pretty decent right now. You’re in 0.1% and then you pay taxes on that point. 1%. The crazy thing is after 10 years, right? 10 years of that, that with that 250,000, you ended up actually not even 10, it was nine years, nine years.

 

You only end up profiting about 1200. That’s the, all the interest you made, taking all that cash flow from that property and putting it back in to build up your savings account that you liquidated, because most people just, they take that quarter million dollars. They use that as a down payment and they just take the cashflow to build up their savings slowly over time, and I use the example that you’re only cash flowing 2,500 a month.

 

That same thing. If you’re to do that with life insurance, where instead of paying back into a savings account, you just pay it back towards that line of credit. Now you’re paying down that loan that’s at 3% while you’re earning five plus percent, here’s the difference? Same as count or about 1200 interests.

 

The life insurance in nine years earned 145 grand of it. So it was about a hundred times better, even though yeah. It’s like 0.1 versus 2%. It seemed like it was like 20%, but that compounding effect over those years is huge. And so it’s a no-brainer when you think about it. If I’m going to make 1200 bucks, I might as well make 145 grand.

 

Is that worth, one time, getting something set up and making it easy. And again, if you have team support, like with our team, it makes it easier because you’re not in it by yourself. You’re able to have that stuff. Yeah, and it is the sole financial journey is like it’s a game of inches.

 

These are the little things that kind of get you down the football field to where you want to be, unless your net worth is over a few million dollars. You take it easy at not optimized, but. I bring this up because a lot of people in our family office,  our inner circle. Like we’re a bunch of like over optimizers, which is like propeller hats in a good way.

 

Yeah I got the one hand, like the dude with his little teeny tiny, like 10, $20,000 policy, like really how much money does this equate to. But then again, that’s the person that needs to be doing this type of nonsense, you’re saying, right? This is the person that needs every single little inch because they need to get down the football field point.

 

So he knows I didn’t bring up the strategy that some people talk about online when they talk by internet banking, which is using this like your own check checking account, right? Like your own bill pay account. And they’re trying to pay all their monthly expenses. That, to me, that is you’re trying to get an inch.

 

It’s just not worth it. Like you save, you might make. A few hundred bucks or so a year and interest, despite trying to pay all your bills using this and money’s going in and out, back and forth. That to me is ridiculous. Oh, are they just setting that up? Cause people will do that with their Healogics, right?

 

Somehow they’re able to pay their bills. And I think he looks a little easier. You could do it with life insurance, but the problem is this is that the insurance salesman, they’re trying to sell it to you. And I do say salesman when I say it, because they’ll try to say, yeah all your income goes into this.

 

And they said the humongous policies first off you’ve pretty much have to lie. On the application, just to be able to put in that much, because most companies won’t let you put in more than 25% of your stated gross income every year. For someone that says put in their whole paycheck, they’d have to say I’m putting a hundred percent of my income.

 

That’s that they would never go for that. And insurance companies will never say yes to that. So theoretically it sounds great. But as much as bull. And then when you really ask those insurance sales and I’m like how do I really fund this every year? Oh, we just put your whole paycheck into it.

 

That all that does is just make this huge, massive policy that you’re paying a crap load and insurance costs too, and getting very little benefit. It’s not worth it. You really have to have a lot of surplus cash to do that. And like I said, like just that strategy alone really just doesn’t save you much money and same thing with he locked the velocity banking, that kind of thing.

 

From a number standpoint and calculator sure. It might make sense to a little bit, but what’s the time, what’s the cost of your time and energy is one, two. What about reality? My, for example, doesn’t work like this. Isn’t a much of a threat with your life insurance because life insurance it’s guaranteed.

 

Banks are willing to lend against them, but on a house, if you tried to get a hilar and you try to charge it up and then pay it down and aggressively really fast, the risk you run, especially when times get hard and recessionary times is that those banks will take those lines of credit, but limits and cut them down to your bank.

 

They will break them, cut them all the way back. So all that money you paid into it you just pull it back out again. It’s gone. So in a practicality standpoint, even though, yes, I know I can save interest on a heloc by paying it down. I don’t, I leave it maxed out. I let it stay up at the limit because I know banks cause I watched it happen in the last recession.

 

To me personally, banks will cut down your lines of credit and not give you a warning. Now with life insurance, the good thing is they don’t worry about market risks. They don’t worry about your house depreciating. It’s not based on that. So you really don’t have that kind of threat. So it’s a different game.

 

And that’s the one big point why this IBC stuff is superior to the helocs getting out there. But yeah, some of this takes a little time, but first they seems like a lot of work to me, but, I was also the guy at one time who would like, those rewards credit cards or debit cards where you get to do 12 transactions while I would go to four different gas stations out in the freezing cold, I’d do three at a time.

 

If not, they would show off my card. I would also fly back from life, get out. I was being like Montana, wherever, but I would fly out of. I forgot what it was, Denver or salt lake, but we’d always go through there to go back to Seattle, but I would always go to the more farther one to get more miles so stupid. All these layovers and you’re tired all the time. I like simplicity. I think simplicity really means that energy saver is the ultimate ROI. You can use these strategies and get really complex with them. I like to use them just for the bigger stuff. The stuff that really makes it makes an impact.

 

That really makes a difference. Everything else doesn’t even have to become a master app.  You don’t have to be that smart just to be able to use this in a simple way, which is I’m gonna use this money and invest if that, and just take the cash flow and use the paid bachelors in my line of credit.

 

And that’s all you do. Yeah. I think the one thing I liked is Chris does coaching. So Chris he’s really good. He’s a lot more patient than I am. And there were actually a couple of people this last week, I talked to Chris that we’re like, all this stuff we’re talking about is like the sand and they have big rocks, which are problems, right?

 

They have $500 million plus of dead equity in their house. This stuff we’re talking about is like the way high up in the tree for them for now. But they just, a lot of people, especially people who’ve been doing this long. But people have harder, worse habits, money habits who think that they should have big equity positions in their house.

 

It’s just a big mindset shift. And so I was like mentioning, yeah, I should go work with Chris because Chris will actually hold your hand and walk you through this type of stuff. Where I’m a little bit more impatient and it’s what’s the problem here. See what, they’re all they’re doing it.

 

Here’s this group we’re doing it. Jump off the cliff too, in a way but yeah, Chris once you get your contact information or how can people get a hold of you? Yeah, two different ways. You can do that. And I’m one, you can always follow our own podcast. We have a podcast called the Chris Miles Money Show that you find on iTunes, YouTube, wherever you go for podcasts.

 

And then you can also go to our website moneyripples.com. And we even have a playlist on infinite banking that’s on there. You can go and check out and be able to watch different videos and learn and go deeper down that rabbit hole. If you want to take the red pill. All right, folks. Thanks for listening. Join the club, check out the website simplepassivecashflow.com/club. I will see you guys next.