#2 – 2018.12 – The SPC GreenSheet

Investor Quarterly Letter #2 & My Journey to SPC

2018 Q4 @$5,600/Mo

Executive Summary: The market has been steady and hot. Certain key indicators have turned red like the 10 and 2-year treasury index and unemployment at near low levels of 3-3.5%. It’s still a time to invest but only if it meets sound underwriting principals. Q4 was a huge quarter for the Hui Deal Pipeline Club with several acquisitions. Many of which developed from the early summer time.

The internet has a lot of junk out there. I originally was going to write a monthly post like this however I got too ambitious with all the deals that came in at the end of the year. In fact, I am even contemplating going down to a bi-weekly podcast to concentrate on being a better partner and to lose some weight. Let me know your thoughts on this?

This long document is my investor letter and contains a lot of the articles that I have been reading over the past quarter that has influenced my outlook and investing behavior.

Check out the latest homework on all the asset classes I have been learning about lately to get outside of the apartment investing world.

We had out Sonoma Mastermind. I recorded some of the testimonials there. We had a lot of wine and great relationships were formed!

The next live Mastermind will be in LA to see Tony Robbins. As well as our mini-book club in January which will be a great example of my new group coaching format.

I am finalizing a program for investors to systematically go through the past three years of content without going crazy. As opposed to being a lame old $997 web course… it will likely be a little cheaper (if you let me know you want to be in the beta release) and more importantly, it will have bi-weekly calls! Yup group coaching! I have always been against programs that charge people $5,000 (who can’t afford it) to do simple stuff on the internet. I wanted to make a program that was less of a scam and where I could give a high level of personal involvement (which was the mission in the first place). Apply here.

I want to wish everyone a happy, healthy (as I focus to getting more in shape in 2019), and prosperous New Year. 2018 was a huge year for me and where I reached a milestone in terms of getting to Accredited status and starting to adopt more of a capital preservation mindset. And a little charity – let me know if you have any ideas in 2019. As the new CrowdfunaAloha.com motto suggests “Ohana means family, and no one invests alone. ” Our investor club has grown to over 2,600 and invested over $13 million dollars to acquire over $255 million dollars worth of real estate. Please send me referrals for new opportunities so I can use my network to vet and so I can run their numbers through my analyzer. You never know who is that next up and coming operator.

How do you see the current market?

I summarized my feelings of investing in a living article here.

As for my own portfolio (different situation than everyone else) I feel like I am in a tough place. See my current portfolio here. I know MFH the best and know all the underwriting tricks and can underwrite and verify the numbers myself. However, I am very heavy in MFH (over 80%) of everything I have which also includes my SFH assets too. I want asset class diversity but as I move out of my comfort zone (non-MFH) I cannot verify the numbers and have to relight on my network, peers, and mentors more. As a numbers guy, it makes me a little uncomfortable.

I am trying to stick to boring Class C/B deals that are stabilized today and have non-recourse and long-term debt. Although I have gone into a couple deals lately that are Class A and development I consider them unique deals with excellent risk-adjusted returns and I have mentally allocated a portion of my portfolio to higher risk higher return ventures. But we are not talking Bitcoin or start-ups!

In all deals I take a look at I try to assume 10-15% drop in rents and 10-15% increase in vacancies (assume a rocky 3-6 months as A/B class comes down to C/B class).

But again since some people only read some of my content and hear me beating the (Cashflow and Class B/C) Drum… I feel like I have a need to explain myself.

This deal north of Dallas, Texas was Class A, 2018 build which is going to cashflow sooner than a normal class B/C. Normally, I would not go into a class A deal because they don’t do as well in a recession (but I think this one is underwritten to work with 2% rent increases) and there were 13 acres of developable land not included in the pro forma. 

The only reason I’m sort of going against my principles in because of the Land play and how it’s in Dallas growth. I think it’s a really good risk-adjusted return which is why I went in with <5% of my net worth. But it’s more of a higher risk higher return still on the realm of non-recourse fixed long term debt, stabilized, non Development deal. So its nothing too crazy.

The other “non-conforming” deal was an Assisted living deal development which I feel comfortable because the asset class is emerging.

Development of fancy flip homes but amateur hour flippers (who are not W2 engineer/project managers) I will not…

I don’t know what the perfect mix of asset classes but as long as you are in non-retail investments (non-Wall Street) with good people you should be fine.
Join me in the next deal and tell me what deals you are doing – here.
Random sampling of one of our deals:
  • Proforma Avg $734/mo
  • Current Avg $744/mo
  • New units Avg $830/mo

What is a normal IRR?

I am seeing IRRs of 13-15%. When I see deals with 16% plus that are not heavy value add (8K per unit of upgrades) I share my head. I don’t have to look at the numbers to know that they are moving cashflow early to manipulate the IRR calculations. Or smoking something or assuming something like 4% rent increases per year or not assuming a softer market with a small cap rate reversion delta.
2011-2014 was the “golden era of MFH.” LPs need to get off the idea of doubling your money in 5 years as a given… when many of those deals were done without implementing the full business plan of rehabbing most of the units and instead just getting lucky off-market appreciation.
Right now with everyone rushing into the space. Grant Cardone and others are telling people with no job, no track record, with nothing to lose to syndication large apartment building and everyone (myself including), is building up their door counts. I feel like I got into this syndication game in 2015-2016 and started learning about it the right way by actually trying to be an apartment operator myself so I see the whole game played inside and out. I try to stick to the fundamentals (sound assumptions).

  1. After getting into a car accident gives me the opportunity to make some changes – Downgrading Transportation – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/bike/
  2. 118 – Interview with Nick Loper – Side Hustle Nation – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/118-interview-nick-loper-side-hustle-nation/
  3. 119 – Dissecting my Recent Insurance Claims with Ed Babtkis – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/119-dissecting-recent-insurance-claims-ed-babtkis/
  4. Buying or renting? The biggest inhibitor to financial freedom? – WIth Spreadsheet to backup the numbers – *I spent $300 dollars for an editor to get the grammar and spelling right on this article. I am sick and tired of seeing young families make this mistake
  5. 121 – Investing in Coffee Farms with David Sewell – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/coffee
  6. Networking tips page – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/networking
  7. 7/17/2018 – Ask Buck Joffrey with Lane Kawaoka
  8. 6/29/2018 – Cashflow Guys Podcast – Raising Money For Apartments
  9. 122 – Apartment Investing with Michael Blank – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/122-apartment-investing-michael-blank/
  10. Great podcast by Ray Dalio and Tony Robbins discussing the binary economy, relationships, and some ideas I am having to build my investor team – Link
  11. 123 – Why to break-up with your Financial Planner – Interview with Brent Sutherland – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/123-break-financial-planner-interview-brent-sutherland/
  12. Mr Money Mustache the guy who wrote the most famous financial independence blog on this podcast talking a little bit able how he structures his day. Note – I don’t really like these living cheap lifestyles cause often its a little selfish not to pay it forward and to do that you need to go big. I like nice things but I’m pretty frugal.
  13. 124 – Brian Hamrick from the Rental Property Owners Association – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/124-brian-hamrick-rental-property-owners-association/
  14. 125 – Living the FI dream abroad with Jeremy Jacobson from Go Curry Cracker – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/125-living-fi-dream-abroad-jeremy-jacobson-go-curry-cracker/
  15. QRPs (Qualified Retirement Plans) with Damion Lupo – https://youtu.be/fsOy4VrbCrs
  16. 126 – Gino Barbaro talks Apartment Investing – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/126-gino-barbaro-talks-apartment-investing/
  17. 127 – Estate Planning and Asset Protection with Lawyer Andrew Howell – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/127-estate-planning-asset-protection-lawyer-andrew-howell/
  18. Going from “Active-Passive” Investor to an LP in Syndications and Private Placements – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/syndication/
  19. 128 – QRPs, Solo401k the Self Directed IRA Killer with Damion Lupo – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/qrp
  20. Tips for LPs Webinar – email me for link – only for Hui Deal Pipeline Club members
  21. 129 – Matt Theriault – Changing strategies in this market – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/129-matt-theriault-changing-strategies-market/
  22. 131 – Takeaways from FinCon18 and Side Hustle stories – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/131fincon
  23. A cool tool to find the primary ethic group in an area – https://www.nationalgeographic.com/magazine/2018/10/diversity-race-ethnicity-united-states-america-interactive-map/
  24. My notes of the new tax breaks on Opportunity Fund Zones – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/opportunity-fund-zone/
  25. Fort Worth, Texas – 168-Unit Class C MFH (Oct 2018) – Pre-Acquisition Video
  26. Huntsville, AL – 112-Unit Class C MFH (May 2018) – Pre-Acquisition Video
  27. Huntsville, AL – Drive by of a few Quadplexes on my last trip (Oct 2018) – https://youtu.be/0u3PotmxEjc
  28. Atlanta, GA – 114-Unit Class-C MFH  – Deal update – https://youtu.be/8cp0Q-E9gJs
  29. Birmingham, AL – Mid Rehab before selling retail – https://youtu.be/Pd3__1cZJTw
  30. Birmingham, AL – Tour of potential apartment purchase – https://youtu.be/gmMGlZC0lR8
  31. Birmingham, AL – Driving turnkeys and apartments – https://youtu.be/2dTzTiIhu-0
  32. Atlanta. GA – Tour of my rental pre-rehab – https://youtu.be/Yc9KGPhqp_E
  33. SPC133 –  Veteran’s VA Loans & Other Financial Wisdom – https://youtu.be/NmUYUwQaaJk
  34. SPC134 –  Investing in Diamonds – https://youtu.be/M8Fk1rDnJT4article
  35. List of SDIRAs – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/sdira/
  36. Paying down your mortgage faster – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/mortgage/
  37. Hacking your HSA / FSA / Flex Spending accounts – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/hsa
  38. Cost Segregation & Bonus Depreciation – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/costseg/
  39. Testimonials – https://youtu.be/gC0DkCmCyIE
  40. Banking from Yourself webinar -SimplePassiveCashflow.com/bankhttp://SimplePassiveCashflow.com/bank
  41. 135 – Interview – Financial Advice from a Broke Millenial with Erin Lowry – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/135-interview-financial-advice-broke-millenial-erin-lowry/
  42. PITA – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/pita
  43. 136 – Changes in the Residential Lending World with Graham Parham – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/ep136
  44. A resource to dig up dirt on potential vendors/partners – https://gofishdigital.com/
  45. I am going to be planning a wedding 1st half of 2019 so I apologize if I might seem like I am busy some of the time – http://reialoha.com/how-to-get-married-in-hawaii-on-the-cheap/
  46. 138 – Fundamentals – Crypto Currency Basics with Andy Lapointe – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/crypto101
  47. SPC Charity – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/charity2018/
  48. 139 – Optimize liquidity with Your Opportunity Fund – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/ofund

  1. MFH rents are up $2 in August to $1,412, up 3.1% year-over-year and 10 basis points from July. A record high for seven months in a row – Yardi Report – [How long can this increase? Not forever but it is steady expansion. New supply is coming online (300,000) new units this year. Be careful when you read these national reports cause you need to dig into the submarkets]
  2. Renter By Necessity (3.5%) continues to outperform Lifestyle (2.4%) as new supply hinders rent growth of luxury units. [This is why you are seeing Class A rents dip in places like San Fran, Seattle, Chicago]
  3. Economic Expansion: More Room to Run? – “At 3.9 percent, the August 2018 unemployment rate is at an 18-year low. However, it took the jobless rate, which peaked at 10 percent in October 2009, more than seven years to reach the trough of the previous cycle
  4. Deals Pick Up the Pace in Q2 – CPA Executive – [Graph of deal volumes]
  5. Article on Opportunity Fund Zones – Yardi – [Could smart money dumping gains to go into Opportunity Zone Funds causing the sell-off?]
  6. Yardi Report for September 2018 
  7. Freddie Mac Launches Workforce And Targeted Affordable Mezzanine Loans To Strengthen Housing Preservation – BizNow“Strong candidates for the mezzanine programs have experience with affordable housing and a history of transactions with a GSE like Freddie Mac. Mezzanine borrowers are required to pledge a first-priority lien for 100% of equity interests in the senior borrower. Borrowers must also keep at least 80% of the units — including the 50% that are affordable to households making 100% area median income — over the life of the mezzanine loan. Borrowers can’t pay off the mezzanine loan to get out of affordability restrictions.”[Interesting new program which shows how the government is trying to help out the little guy] Additional article.
  8. Apartment Market Has Bright Future at 2018’s Midpoint – MFH Housing News – Delayed marriages, an aging population looking to move out of single-family homes and increasing international immigration are some of the reasons a study from the National Apartment Association (NAA) and the National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) predicts soaring demand for apartments over the next decade-plus. According to the study, 4.6 million new apartment homes will need to be built by 2030 just to meet the demand, the report says.[More and more people are being forced into apartment lifestyles]
  9. MBA: Commercial/Multifamily Originations Up in Second Quarter, on Pace With Year Ago – MBA – “Second-quarter commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations came in 4 percent higher from a year ago and 32 percent higher than the first quarter, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported this morning.” – [Despite some volatility growth is steady]
  10.  Inside the scandal that could explode multifamily real estate – Housing Wire[I have heard of sellers falsifying docs which is why you check rent rolls and follow up with on-site checks. In this case, it was the new buyers. I suspect this is mortgage fraud in order to get the non-recourse debt]
  11.  In this stage of the market cycle, the search is on in Tertiary markets – Forbes – [I’m seeing secondary markets as too hot at this point in the national market cycle]
  12.  Where is the growth going? – ULI – [Very insightful source from a non-biases real estate publication]
  13.  Surviving the Retail Revolution – CP Executive – [Everyone thinks Amazon is going to kill retail (I think mid-range retail like Macy’s is going away) but when everyone thinks one thing that may mean the opposite is true]
  14. My friends in Seattle tell me all the time that the Class A rents are coming down 10-15%…
  15. Looks like the Hedge funds are playing in the Mobile home park space – Bloomberg – [The smart money is starting to flow into MHP space]
  16. Clear Skies for Multifamily Investors – MFH Housing NewsWhile these increases are starting to cause upward pressure on cap rates, apartment values have held relatively steady since tighter occupancy levels are simultaneously causing upward pressure on rental rates. “interest rates ticked up another 25 basis points in June, marking the second time this year that the Fed has raised its fed fund rate. There will likely be two more rate hikes this year, and at least two anticipated in 2019.” 
  17. Self Storage Shakeout Ahead? – CP Executive – [I have been trying to learn different asset classes and so close to jumping into a guru educational program or feeder conference just to get into the group. It’s hard to tell what is the real story but for now, I will just absorb info like a sponge]
  18.  Rising Interest Rates: The Calm Before the Storm? – MFH Housing News – The Federal Open Market Committee announced the second short-term interest rate hike this year, prompting industry professionals to give their take on the possible effects this might have on the lending process. – “There has been talk about the Fed raising rates every three months. The Fed has penciled in two more rate hikes this year—we should expect one more for sure in my opinion.” However, despite rising rates, the yield curve has flattened” [An older article but you can see the clues of what is coming ahead here]
  19. Commercial Property Executive mid-year 2018 – [I have been reading this material (example page 24) and trying to learn about different sectors. Shopping retail is notoriously beat down by Amazon but is that the whole story??? Sounds like opportunity if you know what to look for, also look at pg 66 for self-storage]
  20. July MFH Yardi Report – link
  21. It is no secret that cap rate compression is upon us. But “Rents grew 2.6 percent during the first half. “Those numbers compare favorably to most years except the peak years of the cycle in 2015 and 2016,” – MBA.org
  22. Economists predict the economy will recede by 2020 – Property Management Insider – [Who knows these are headlines just to sell articles]
  23. Discussion on absorption in ABCD classes – https://drive.google.com/open?id=1a5eQ9DpdzC7yQgypj-HEJnYQJwk_2dF_
  24. Latest market data – https://drive.google.com/open?id=19jOAXXt9pkgsgyeZOXtMODc4bE4SrkBx
  25. This is why we use 1.5-2.0% increases in my of our underwriting models – 
  26. An eye on vacancy as we test rents higher
  27. Texas, North Carolina Dominate Fastest-Growing Apartment Markets List – Real Page – [I think these articles are misinterpreted as Dallas is not where smart investors are looking anymore because it is overplayed]
  28. At what point can we put the average consumer? – Arbor – [Rule of thumb is 33% in the previous decade]
  29. June 2018 Yardi Report – [Hints of oversupply in next couple years]
  30. Huntsville brings on Facebook – $750M investment is expected to yield only 100 jobs – Join us on the next deal
  31. Has Our Government Spent $21 Trillion Of Our Money Without Telling Us? – Forbes article
  32. Pools of SFH becoming a real asset class – Arbor Lending Cheatsheet
  33. NY Times – Tax collections would be sufficient to pay about three-fourths of promised Social Security benefits for 75 years.
  34. Looks like the money runs out in 2030
  35. Trade Wars!
    • Tariffs imposed on EU, Mexico, & Canada
    • EU is retaliating with tariffs on US steel, agricultural, and other products
    • Mexico is retaliating with a tariff on US steel and farm products
    • Canada is retaliating with tariffs on US steel, aluminum, and other
    • 6/22, US threatening 20% tariff on European cars
    • 25% Steel, 10% Aluminum, effect will either lead to hoarding of material or less production (loss jobs in USA) Article

    Trump administration adds to China trade pressure with higher tariff plan Reuters

    China Vows It Won’t Back Down After Trump’s Latest Tariff Threat Bloomberg,

    China Says It’s Ready to Retaliate on Latest U.S. Tariff ThreatBloomberg

  36. Dallas and Fort Worth Rents Diverge – BizNow – [The Dumb money has really started to flow into Dallas]
  37. I don’t think rates will really rise much in 2019 – Fox News [But then again it’s a FOX source]
  38. REBusinessOnline: “The commercial real estate industry shouldn’t be worried about rate hikes, which are happening in baby steps,” says Dhawan. “If the cash flows on your properties are there, who cares about the rate hikes? The real thing to worry about is what happens in the interest rate market as a result of trade developments.”
  39. Crowdfunding sites are dropping like flies because I see so many broken links on my simplepassivecashflow.com/crowdfunding directory.
  40. Some of the top 30 U.S. metros over the next five years might be at risk of oversupply – MFH Housing News –  [I keep my eye to units coming online and how it is affecting rent increases]
  41. Time to Step Up the Value-Add Game – MFH News – [Just have to focus on forced appreciation and not just walk into value by just bumping the rents with the market]
  42. Banks still love multifamily deals, but with pricing and rental rates hitting records numbers, they are being more selective – Source –  [Where 1.25 Dept Service Coverage Ration was the standard, no longer is DSCR of 1.20 being accepted] 
  43. The similarities to the years leading up to the “Apartment Recession” of 1972 are eerie – Crowdfunder – [Although coming from a crowdfunding guy and not an operator himself – these guys don’t know the people or the operation]
  44. Life sciences trends report [I don’t know how this relates to picking markets or deals but its really interesting]
  45. 180911 Yardi-Matrix-Monthly-Aug-2018
  46. “Economists report that workers are starting to act like millennials on Tinder: They’re ditching jobs with nary a text” – Seattle Times – [A sign of the times. I can remember when it was 2009 sitting in my work truck at 2am in the morning but being so lucky I had a good job]
  47. 12/11/2018 Forbes – The Yield Curve Just Inverted–Sort Of–And That Is A Sell Signal For Stocks – “the spread between the 2-year and 5-year Treasury notes went negative yesterday, the first inversion of the yield curve since 2007.  Why wasn’t this the top headline in the financial media? Because the 2-year/5-year spread is much less widely followed than the 2-year/10-year spread. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note is the most liquid of the Treasuries and one of the most liquid securities in all of global markets and thus it the true benchmark for interest rate traders.  The 5-year Treasury lies in what is known as the “belly” of the yield curve and attracts far fewer investor dollars than the 10-year.” https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimcollins/2018/12/04/the-yield-curve-just-inverted-sort-of-and-that-is-a-sell-signal-for-stocks/#a6ca4db3eaae
  48. [I do believe that real estate will go down because of consumer instability. But if you have stocks you should sell those before even thinking of lumping it into cashflow type rental real estate.]
  49. ITR Experts Say: Actionable Advice for the 2019 Economic Slowdown – ITR“Be judicious with your capital; conduct a cash-flow assessment plan for proper allocation during the upcoming period of slowing business expansion and weaker topline growth. Continue to focus on talent development but include some redundancy and cross-training initiatives to protect your company in the event that the slowdown becomes a full-blown recession.” [Don’t underwrite any MFH over 2.5% rent increases per year and be prepared to just cashflow a property long term]
  50. The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index monthly reading, an effective measure of home-builder sentiment, was down 13.0% in November 2018 from the November 2017 level, the sharpest year-over-year drop since 2011. – ITR
  51. New US Home Sales, at 42.0 thousand in October, were down 14.3% from the October 2017 level, again the sharpest year-over-year contraction in monthly data since 2011.- ITR
  52. US Existing Home Sales are in recession, down 1.8% during the last 12 months, on average. Existing Sales in October alone, at 5.2 million units, were down 5.1% from October 2017 – ITR – [Look it’s not getting any easier but you definitely can’t sit on the sidelines, get into solid cashflow deals]
  53. US Single Family Housing Permits, which have a short lead time to Starts, are sharply decelerating as well, suggesting that Starts are unlikely to reverse course in the near term.- ITR
  54. Commercial sales weakness – ITR
  55. The first big rollback of Dodd Frank [I don’t really know what huge impact this makes yet]
  56. Apartment construction starts not yet slowing [I am watching for deceleration – seems we are in steady velocity state]
  57. Homeownership very slightly goes up to 64% due to younger people [finally moving out of Mom/Dad’s]
  58. Syndication cartoon video (for those visual learners) – https://drive.google.com/open?id=19_DD4uWbj8vkutJMmi5r2Qw7sKR-R7fD
  59. Syndications comparisons – https://drive.google.com/open?id=1p3OpRBrIHQVPVT1VEQpLZ_rszMCRqnRz
  60. Syndication chart – https://drive.google.com/open?id=19hLpGJnaHzFs5YfiWiBK30Bc3jk1zFa8
  61. May Yardi Report – LinkU.S. multifamily rents rose $4 to $1,381 in May. This represents a 2% year-over-year increase but a 50-basis-point decline from April, as new deliveries took a toll on occupancy rates and growth.
  62. Traders Can Obsess Over Treasury Yields Once Again: Taking Stock – Bloomberg – [A lot of people geek out over divergences and intersection of keystone graphs but I don’t really understand them yet]

 

I made some revisions with new happiness study data.

One of my goals was to do a raise over $1.0M dollars. A lot of people have a few friends and family but to get over the $250-500k mark is difficult.

This past month I did it with the Atlanta Deal ($1.3M raise) and Huntsville deal ($1.3M). Super excited… I think my investor list is large enough so I’m going to focus on getting to know everyone as opposed to getting bigger. My vision is a boutique syndication business where I know everyone. A few of you call me to thanks for saving them from banging their head against the wall as a direct operator and that is really cool to hear the feedback.

Grant Cardone like him or hate him says some pretty spot on stuff. It frustrating that all these SEC rules make it tough for the non-wealthy to get into private placements and therefore people are left with crap. It’s the non-accredited investor that needs into these deals the most and this is what I try to do to contribute back via my mission!

Check out this 42 minute video – might be a little too long for the Bathroom Break. PS. I have a Hawaii custom license plate “10X”. Best twenty bucks I spent all year.

 

Too often passive cashflow is associated with scammy multi-level marketing ploys to get people who don’t have the money in the first place to buy into expensive education systems.

“Hey man… let me tell you about passive cashflow and how you can get rich with little to no effort… do you feel that.. its called entropy man!”

As mentioned before SPC-1.0 is getting into the rental property game, SPC-2.0 is turning into more of a passive investors as I have traded my single family home rentals to more scalable limit partnership positions in syndications, and now after I have cashflow (food on the table) I can take some risks and go after SPC-3.0 which is Simple Passion Income.

Being a working W2 professional I have a soft spot for those in my position. It makes no sense for a computer engineer who has a family and working 50 hours a week at a $200K W2 job to do what is required to become an operational lead on an apartment deal. Doing such would require 12-18 months of relentless work without monetary gain and little success to build relationships with brokers, travel to the markets. and put up hard money to close the deal. I have tried to make a team atmosphere where talented professionals can dip their toes in to “scratch their entrepreneur itch” yet keep their regular salaries.

If I had the time I would make another podcast called “Rescuing the Entrepreneur from the W2.”

All to often the entrepreneurs out there reaching success are not those who possess the skillsets but they just went after it and got lucky. Don’t get me wrong they deserve it because of all the sacrifices but imagine if you combines that grit with talent?

Ikigai is the alignment of doing something that is 1) you passion, 2) makes money, 3) you are good at and 4) good for the world. When you get this its like arranging the Infinity Stones on the gauntlet and a higher level of achievement and happiness.

SPC followers are typically younger than 30 or older than 35. My observation is that when people have kids, that takes all precedence.

It has been really cool traveling and meeting a lot of you.

Interviewing thought leaders and people who write real books!

And being interviewed for the famous Halloween Horror stories with Bob Helms of the Real Estate Guys Radio show. I talked about my fail how I lost $40,000 in my first limited partner deal.

As well as being asked to speak at a few conferences this year.

Another reason my high school was wrong about not letting me take AP English – Forbes: Today’s Best Resources For Finding Renters And Deals by Lane Kawaoka

 

I tried these things this past quarter:

Aerial yoga,

Getting rid of my car

Another reason not to believe the mainstream news. This hurricane never happened. I had two days off work and there was just a little wind and clouds.

Thanks for all the best wishes about the volcano too. I live 500 miles away in Honolulu. But here are some cool photos from the interwebs.

 

 

Although we are a couple months behind on the Ankeny Iowa deal we are making progress with over 50,000 SF of LVT flooring being offloaded for the project – Video

Going to Korea for a week for fun. And the many Mastermind groups meetings!

Pics from our Sonoma Mastermind.

One of the biggest #firstworldProblems I have has been waking up to a billion emails. It’s tough living in HST or Hawaii Standard Time.

I’m serious! Not like when I’m complaining when its a chilly 69 degrees in the morning here… that I’m being sarcastic.

I was always good at having auto filters in Gmail to clear out my inbox each day and move things to such labels like “At home”, “deep thing workshop time”. I recently decided to make a “Calls & Coffee” to auto filter all the useful newsletters (Like Daily Stoic) I read but not get bombarded with in the morning when I have the least patience to absorb. I don’t know if the timing is everything but it is helping me here.

If you are struggling with stress maybe this wil help:

You have a choice…
to be mad or happy
To be irritated or happy
To act with resistance or move forward and embrace the challenge
Its a choice but what is not a choice is that it must get done. The day must get done. The tasks must get done. But in that time the state in which you act (happy sad irritated tired) is your choice

Consciously decide. Get out of autopilot and choose how you want to embrace things.
Only then will you not be a victim

At the end of the day, happiness is a conscious choice. We choose what things mean to us. We assign meanings and labels to the events and circumstances of our lives.

  1. Cap Rate manipulation – How to change a 65% ROI in 5-year deal to 100%
  2. It’s the Lazy-man style for looking at “negative slack” in Microsoft Project Gantt charts
  3. Classic marketing in Syndication portals with fake progress bars to create scarcity
  4. Tired of hearing “I was coming back from church and saw this great 3 bed/2.5 bath”
  5. Recently decided to remove a few videos I had with a previous guess. I feel sorry for the guy because I don’t think he did it intentionally just did not vet the operator.
  6. The pursuit of an entrepreneur dream is not for everyone – It requires an investment in time and money. And whenever you make an investment, you take on risk. In this case its taking time and energy away from a day job that already makes a lot of money.

    In order to get enough critical mass behind an idea to turn into a thriving business, you must devote time, often many years. There are no guarantees that your efforts will be rewarded a lot of time luck is required. This Time Risk is that all of your time will be for nothing.

    The saying “good is the enemy of great” comes to mind here. For many high paid working professional, you make enough money to be happy but part of what we are going for is not the extra wealth but “passion income.” Feeding that entrepreneur itch or as Buck Joffrey says that primal to our core instincts.

Costco has so much cool stuff for sale. And that return policy!

Minimalist Barefoot Sock Shoes

FlightBoard (With geting rid of my car I have more money and need to buy things like this) Although I’m still debating what I should get.

 

Complete #LaneHack list

  1. I did not realize how powerful passive losses as I was able to bring $25,000 to offset my W2 income. 2018 should be very exciting with all the bonus depreciation due to the cost segregations. I paid about 12-16% effective tax rate 😁
  2. Ex-NBA All-Star (Jalen Rose) gives advice on how to handle the financial and social pressures of celebrity and wealth.He explains on his voicemail how he wanted people to identify themselves as 1) Addition 2) Subtractor 3) Divider 4) Multiplier. Some of us are unconsciously subtractors and dividers.
  3. 4 takeaways from my travels in Korea1) Competition – Pretty much everyone goes to not only school but upper education too (university). If you think your neighborhood poly-sci major, Starbucks barista is a little too qualified for the job then in Korea it’s a lot worse. Kids go to school which ends at 3pm and then go to school again which ends at 10-11pm all to get into the best university they can. Talk about highly competitive! Suicide (something I think is going to be a hot topic soon) is high and pressure increases once you land a job… No wonder people go so crazy partying so much when they are finally in college (ages 18-22). Personally I never really thrived much in a competitive environment which is why I’m proud of my 3.1 GPA in engineering school. I think it’s important for us to take account of our situation and identify when we are in a bad situation and do something about it whether it’s where we live, our job, or what we invest in. What I like about investing in private placements is that no one really does it and it has all the benefits of investing but its not quite the hustle and bustle of single family home investing which I think is a lot of noise. People call this the zig zag theory by observing where the most people are going and go in the opposite direction. This is what it did when everyone around me was buying rentals in Seattle where the Rent-to-Value Ratio (More info – https://simplepassivecashflow.com/rv/) did not make sense and I went off the beaten path to buy 100k homes in the midwest. You might simply adopt this in a different way such as working away from where most people commute to save yourself hours in traffic or moving away from the SF bay area and the $14 cold pressed juice that still tastes like Minute Maid ;p If you are starting out investing I would consider not going into apartment investment because every Tom, Dick, Jane, Harry does that… consider self storage, assisted living, or mobile home parks. Ray Dalio discussing the binary economy – Link2) Korea is a Democracy but it’s pretty much a Socialism society where big brother (cameras everywhere) and Old-world-order rules (nail that sticks out gets hammered)3) Speaking of hammers… people like to get hammered with Soju4) Foreshadowing of housing in the USA – Looking at the skyline you see an abundance of what I will call Class B housing. Think 1990s built 20-30 story, 300-400 unit, 500-1100 square foot apartments, max 50 parking spaces due to reliance on public transportation. The trend I believe that the USA will follow as more and more people will live in apartments. Just follow the rise the microhomes and the gradual increase in rent per square foot in comparison to wages and inflation. 5) Binary Economy – Korea/Japan has a noticeable higher level of middle class than China/Thailand/Taiwan as evident as more cars for regular people and not just the Uber rich. In my travels in other Asian countries with wider wealth gaps between upper and lower class (China/Thailand/Taiwan) you can see these binomial economies play out in small things like sushi menus having cheap California-roll and super expensive caviar rolls in the same restaurant. In the USA although there are places the rich people hangout and regular people go the gap is not as clear than in Asia. Cars are seen as luxuries in Asia and are more expensive that the same model in the USA because those who can afford it are Uber rich – they are super rich and don’t care. The same Lululemon pants (I guess this is a luxury) are 100 dollars in the USA and $130 in Asia. 5) Korean K-Pop is a huge thing. Idolization of celebrities is something that is talked about a lot in tin-foil hat (sociology) media as a means to keep the average public’s attention off the increasing wealth divide. The thought is if you are infatuated will what the Kardasians are doing you will not have the attention to see how different taxes and arrangements are benefiting the wealthy. In America, it seems sports athletes are put on this pedestal. Just a theory here again but don’t underestimate the power of K-Pop. At the DMZ border between North and South Korea soft propaganda is playing over the loudspeaker over to the North Korea side. This recently stopped a few months ago due to de escalation but it was reported that one North Korean defector contributed his betrayal to the K-Pop… And he was really hungry.

  1. Look for deals that have more recession proof assets in 2019
  2. Join our group coaching with bi-weekly calls for less than a cell phone bill
  3. Flowstate – Song of the month – Reik – Noviembre Sin Ti

Get in as a [Founding] Group Coaching student!

The group coaching is something that I have been trying to put together a couple years now after I accumulated a lot of content and got a feel for coaching students these past few years in a one-on-one setting – see SimplePassiveCashflow.com/coaching

I’m code naming this project, “The Journey to Simple Passive Cashflow” and it will consist of:

1) 27 weeks of curated content with concepts building on top of each other

2) Participants go through those modules together and are able to interact on the Bi-Weekly Call and the Private Facebook group in a “group study” environment

3) Bi-Weekly hour power calls switch between the topics of a) Acquiring you direct investment and b) more high-level wealth building concepts and syndication education

It’s going to be a really cool format where people take the journey together. Think like a Fraternity/Sorority without the weird stuff. When I was going through programs it was most beneficial to connect and climb the ladder with quality people. Who knows someone of your Cohorts might do a deal together or become lifelong friends or accountability partners.

Still working on the website but here is a survey to get on the waiting list: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf2MXLJlfuQK-PL9_56B9xJ0bHGoDPS1tGq7kkUUGSBnr6BXQ/viewform?usp=sf_link

 

What’s in the Pipeline?

 

% Chance of happening – Details – Timing:

1) Currently open for investors – 101-Unit Class C in Gulfport MS

2) 30% – MFH Apartment

3) 90% – Finally a Non-MFH fund syndication (where I do the admin/accounting) to lower costs and get higher prefs and lower minimal investments. Q2 2019

 

Unlock additional info by joining the Hui – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/club

 

Events:

January 17-19 – Online – Use code “LANE” for a discount at MFINSummit.com

February 16 – Honolulu, Hawaii – Use code “SPC” for a discount at infinityinvestinghawaii.com

March 1-2 – Scottsdale, AZ – Titans of Multi-Family Real Estate – wealthformulaevents.com

March 14-17 – Los Angeles – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/mastermindtony

Current investors in past deals let’s meet up when you are in Hawaii.  Non-investors you can still kick it with Lane

 

The Hui Deal Pipeline Club is a free investor club where I filter investments and underwrite the numbers and partners myself. Unlike other investor lists and groups, my investors have personal access to me and know that I personally have skin in the game investing alongside with my investors.

 

We have acquired over $155 Million dollars of real estate acquired by syndicating over $13 Million Dollars of private equity since 2016.

 

Track Record of success:

15 Apartments Buildings Purchased, 2 Manufactured Home developments, and an Assisted-Living Facility

2,100+ total units

10 US Markets – AL, GA, IN, OK, LA, IA, TX, WA, PA, MO

Started investing in 2009 – 9 years of experience

Countless Mastermind and Mentorships in the Live & Virtual clubs through the education platform at SimplePassiveCashflow.com

2,600 investors and 100 new Kool-Aid drinkers every month!

#1 – 2018.09 – The SPC GreenSheet

Investor Letter #1 & My Journey to SPC

2018 Q3 @$5,400/Mo

Get the uncut version by signing up for the Hui Deal Pipeline Club

Side topics:

Getting frustrated at W2

What are we talking about “Metric?”

What I don’t like about engineers

New Podcasts & Articles:

Not ‘Faux’ News [Lane’s Real Talk]:

  • May Yardi Report – LinkU.S. multifamily rents rose $4 to $1,381 in May. This represents a 2% year-over-year increase but a 50-basis-point decline from April, as new deliveries took a toll on occupancy rates and growth.

I don’t care about politics but lets understand what’s happening…

Everyone saw Trump shaking hands with KJO from North Korea

For nearly 20 years, U.S. foreign policy has been dominated by military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Fighting two wars made it necessary to make deals with other nations to secure key strategic military placement (ie bases in Turkey).

Everything is connected and when you become aware of this the world’s events make sense.

Turkey attacked the Kurds because they knew the U.S. would value the air bases in Turkey over supporting the Kurds.

Russia annexed Crimea because they knew we wouldn’t intervene militarily (Obama would not send more troops).

China built island naval bases in order to expand their military presence.

When the cat’s away the mice play…

Seeing the end game, Russia seized Crimea because they correctly calculated that Obama would not put U.S. troops into yet another battlefield.

Trump’s policy is more independent and less reliant on other countries.

When Saudi Arabia recently petitioned the U.S. for military support, Trump told them to pay for it.

When the UN voted against U.S. agendas, Trump told them that the U.S. would review the support and money it gives to countries that consistently work against the U.S.

One could describe this as hardball. It works in a lot of real estate deals when the winner is the party that is willing to walk away first. Who knows if it will work in world politics???

Right now the US economics look good and rents continue to raise at a steady pace (although not expected to mimic the growth in 2014-2016).

Although we all shake our heads at stories like this…

Call it a flashback but Subprime mortgages are bank except with a new name, “non-prime.”

“allow … borrowers to have FICO credit scores as low as 500 … can take out loans of up to $1.5 million … can also do cash-out refinances … up to $500,000. Recent credit events, like a foreclosure, bankruptcy or a history of late payments are acceptable.”

Other stories remind us of the big picture…

Trump signs bipartisan bill rolling back some Dodd-Frank bank regulations – Los Angeles Times, 5/24/18

“Community banks, which enjoy broad support among Republicans and Democrats, will be freed from Dodd-Frank’s mortgage rules if they make fewer than 500 mortgages a year.”

This unraveling of Dodd-Frank with make lending easier, which is awesome for real estate investors.

Interest rates:

 

Link to Hui’ Google Drive – Treasure Trove of Real Estate Investing Goodies!

 

Hacking my 6 needs

  1. Growth: Revamped my messaging to you. I will start doing these monthly tailored messages.

 

New initiative: Per the advice of my new health advisor (who said “my VO2 max sucks”) I an starting the day with 5-10 rounds of high intensity calisthenics to get my heart rate over 140 bpm. This should be done in 5 minutes and continue in the fasted state after. Recently I paid for a health MD. It’s cool because he took my blood biomarkers, did a DNA sample, and gave me a supplement plan. We get together and chat about how things are going with Dex scans and VO2 max readings (think Gatorade commercials with Lance Armstrong with the mask on while biking). It cost a couple thousand dollars but I figure it can’t hurt. Your health is wealth. He sold me when he said “MD’s are normally idiots” (He is an MD himself).

 

Morning time supplements:

Simplepassivecashflow/latte

Vitamin D3 – 5000iu

Omega 3 – 2g

Vitamin K2 – 1g

Alpha Liponic Acid – 1

Multivitamin – 3

DHEA – 1

CoQ10 – 1

Zanthosyn (Astaxanthin) – 12mg

Anastrozole – 0.5mg

 

Evening time supplements:

Melatonin – 3mg – PM

Zinc Magnesium – 2g

Zanthosyn (Astaxanthin) – 12mg

2. Contribution: I interviewed four candidates for a job. I don’t know if I will work with any of them but I feel like I definitely helped them get where they need to go. Apply here.

3. Significance: Mailing out 160 books (email me for final twenty) and spoke at two events and gave out books there. I also wrote my first Forbes article.

4. Uncertainty: Doing a syndication in a new area in a new partnership. Finishing up two flips (38k & 21k) in Atlanta and will put on market $oon.

5. Certainty: I got bonus depreciation on my K1 and got first distribution checks from Syndications per plan. Also got paid back on a 2nd lien private money loan I did on a flip. And replenished money back into investinahp.com right before the 12% fund closed. A lot of my deals are starting to get cashflow now.

6. Love/Connection: Helped out a few people locally at my meetup get out of a tough legal situation with a lawyer referral. Hosted a mastermind meeting with like-minded people. We had whiskey it was good fun and I think I will continue. I realized part of the reason I don’t like my W2 job is that I am surrounded by W2 mindsets and I too am a product of my peer group.

 

Distractions/Barriers/Noise/Resistance:

What I need help on: More time – need to add staff or I will just continue to be a super employee of one. Join my team!

Lessons learned:

#LaneHack – I use a lot of Gmail inbox labels. Here are some great suggestions in this article.

https://hustletostartup.com/organize-gmail/

I especially like the one about filtering all emails that have the keyword “unsubscribe” which are likely to be things trying to sell me things.

It’s not all about Money:

Flowstate – Song of the month – Avicii Bromance – Avicii died this past month 🙁 – Sign up for the Club to download 😉

Be ready for the best sunset and sunrise captures: https://sunsetwx.com/

Join the club and find out what the easter egg is…

My turnkeys for sale – 2019

Update 1/2/2019…

Thank you for your preliminary inquiry. 

Please submit to me a signed and scanned, Letter of Intent with your Highest and Best Offer. And the name of your property inspector so we can coordinate a showing.

I don’t really have an asking price cause I’m too busy to figure it out. Go ahead an put in your offer assuming items are in stabilized order. If there are any glaring issues we can deduct it and get the deal done. The 5th ave, I just put in 15K of work this past month… it can be sold retail or you can turn it into a turnkey. You are basically buying it from a source (me) where I’m not trying to screw you on the deal and I try to manage issues that come up with the property as efficiently as possible. 

And sorry I will not divulge how much leverage I have on this property because it is respectfully, none of your business. Also, I will not be doing seller financing (There were a couple of you who asked). Maybe you asked because it is a past joke of which you tell people “between the lines” to go screw off when someone has a ridiculous price and you inquire about seller financing. Sort of like when you don’t get selected for a job and they tell you they will “put your resume in the file.” Anyway it made me chuckle 😁

 I am taking the equity that I built up and is now lazy – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/roe

 

 

 

After selling 7 out of 11 of my turnkeys in 2018 and blowing up my AGI… I am looking to sell the last four in 2019!

Two of my Turnkeys in Alabama are good pickups for you turnkey buyers.

I’m not desperate to sell (so don’t give me anything 10% off fair price)… that’s just annoying and wasting everyone’s time. I think I try to be transparent with everyone that these are solid properties with nothing hidden issues. The neat thing about buying from me is that you know that they are proven assets with a decreased change of buying a dud. Plus you can use my team in place so it would be very turnkey.


I’m hoping we can do a direct sale and save on the commission costs. 

1) 509 20th Ave, Birmingham, Alabama – my most solid rental of all. Still with a renter in there since 2016. Rents are $875 a month.

2) 2109 5th NE, Birmingham, AL 35215 – tenant moved out a few months ago and we were rehabbing it with $20K of upgrades. Video



Here are the comps (sold properties within half mile of the subject property ).. https://galmls.paragonrels.com/publink/default.aspx?GUID=54d00a6d-9dc1-4c16-b02e-5f2543e09723&Report=Yes%20%20%20

The average price per square foot is 78.26 you home has 1,008+/- square footage so $78,886.08 for retail sale. But this is a freshly rehabbed. Our plan is to wait till spring February to sell to buyer.

I would encourage you to get your own inspector ($300) and we can split the lawyer fees to sell with title warranty and do the paperwork.

Square Feet Address Year Built 2017 Rent 8/2017 Zestimate 2016 Market 2017
Zestimate
2017
Rent Zestimate
Zillow Link 2017 RentOmeter
AVERAGE
2017 RentOmeter
MEDIAN
Rentometer Link Roofstock list
1,250 509 20th ave NE, Birmingham AL 35215 1961           875       63,000       78,100       71,640 900   https://www.zillow.com/homes/509-20th-ave,-Birmingham-al_rb/ 580 596 https://www.rentometer.com/results/jkHxCQjT0Zg       75,251
1,750 2109 5th NE, Birmingham, AL 35215 1971           921       65,355       71,003 850   https://www.zillow.com/homes/2109-5th-NE,-Birmingham,-AL-35215_rb/ 575 583 https://www.rentometer.com/results/lZjeuNbvaIY       94,071

I spent a lot of time driving Birmingham. Let me know if you would be interested in joining me on a trip out there.

And if you are looking for the latest referrals to turnkey companies let know… if you are in the club.

 

Our 2018 Charity: Choose Love for Our Students

Teachers are good people but man do they not make any money!

Often times they have to pull money out of their own pocket to pay for things the School District cannot afford.

We decided to change that!

The DonorsChoose listing link.

Later that day…

We definitely scored one for the kids!

Here is what we got for the kids:

DonorsChoose.org was a little slow (and ~$200 of fees) the goodies arrived!

My students need supplies to support our Choose Love movement, a social emotional program that teaches children how to choose love in all different situations. We need clipboards, pillows, answer buzzers and much more.

My Students

My students are active, fun loving and excited to learn. They love hands on activities that allows them to engage in building and teamwork with one another. They come to class ready to learn and are eager to share their ideas with each other.

We continue to work together to build a community within our classroom that encourages each other to grow and learn from one another.

Its important that all students have a voice and that we as educators understand all of our students needs. We promote a learning environment that builds a culture within the classroom of love and understanding through learning. Every year I am blessed to have a loving and engaging group of students that encourage me to keep learning along side of them.

My Project

Our school is focusing on our Choose Love Movement this year. This social emotional program is encouraging students to choose love in all different types of situations. The program focuses on 4 components, courage, gratitude, forgiveness, and compassion. With the materials from this project, I am creating a Choose Love corner for my students to use as a space to express themselves honestly with no judgement or fear.

This Choose Love Corner is helping to “cultivate optimism, resilience, and personal responsibility” in all students.

I really want to encourage my students from an early age, a healthy way to express their emotions. A main focus of the corner will be the rug where students can take their Choose Love journals and share about anything they are feeling both at home and at school. The emphasis of the rug is also about different traits that I am hoping to instill in my students as well. Many of the items will be used by the students to make them feel comfortable sharing things in their journal that they may not feel comfortable talking about.

I am hoping that if we can teach students from an early stage and provide them with the life skills of coping with situations, it will continue to encourage a happier and stronger learning environment for all students.

Resources: Tax Deductions and Charites

Updates:

 

2017 – Charity – Relay For Life

 

 

2019 Launch

SPC followers are typically younger than 30 or older than 35. My observation is that when people have kids, that takes all precedence.

 

Launch 2019 with a 50-minute goals brainstorming session.

(we will not be talking real estate investing – the second half of the presentation will be our 2018 Quarterly recap – this will likely take us another hour… please stay if you can or listen on slient)

Here is the editable worksheet to follow along link

Topic: https://simplepassivecashflow.com/2019-launch/
Time: Jan 5, 2019 9:00 AM Pacific Time (US and Canada)

Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/955861870

One tap mobile
+16699006833,,955861870# US (San Jose)
+16465588656,,955861870# US (New York)

Dial by your location
        +1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose)
        +1 646 558 8656 US (New York)
Meeting ID: 955 861 870

***I will assign accountability partners to those who join us and would like to participate.

Want to join us in person in LA? Check out the details here.

Download of “Action Board” guide

Here are some shallow things that I am shooting for in the next two years…

 

 

 

DO NOT READ BELOW THIS LINE!

____________________________________________

5 things you accomplished in 2018?

Move around… do 10 push up, jumping jacks, squats!

5 more things you accomplished in 2018? Reflecting and celebrating the wins in 2018

Top 3 things that were impossible?

What did you do to make those three things possible?

[Health: Get to 155lbs]

[Wealth: Get rid of all turnkeys, do fund]

[Relationships: Create community]

[Personal (skill, hobby, enjoy?): Find something new and fun]

SMART check? Specific – Measurableble – Attainable – Realistic – Timely

On the last day of 2019… I will be immensely satisfied when I…

[Get down to 155 lbs and raised $3M in fund]

If it does not scare you bit… Its not high enough.

If you accomplish it what will it give you?

[A level that I can maintain and focus on quality.]

In TEN YEARS… I will be immensely satisfied when I…

[$25k passive a month with still being able to interact with a person a day.]

“We over estimate what we can do in one year and underestimate what we can do in ten years” -Tony Robbins

5 things you did NOT accomplished in 2018?

[Weight goals
Find a new hobby outlet
Operate in a less frantic mode]

Why not?

1) Disconnect
2) surrogate to accomplish the same why
3) used the wrong strategy
4) lacked knowledge/resources/people
5) you took the easy way
6) crabs in a bucket (peer group)

Creating the plan…

Break down the goal in four chunks:

1) Complete routine of activity 3 days a week
2) Evaluate progress in March 1
3) Possible add 4/5th day of activity
4) Evaluate progress in June 1 and at that point address diet

3 People hack: 1 person above you, at your level, and below you that you mentor

Setup environment

Four tendencies: upholder, rebel, questioner, obliger

Rewards

Taking action

Scheduling in the calendar (not recurring cause it won’t be special)

Every two weeks review big goals

Would you like an accountability partner?

 

Most of you folks are hard-charging achieving types who listen to my podcast at 2X speed. For once you need to stop that just for this exercise.

Set the timer for 20-40 minutes and get into the right State.

Getting into this State is critical. Music, a little wine, whatever floats your boat…

Get a pen, paper, (or your computer/mobile device) and a quiet space and here we go…

 

https://simplepassivecashflow.com/book-club-tax-free-wealth/

 

Get in as a [Founding] Group Coaching student!

The group coaching is something that I have been trying to put together a couple years now after I accumulated a lot of content and got a feel for coaching students these past few years in a one-on-one setting – see SimplePassiveCashflow.com/coaching

I’m code naming this project, “The Journey to Simple Passive Cashflow” and it will consist of:

1) 27 weeks of curated content with concepts building on top of each other

2) Participants go through those modules together and are able to interact on the Bi-Weekly Call and the Private Facebook group in a “group study” environment

3) Bi-Weekly hour power calls switch between the topics of a) Acquiring you direct investment and b) more high-level wealth building concepts and syndication education

It’s going to be a really cool format where people take the journey together. Think like a Fraternity/Sorority without the weird stuff. When I was going through programs it was most beneficial to connect and climb the ladder with quality people. Who knows someone of your Cohorts might do a deal together or become lifelong friends or accountability partners.

Still working on the website but here is a survey to get on the waiting list: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf2MXLJlfuQK-PL9_56B9xJ0bHGoDPS1tGq7kkUUGSBnr6BXQ/viewform?usp=sf_link

 

What’s in the Pipeline?

 

% Chance of happening – Details – Timing:

1) Currently open for investors – 101-Unit Class C in Gulfport MS

2) 30% – MFH Apartment

3) 90% – Finally a Non-MFH fund syndication (where I do the admin/accounting) to lower costs and get higher prefs and lower minimal investments. Q2 2019

 

Unlock additional info by joining the Hui – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/club

 

Events:

January 17-19 – Online – Use code “LANE” for a discount at MFINSummit.com

February 16 – Honolulu, Hawaii – Use code “SPC” for a discount at infinityinvestinghawaii.com

March 1-2 – Scottsdale, AZ – Titans of Multi-Family Real Estate – wealthformulaevents.com

March 14-17 – Los Angeles – SimplePassiveCashflow.com/mastermindtony

Current investors in past deals let’s meet up when you are in Hawaii.  Non-investors you can still kick it with Lane

 

The Hui Deal Pipeline Club is a free investor club where I filter investments and underwrite the numbers and partners myself. Unlike other investor lists and groups, my investors have personal access to me and know that I personally have skin in the game investing alongside with my investors.

 

We have acquired over $155 Million dollars of real estate acquired by syndicating over $13 Million Dollars of private equity since 2016.

 

Track Record of success:

15 Apartments Buildings Purchased, 2 Manufactured Home developments, and an Assisted-Living Facility

2,100+ total units

10 US Markets – AL, GA, IN, OK, LA, IA, TX, WA, PA, MO

Started investing in 2009 – 9 years of experience

Countless Mastermind and Mentorships in the Live & Virtual clubs through the education platform at SimplePassiveCashflow.com

2,600 investors and 100 new Kool-Aid drinkers every month!

Hacking your HSA / FSA / Flex Spending accounts

Paying ~2% fees per year on my Health Saving Account driving me crazy that I withdraw it and invest cash.

 

I’m going to start out by saying please do not take this as legal/tax advice!

One rule I follow is “pigs get fat but hogs get slaughtered.”

But if there is a tax code or loophole within reason/ethical good faith you should exploit it as much as possible.

In 2017, I purchased a half acre in a turnkey Coffee farm in Panama in my Health Savings Account (HSA) for about $15,000.

HSA’s are truly awesome! You add money to an account tax-free (like a pre-tax 401k), don’t get taxed on the gains (like any retirement account), and you don’t have to pay taxes when you use it on Eligible Health Expenses (like a RothIRA).

You need a High Deductible health plan to be eligible for an HST. I’m going to get a little political here… health costs are on the rise because it bails people out for not being accountable (good diet, sleeping habits, stress, and exercise program). The company famous for the yellow Twinky bars cited rising health cost as their reason for going bankrupt… go figure.

You WILL have health expenses, MAY have retirement expense… in other words, you will likely die and have health expenses before you retire. So it makes sense to fund an HSA account before any 401K, Roth IRA, IRA, etc.

Here is some information for your entertainment purposes to see what you can start to use your HSA for:

USA Today article

More resources

Getting a doctor to sign off on your medical purchase as necessary will need a template:

Sample Letter of Medical Necessity for Hyperhidrosis Treatment

[Date]
[Insurer name]
Attn: [Name of individual]
[Address]

re: [Patient name]
[Policy number]

Dear [Insurer name]:

I am writing on behalf of [Patient name] to document the medical necessity of [insert treatment option here] for the treatment of hyperhidrosis. This letter provides information about the patient’s medical history and diagnosis and a statement summarizing my treatment rationale.

Hyperhidrosis, or excessive sweating, is a medical condition that can have a devastating effect on a patient’s quality of life, causing physical discomfort, secondary skin problems, social/emotional  sequelae such as anxiety and depression, and disruption of occupational and daily activities. This has certainly been true for [Patient name], who has been impacted by hyperhidrosis for [insert duration of symptoms here].  Specifically, [he or she] has had difficulties with [insert quality-of-life, social/emotional and/or career/daily living problems here].

[Discuss patient’s diagnosis, treatment history, and degree of illness]

[Insert patient’s name] has tried the aforementioned therapies thus far without success and I, therefore,  recommend [insert treatment option here] as the next logical choice for treating [his or her]   hyperhidrosis.

In light of this clinical information, and this patient’s condition, [insert treatment option here] is medically necessary and warrants coverage. Please contact me at [(000) 000-  0000] if you require additional information.

Sincerely,
[Physician’s name]

Here is what I put together to get massages for stress from dealing with SPC listeners who don’t listen to the podcasts before booking a call or people who don’t take action:

[2018.11.8]
[Insurer name]
Attn: [Lane Kawaoka’s HSA servicer]
[Address]

re: [Lane Kawaoka]
[Policy number]

Dear [Insurer name]:

I am writing on behalf of Lane Kawaoka to document the medical necessity of massage for the treatment of mental stress and muscular discomfort. This letter provides information about the patient’s medical history and diagnosis and a statement summarizing my treatment rationale.

“Mental stress and muscular discomfort”, is a medical condition that can have an effect on a patient’s quality of life, causing physical discomfort, secondary skin problems, social/ emotional sequelae such as anxiety and depression, and disruption of occupational and daily activities.  Specifically, he has had difficulties with discomfort performing his duties at work and exercise routine [insert quality-of-life, social/emotional and/or career/daily living problems here].

[Discuss the patient’s diagnosis, treatment history, and degree of illness]

Lane Kawaoka came into the office in early 2018 where we ran a cardiovascular and blood assessment.

Lane Kawaoka has tried the aforementioned therapies thus far without success and I, therefore, recommend massage as the next logical choice for treating him.

In light of this clinical information, and this patient’s condition, massage is medically necessary and warrants coverage. Please contact me at [(000) 000-0000] if you require additional information.

Sincerely,
[Physician’s name]

Hui Mastermind – Tony Robbins Seminar

Get a future UPW discount by signing up here. Check out our Hui pre-trip briefing video so you are properly prepared for the trip.

 

Pics from the Event:

 

 

 

We are forming a mini group mastermind like the last one in Sonoma.

I attended it in 2016 and again in LA in 2019 and it was the inspiration behind my story in my book.

I’m normally not an excitable person (there is a lot of jumping around and dancing – which I’m not too big of a fan) but this UPW event the real deal!

Pricing (Sign up here to get the best pricing)

General Admission tickets-regular price $1095-current price 2 tickets for $1095 or through me only 1 ticket for $547.50

Executive ticket-regular price $1395-current price 2 tickets for $1395 or through me only 1 ticket $697.50

VIP ticket-regular price $1695-current price 2 tickets for $1695 or through me only 1 ticket at $847.50

Diamond ticket-regular price $2395-save $500 through me only $1895 at this time

Diamond Premiere-regular price $2995- save $500 through me only $2495 at this time

Here is the direct link to Tony’s website.

I suggest bringing an accountability buddy or significant other. The worse thing is to come back to normal life without someone speaking the same “language” around you.

I see these motivational events as “baths” which you need to take from time to time. Even if you are someone who is internally motivated, this will take you to another level.

Why join the Hui:

  1. Learn the framework to be happy – best video segment ever
  2. Connect with people like minded
  3. You will leave this event changed – as silly as it sounds “things will never be the same”
  4. This event will be held in a smaller venue (12,000 people) which I was really excited about when I was planning this because it is a lot better environment than the normal sports arena setting where everyone is captive in their rows.
  5. You get to walk on burning coals!
  6. Learn more about the event here – note the LA event is not yet listed

Details are still being formed but we will likely get upgraded one or two levels if we come in as a large group. 

I am also arranging for a Monday decompression meeting to connect with other investors who attended from the Hui.

This event is more for personal development than investing. But it is certainly investing in yourself! After all… getting the passive cashflow is Simple but what you do after is the hard part.

I don’t personally guarantee investments because of course there is always a risk but I WILL guarantee your ROI if you come to this event! Call me and I will share my experience.

See what Tim Ferriss says about this event (last quarter of the end of video)

Trust me it’s going to be amazing!

After going in 2016, I made these goals in 2017. Some of which happened so of which I overshot.

2019 Takeaways:

Less urgency with more systems

Barriers- peers around to do the same things, 

What needs to shift what actions… Deciding how to do this

Why will you live in a beautiful state everyday no matter why?

Life is too short
It is a slippery slope backwards
In the end a beautiful state is what we are after anyway not money, house, job or relationships. 
I have control over this… Potential => Actions => results => belief/concerns

Flavors of reaction: 

Three things that cause suffering the fear of 1) loss 2) less 3) never have something

Suffering => appreciation => joy

You will make more money if you are in a better state.

Two things that I did to start investing to go bigger – 1) started something that could be better and connect with others and build a platform to have larger impact. I made small changes and found models and copied and got around the right people and slowly built 2) started paying to learn

 

 

So you are in!

Preparing for your first Unleashed the Power Within Seminar:

1) Come with an open mind.

2) Make a list of a few limiting beliefs. Everyone has these. Some common examples are I am not achieving what I want because… (I’m to young, too old, never went to college, a woman, I’m brown, I did not come from money). These are the things that subconsciously hold us back. What are limiting belief’s here are some softer examples and they range to not being a certain race, not having the right education, not being tall enough, to not being good at math.
3) Prepare to tackle your biggest, hairy, huge goals.
4) Tony will bring it. He drops the F-bomb a lot. Mostly for shock value as again it is entirely on purpose. Note: he gives free tickets to some troubled kids and he tries to speak to a lot of the kids in the first few minutes who likely have never have heard him before.
5) Prepare to dance your ass off. Even if you can’t dance/hate to dance/have no legs… You will still want to dance. Get in that “puppy pit”.  For goodness sake… Live like you don’t give a fuck. Get comfortable with being uncomfortable. Dance because if only it is you trying to do something different.
6) Joseph McClellan will speak on day two and day four.  He is a good speaker too. This is not a 5k seminar so you do not get four days of Tony… Its a fraction of that.
7) Be prepared to show up early and go long. Like 8 am to 2 am long. Stay as close to the convention as possible it will be crazy leaving when everyone else does. Don’t try to skip out. If you are getting tired you are letting circumstances control you instead of your leading your state! It is often in the moments when you are close to your limits that the biggest breakthroughs happen, so don’t sell yourself short.
8) Firewalking is real. I thought it was a party trick when I did it and did NOT get into state. You can do it and you will remember it for the rest of your life. This will be trumped by day 3 transformation evening showcase.
9) Taking your spouse or buddy? It’s good that you will be on the same page when you get back to real life but consider not sitting together for part or all of the seminar. There is a lot of value to connecting with others there and getting outside of your normal conventions.  Don’t be afraid to talk to some people. Volunteers, there are a wealth of information about what’s coming next and what to do. You can be your true self when you don’t know the other person as they don’t know you or have any expectations of who you “should” be. Here is what the staff told me “It is highly suggested, but not mandatory, for family members, friends and colleagues to not sit with each other.  We find it that you end up “playing full out” with strangers than with people you know.
10) I would take notes and more importantly brainstorm action items and implantation plans.
11) Drink the kool-aide. Be all in. Dance, scream, visualize. Show up on time and stay till the end. Get your money’s worth. Do it! It’s worth it.
12) Tony is on another level in terms of hypnosis that makes NLP obsolete. Go with it.
13) Try to sit in the aisle so you can mix and mingle. This makes it easier to run out for a quick bathroom break. You will have to be in there a little earlier like 30 minutes scheduled to start. Also, try and find the bathroom that no one uses for quicker usage. don’t wash your hands it’s faster… Jk.
14) Read/listen to any of his books or audio program
15) Check out what is on YouTube e.g. his TED Talk
15) Watch I Am Not Your Guru on Netflix
16) Six Human Needs and Triad are the core of his work you can learn more in his TED Talk or on his website
17) If you’re not in the right state, not getting it, not feeling right etc. ask any of the leaders and trainers for help, they are amazing resources and have been through it so many times before so have seen, heard and experienced it all before.
18) Subscribe to UPW Facebook group for the event
19) On day two make a list of things you will Stop doing

20) You may not want to commute to and from the event as the event starts early in the morning and end late night.  The first night may end after 12 midnight.

What to bring to the Seminar

1) A heavy jacket or even blanker – Tony keeps the room extremely cold on purpose. It’s all part of his magic. Embrace it.
2)  You will be jumping for hours. No heels or dress shoes. The only type of shoes you should be wearing are tennis/keds/flats/basketball shoes. Most people will wear causal or gym type attire.
3) Don’t just bring snacks. Bring meals. I’m talking fruit, nuts, hummus, veggies, crackers, granola bars, etc. If you don’t, prepare to race 10,000 other people to be in front of the food line. Post-mates/Uber eats can be a good healthy option. If you are so compelled fast for the four days – and start the literal cellular autophagy – as you will learn the pain is all in your mind!
4) Notebook

Post-event:

1) Give yourself a couple of extra days after the event to catch up on sleep, decompress, review your notes, absorb and process what you learned and make a plan for how you will integrate changes in your life.  You will be tempted to plan to rush back into “life” straight afterward but to allow yourself to recover and to successfully integrate your learnings you need to give yourself a little time. There will be some discussion on this on the fourth day.
2) Stay tuned… I will plan an event Monday morning or Sunday evening.
I’ll try to get some of the following

Hot hands

Bars
Water
Bags
Jerky
Nuts

Official Event Info

Thursday: 11:30am – 10:30pm
Friday: 8:30am – 10:30pm
Saturday: 8:30am – 11:30pm
Sunday: 9:00am – 7:00pm
Outside food and beverages are not permitted in the LACC Center
with the exception of sealed bottled water and sealed light snacks.
Light snacks include single-serving items that would be consumed
by one person. For example, granola bars, protein bars, bags of
chips, crackers, beef jerky or whole fruit, etc. Empty refillable water
bottles are permitted and can be refilled on the main concourse at
LACC Center’s drinking fountains. Coolers and grocery bags are not
permitted in the LACC Center.

131 – Takeaways from #FinCon18 and Side Hustle stories

 

Just got back from FinCon2018!

 

What’s that?

A pretty impressive event. Its where 2000 financial bloggers, you-tubers, and podcasts this year gathered around all this money.

In 2006, I started reading financial blogs. Sole of my favorite was getrichslowly, Wallet Hacks, and of course mr money mustache. FinCon started in 2011 with just a couple hundred people.

Real estate investing is a minority. 95% of people are debt adverse and about the 4% rule. Buying cash so so debt. Living small is selfish? Make 150k a year and retire when you are 35…

The Millionaire Next Door book is not the type of lifestyle I would like to live.

A lot of financial advisors which I don’t really like.

I am cool with how it is enough to be happy and content.

Other Findings:

New investment account that incorporates mobile interfaces and suto-AI. Mint app has click to invest and banking apps have click to refi. It’s a little dangerous.

A cool 5% instant liquidity online savings bank that invests in inventory loans. Let me know and I can connect you with that as I try to do more due diligence on my own.

Liberty health share – religious-based health insurance

Side gigs – consistent theme from high performing growth mindset W2 employees who are not getting fulfillment at their bureaucratic day jobs.

Interviews to follow in video…

Please share this with friends because if you don’t soon you won’t have any friends to have mid-day lunch with when you not doing anything
Interview 1: Michael – Financiallyalert.com –
Interview 2: Spendlessgreen.com
Interview 4: Alex – http://dailyps.com & nguonline.com

Hui Deal Pipeline Club Shareholders & Investors Mastermind


Everyone was encouraged to mingle and specifically sit with a different person on each bus trip and venue switch.

Your network is your net worth… and this will be a “high-target” environment.

We will learn from each other and connect with other high-level investors that you will climb the ladder together.

Some questions that might come to mind is why are we traveling offsite, for so long, and in a bus like little children?

As much as the private bus concept sounds like “captivity” to adults… relationships formed on the bus will be invaluable.

One of the goals of the Hui Deal Pipeline Club was to create a group of investors crowdfunding due-dilligence to find the best means and methods.

Topics covered:

  1. Asset protection
  2. Scaling your portfolio
  3. Roundtable mastermind format

Schedule:

10am meet at HopMonk in Novato
10:00-11 Drive to Buena Vista

11-12:30 Buena Vista Winery – tour, tasting, lunch https://yelp.to/qTKq/9jF7zlz1AQ
12:30-1 Drive to valley of the moon
1-2:15 Valley of the Moon https://yelp.to/qTKq/AezMXT20AQ
2:15-2:30 Drive to highwayman
2:30-3:45 Highwayman Tasting Room https://yelp.to/qTKq/LIPoTCcZAQ

3:45-4:15 Back to HopMonk

4:30-6:30 Dinner and mingle

Why invest in MFH

MFH is the obvious choice when it comes to jumping into syndications because it is the shorted logical leap for a single family home investor.

Here are some other reasons:

  1. We need more housing for class-C and class-B renters due to population increasing and rising interest rates
  2. Inflation favor hard assets
  3. We are no longer a buying nation we rent (think millennials)

    [This is the millennial version… cause they can’t seem to afford (or want) to own anything]

  4. The government is trying their best to incentive investors – Follow the money people!
  5. 2018 tax changes with bonus depreciation make it better for projects like large apartments to get better tax treatment than ever before via a cost segregation.
  6. The country needs 4.6m new apartments by 2030 (Source). We need more class C and B housing. Our country is becoming more like Asian Countries where the is a bigger divide in the wealth gap and need for low-income communities.

Market Indicators:

  1. Large employers or job growth
  2. Population increasing
  3. Rent increases
  4. Occupancy/Vacancy stabilized

Typical business plan (3D example here):

  1. 60+ units or more to get economies of scale and to have dedicated staff on site
  2. 1970-1980s Class B or C buildings
  3. Utilize Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac Non-Recourse debt with up to 12-year loan terms
  4. Buy right – rehab units with $2,000-8,000 per unit – reposition by improving operations and stabilizing rents for exit
  5. Property cashflows day one after purchase
  6. Re-brand (new signage and online presence)

Value-add:

  1. Poor existing property management
  2. Old tired units or leasing center
  3. Outdated amenities
  4.  Creative improvements using best practices and technology
  5. Additional opportunity for extra income

Miscellaneous ideas for thought:

  • 2010 to 2015 is the golden era of Multifamily. Many rents were going up 5-10% per year (average 2-3% in a good market).
  • The (Global/National) markets go in cycles, the sub-markets (physical locations) go in cycles (see below)
  • Asset Classes go in cycles but hopefully, you are investing with the pros who transcend the high-level norm.

Lending

 

Unit Mix Discussion

When looking at the unit mix profile take notice of the mix of studio/efficiency units and 1,2,3 bedrooms. This can throw off your rent per square foot metric which is important when comparing comps. A sudio/1 bedrooms will have higher rent per square foot amounts however the tenants will be more transient.

The 2/3/4 bedroom units will yield lower revenue per square foot but will attract more of a family type renter and improve the intangible community aspect.

Headwinds

Millennials Leaving the Renter Pool?

Once they get married and have kids, they move out to the suburbs into a single-family house.  82% of couples between the ages of 25-39 married with 2 or more children live in a single-family home. The only difference today is that Millennials are getting married and having kids later in life so they stay in the renter pool longer. And the lack of affordable homes caused by the great recession of 2008 has delayed new builds to be created which creates more demand as population increases. New builds are really starting to come online.

The 73 million Americans aged 18 to 34 are beginning to cycle their way out of apartments and into homes. In fact, the net growth of 18-34-year-olds falls to zero by 2024.

Fun facts about new builds:

  • 2009 and 2010, multifamily housing starts hit a low of about 100,000 per year.
  • The 40-year historical average (1970-2010) is 355,000 starts per year.
  • Multifamily housing starts gradually increased, peaking at 383,000 units in 2015. Production then declined modestly, to 381,000 in 2016 and 345,000 in 2017 but reverted to 354,000 in 2018.
  • Annualized multifamily housing starts stood at 289,000 units in January 2019, up from 278,000 units in December 2018, but down from the one-month annualized peak of 435,000 in January 2018.
  • Multifamily statistical models forecast about 401,000 average annualized starts in each of 2019 and 2020, 389,000 in 2021, and 390,000 in 2022, all of which are modestly above the 40-year historical average of 355,000 multifamily housing starts per year.
  • The cumulative 17-year shortfall of multifamily housing starts (benchmarked against historical norms) peaked at over one million units in 2013 but is on a choppy decline, standing at 905,000 as of February 2019.

Zelman & Associates are forecasting multifamily starts to increase 3% year-over-year in 2019 and another 1% in 2020, as opposed to a decline which many researchers previously forecasted.

 

MFH is great but you need to be aware of new Class A apartments being built to put downward pressure on pricing – Source MHN

MFE 2-6-19  – 2018’s Record Deal Volume Suggests Positive Trajectory for 2019 – “driven in large part by increased interest in the student housing sector, which accounted for 17% of all deal activity in the third quarter, compared with a consistent 4% over the past 13 years” – [I don’t like student housing as I am seeing an education bubble with all the lending. It’s crazy how dorms get renovated every few years]

MFE 2-6-19 -Freddie Mac Sets Multifamily Production Record – “$78 billion in total production bests the company’s prior record of $73.2 billion set in 2017. Overall, the company financed more than 860,000 rental units, more than 90% of which are considered affordable to low- and moderate-income families making 120% of area median income (AMI) and below.” – [More more more!!!]

Past performance is no indicator of future success. Many operators in Dallas 2012-2014 were able to double investors money in just a year or two – come to find out they only implemented 20% of the rehab. It was mostly market appreciation which is out of our control and can bail out a bad operator.

Dallas Growth 2010-2018 +projections Co-star 19.02.7

Multifamily Investing Lingo

Real Estate terms:

  • Pretty simple if you understand the way to utilize them and how they play together in real estate transactions
  • Applies a lot in larger transactions (multifamily), but can be applied as well in smaller (single family) transactions

Income (types):

  • Different ways you can make money on a property
    • Rent – not what is on the contract, but what the market would yield for the space that you have
    • Other Income
      • Pet Fees
      • Laundry
      • Reserve Parking
      • Late Fees

Gross Market Rent:

  • Sum of all the different types of income you can earn from the property

Deductions that can be taken from the Income types (can also be called Efficiency deductions):

(Loss to) Lease:

  • Loss of income based on the market value of the property minus the amount you are renting the property for
    • Example: You have a property you are renting out at $750/month. The current market value of the property is actually $825/month (based on listings in Craigslist, etc.) You have a $75 Loss to Lease per month on that property
    • This is money that will never be gained, as the market changes so much
    • This has to be factored in when looking at properties, and you should constantly monitor the market you’re in to see what kind of Loss to Lease you’re taking on

(Loss to) Vacancy:

  • Especially on bigger properties – you will never have it leased all the time
  • Normally, there is a week or two of vacancy, sometimes more (up to a month or even longer) between tenants
  • A lot of people like to estimate 5% loss due to vacancy, but should be considered more scientifically than just stating a number. For example, if it’s a single family home, you’ll want to factor in at least one month’s rent, which would be equivalent to 8%. If it’s a duplex you’ll want to factor in one month’s rent for your most expensive unit. The more units you have, the more you can expect that vacancy rate to go down. But be conservative when you’re writing up a deal – the smaller the deal, the higher your vacancy rate. So start at 10 if it’s a one or two unit deal, and then drop accordingly.

(Loss to) Collections:

  • Isn’t just money you will be getting back from tenants who are late on payments
  • Includes loss of money from tenants who move out and are not able to pay their balance
  • You need to factor it on your own in the market you are in and what the economy you are dealing in is
    • Example: If you are dealing in C or D type neighborhood, you will have to factor in [Loss to] Collections. If you’re in a B or A type neighborhood, then you can lower Collections down to zero and assume the loss will just come out of Vacancy

 

Physical Occupancy vs. Economic Occupancy in Apartment Investing:

Note this is mostly used as an example of what LP’s should be aware of. In most cases LP’s either know too little for example they just look at the Pro-Forma returns and don’t look at the assumptions that the operator used to get there. Or they spend so much time evaluating things that have little impact to the numbers for example running away when they hear of minor foundation issues or rodents that can be remediated with a few thousand dollars of seller concessions. In the Passive Investor Accelerator & Mastermind we try to focus on what is really important but obviously that is not free (but going into a bad deal is costly too). Vacancy in apartments decreases top line income and getting occupancy as high as possible is the goal. There are two different types in apartment investing 1)

Physical Occupancy and 2) Economic Occupancy. Physical occupancy (number of units that have a tenant with a signed lease, occupying a unit) is what most people are familiar with in apartment investing and what is often overlooked when a passive investor reviews the underwriting assumptions of a syndicator. This is shown on the rent roll with the tenants name next to the unit number which also needs to by physically audited with boots on the ground verification. Physical occupancy is a percentage calculated by dividing the number of occupied units by the total number of units for example a 100 unit apartment with 8 units vacant has a physical occupancy is 92% (92 ÷ 100).

Pay attention here… if a rent roll shows a unit is occupied, doesn’t necessary mean it’s also generating income. A tenant might be a deadbeat or the nice way of putting it there might be “loss to lease.”

Economic occupancy is the amount of money of actual rents received as related to the occupancy. This also takes into account tenants who don’t pay the full rent and also things like concessions ($200 move in specials, discounts to motivate tenant prospects). This is the net rents received (not including other income). The net income will deduct for bad debts/loss to lease. The economic occupancy is calculated by dividing net rent received by the gross rents possible.

On the same 100 unit apartment, assume each unit rents for $1000/mo. There’s a gross potential of $1,200,000/year (100 units x $1000 = $100,000/mo x 12 = $1,200,000/year). Using the same physical example say there are an additional 10 deadbeats (that the previous seller stuffed in there right before the sale) and 10 people only able to pay half the rent… then you are looking at an economic occupancy of 75%.

This might be a little too much info for a LP but Economic occupancy can be a sign of the following:

Bad Management and bad collection practices
Bad tenant qualification practices
PM stealing money
Bad rent collection practices
Lack of maintenance, causing tenants to leave
Or a clear sign of opportunity!

Effective Gross Income (EGI):

  • Gross Market Rent minus whatever loss will come out during operations (Efficiency deductions)
  • Real money that comes in through the property
  • From your EGI, you will still need to deduct your expenses (listed below)

Expenses:

  • Insurance
  • Professional Services – Leasing commissions and/or other professional services you bring in (legal, accounting fees, etc.). If you’re an LLC, you will need to put in your budget the cost (tax) for the LLC every year ($400 – $500), IRS
  • Regular Maintenance (landscaping, snow removal, heater service, pest control, touch-ups and minor renovations on unit before tenant moves in, fixes like clogged-up toilets, etc.)
    • Rule of thumb for Regular Maintenance: Brokers will place it 3% of your EGI, but is more effective to think it as dollars per unit.
    • Example: If property is something you bought, did a full renovation on, put tenants in, and then got it refinanced (BRRRR – Buy Rehab Rent Refinance Repeat), your maintenance should be lower because you’ve done everything and should be able to call for a warranty call at the very beginning if it’s something the contractor who did the work on your property didn’t do. If you’re very good at turning these properties over, then you should have very little maintenance going in
    • If it’s a newer rental, could be anywhere from $300 – $400 every year
    • If it’s something you’re inheriting (inheriting maintenance issues as property already has current tenants and will need to deal with it as you go), you will want to go with higher maintenance numbers: $700 – $900 per unit per year
    • Will really depend on how much you project it to be (check out the property thoroughly, and/or if there are existing tenants, ask them what are the maintenance issues) as it can really kill or make you a lot of money on your deal.
  • Property Management Fee – 6%
    • Property Management means looking after the property and make sure operations is running smoothly
    • If you are managing the property, you will want to put that in your own pocket
  • Asset Management Fee – 2%
    • If you are hiring a Property Manager, you will also need to hire an Asset Manager, or you can be the Asset Manager and that money will also go into your own pocket
    • Fee of managing the Property Manager
    • Asset Manager will be the one to pay mortgage, ensure real estate taxes are being paid, monitor the markets and ensure that the right rents are being charged, will also have veto power to veto work orders that might come up that you don’t want to have done because they’re too expensive, etc.
    • Asset Manager is also there to look at the real value of return on the asset
  • Utilities
    • Everything from heat, water, sewer, even CCTV systems, phone lines
    • You will want to look at the prior owner’s expenses for utilities were (around 18 months’ worth), or look to see what the market or other people are paying
    • Make a good guesstimate on what your utility projections are going to be and go from there
  • Real Estate Taxes

(Above the) Line:

  • Term sometimes used by brokers when grouping Gross Market Rent, Efficiency deductions, EGI and Expenses (everything that gets deducted out to determine the profitability of the deal)
  • Note: I don’t really talk in terms of Cap rates because you can manipulate the “above the line” assumptions to get whatever you want

Net Operating Income (NOI):

  • EGI minus all the expenses that can be deducted from it
  • Does not include mortgage payments or Debt Service (money you have to borrow to buy the property)

Classes:

Class A

  • Built in last decade and are more luxury
  • Struggle in recessions as white-collar workers drop back to Class B Assets
  • People are jogging around at night

Class B

  • Generally 10-25 years old
  • Younger white-collar and blue-collar residents
  • Cap rates are higher than Class A and lower than Class C
  • Females not advised to take that evening jog around the block
Class C
  • 1970-1985 built
  • Mix of blue-collar to lower, single mothers etc
  • Good cashflow but comes with issues that property management must keep in check
  • In a recession, a lot of B and A class renters fall back to Class C
  • Its ok during the day but personally I would not want to be there at night
  • There is crime but you want to look for minimal violence/homicide
Class D
  • 1960s and older
  • Generally Section 8, government-subsidized residents such as LURA, LURK with rent restrictions
  • You don’t even want to get out of the car to walk around during the day
  • High crime area, security needed
  • Can be amazing rewards for taking on this risk

Capital Expenditures (Cap Ex):

  • Also usually referred to as Below the Line expenditure but is also sometimes considered as Above the Line, depending on whether you are selling or buying a property
  • Long-term improvements to your building/ property
  • Major renovations to bring unit/ property up to market standard (replacing the roof, replacing the furnace, full renovation on a unit)
  • Any expense that will add long-term value to your building
  • You will need to set aside money for this (Cap Ex Reserve)
  • Not taxable as it is just money you are earning but will be setting aside in a savings account

CAP Rate:

  • NOI divided by the price you’re buying the property for
  • Determines the money that the property will give you
  • Example:
    • If NOI is $100k and the price of the property was $1 million, then CAP Rate would be 10%
  • Intended to be used when valuing buildings (especially commercial real estate)

Cash Flow (CF):

  • NOI minus Debt Service
  • Also determines your Return on Investment (ROI) on the property

Debt Services Covered Ratio (DSCR):

  • Looked at by the banks
  • How many times the deal can cover the Debt Service
  • Calculation: NOI divided by debt service
  • Most banks will want to see a DSCR above 1.25%, you will want to see a DSCR of above 1.5% to get a higher ROI

Green Credits:

  • Breaks in your interest rates for employing energy saving means
  • Full report

FAQ:

What about popcorn ceilings and asbestos?

Many buildings have asbestos from the 1960-1970s.  We have a binder in each office that shows how to handle different situations should the asbestos be exposed.  All the managers go through training as well. As long as we don’t disturb the drywall than it’s safe. This is consistent with how many organizations do things outside of real estate… I know because I am a facilities Engineer as a day job.

 

How can you increase the value (increase income or decrease expenses)?

  1. Application Fees
  2. Late Fee
  3. Pet Rent
  4. Early Termination
  5. Month to Month Fee
  6. Lapse in Renters Insurance Fee
  7. Redecoration Fees
  8. Resident Discount Program (This seems counter-intuitive unless we’re at CostCo.)
  9. Marketing Coordination Fee (to pay for social media at the property)
  10. Eviction Holdoff Fee (You can’t pay, so we’re going to charge you not to kick you out)
  11. “We also have community gardens which we charge for”
  12. Sell/rent moving boxes to new residents.
  13. Refer business to moving services. Place an affiliate link on your website and new resident welcome emails.
  14. Install an automated Stockwell or vending machines.
  15. Sell laundry/cleaning supplies.
  16. Sell cleaning services.
  17. Offer dog walking/dry cleaning pickup services.
  18. Offer a steam cleaner, power washer, or other useful tools for rent by residents.
  19. Place native ads/sponsored posts from relevant local/lifestyle businesses on your community blog.
  20. Offer furniture rental packages.
  21. Sell ads on the digital signs in your leasing office/elevator lobby/parking garage.
  22. Create moving kits with tape, boxes, packaging, etc. Sell them from your website, or build a set of items you can resell through Amazon. One-click buy and move!
  23. Shared sponsored posts from local businesses on your property Instagram account.
  24. Upsell garages, bike lockers and/or storage space.
  25. Upsell smart home technology packages.
  26. Offer RentPlus to help residents build long-term credit. They charge a small fee to the resident, you get a cut.
  27. Rent rooftop space to cellular providers.
  28. Place Google banner ads on your blog.
  29. Install solar panels. Sell excess energy back to the local electric provider.
  30. Sell featured space in your resident loyalty app to local businesses.
  31. Sell renters insurance to new residents.
  32. Offer interior design consulting through Havenly. Make affiliate income when your renters buy goods and services through the app.
  33. Buy cable and Internet services in bulk at wholesale rates. Resell them to residents at a discount and make money off the markup.
  34. Host resident events. Partner with brands who are willing to pay to get in front of your renters as a target audience. (There are lots of them out there.)
  35. Publish a resident newsletter (print or digital). Sell ad/editorial space to local businesses.
  36. Rent space to Amazon so they have a place to put their lockers.
  37. Offer move-in upgrades: electronics setup, upgraded thermostat, priority parking/access to loading dock/elevators, moving assistants.
  38. Turn your move-in gift into a subscription box trial. Make money when new renters upgrade to an ongoing subscription.
  39. Host “premium” resident events that get people excited. Charge a small admission fee. Open them to the public and charge more for non-residents.
  40. Sell the furniture and items you showcase in your model. Partner with Wayfair, West Elm, or a local furniture store on this.
  41. Sign up for Amazon Associates (or any other affiliate marketing network). Create timely gift/necessity guides (Mother’s Day, spring cleaning, back to school) that are relevant to your residents.
  42. Open your community business center to local coworkers. Charge an hourly/daily fee for use of the space and services. Make it free or significantly discounted for residents. Provide coffee.
  43. Rent out space in your common areas to a small food/beverage retailer. Craft cold brew coffee, anyone?
  44. Open your property to short-term/corporate rentals.

Resources:

Reports for your digest:

18.11.15 – 3Q18_US_Multifamily_Capital_Markets_Report

18.11.18 – Yardi Monthy Report